Nothing will kickstart the weekend like landing a few home run bets.
Here are my favorite three MLB Player Props from today’s slate, a couple of familiar faces, and some of the league’s most dominant bats.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player to hit a HR | Odds |
|---|---|
 Alec Burleson |
+422 |
 Yordan Alvarez |
+233 |
 James Wood |
+373 |
| 💲Today's HR parlay | +8087 |
Home run pick: Yordan Alvarez (+233)
The big fella, Yordan Alvarez, finds himself in a fantastic spot this evening against Cleveland Guardians right-hander Tanner Bibee.
Alvarez not only carries an elite rating against Bibee but also owns 100% arsenal coverage across the entire pitch mix, per Batters-Box. Not to mention, when having an elite rating, he leaves the yard nearly 22% of the time.
Bibee has been horrible against left-handed bats this season. As of late, over the last 60 lefties faced, he is allowing 45.2% hard contact, a 21.4% barrel rate, while hitters are elevating the ball 64.2% of the time. Those hitters have produced a .460 xBA, .944 xSLG, and .461 xwOBA during that stretch.
The Astros slugger's most recent numbers only pile on to the reasoning. In his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, he owns a .444 batting average, .852 slugging percentage, and a 1.352 OPS, while producing nearly 60% hard contact and a 27.3% barrel rate.
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SCHN, CLEG
Home run pick: James Wood (+373)
Like most days, Washington Nationals superstar James Wood finds himself in a strong spot. Tonight, he takes on Tampa Bay Rays right-hander Griffin Jax.
The Rays starter brings a poorly rated matchup ISO, hard contact, and strikeout percentage into today's matchup. He has been allowing plenty of hard contact and high-quality contact. At home against left-handed hitters, opponents are lifting the ball nearly 71% of the time.
Over his last 60 lefties faced, they are producing a 9.8% barrel rate while elevating the baseball 61% of the time. Those hitters also hold a .409 xBA, .591 xSLG, and .363 xwOBA.
Wood is having a career year, and the recent underlying numbers are borderline diabolical. Over his last 30 at-bats versus right-handed pitching, he is posting a .360 batting average, .680 slugging, and 1.113 OPS, with a 50% hard hit rate and 11.1% barrel rate.
For an extra safety blanket, do not be afraid to sprinkle the double on all of these guys, too. A missed home run is likely a double.
- Time: 7:10p.m. ET
- Where to watch: RAYS, NATS
- HR picks: 60-200-15, +20.20 units
Today’s HR parlay
| Eric Burleson |
Bet Now +8087 |
| Yordan Alvarez |
|
| James Wood |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
