Philadelphia @ Minnesota Picks & Props
PHI vs MIN Picks
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PHI vs MIN Consensus Picks
More Consensus
76% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksPHI 418, MIN 135
PHI vs MIN Props
Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Okert today. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Johan Rojas's footspeed has increased this year. His 29.35 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.13 ft/sec now. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Johan Rojas's true offensive talent to be a .276, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .025 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .251 wOBA.
Edouard Julien Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 13th-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Edouard Julien's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (21.1°) is considerably higher than his 16.9° angle last season.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Nick Castellanos has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.9% seasonal rate to 17.4% over the past 14 days. Nick Castellanos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 15% to 19.5%.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .308 mark is deflated compared to his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Utilizing Statcast data, J.T. Realmuto grades out in the 82nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .273.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Steven Okert in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Bryson Stott's launch angle this season (14.4°) is significantly higher than his 9.9° angle last year.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Carlos Santana will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Carlos Santana has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.9% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week. Carlos Santana's launch angle this year (15.8°) is considerably better than his 12.5° figure last season.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
When it comes to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.6% to 49%.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. Alec Bohm has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 92.9-mph over the last 14 days.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Bryce Harper projects as the 8th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Steven Okert today. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brooks Lee's launch angle of late (24° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 9° seasonal angle.
Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Steven Okert throws from, Garrett Stubbs will have an edge today. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Garrett Stubbs ranks in the 91st percentile with a 19.7° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in the league.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Willi Castro's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's game. Willi Castro has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.7-mph mark.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Matt Wallner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Wallner's launch angle of late (28.2° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 22.5° seasonal figure. Since the start of last season, Matt Wallner's flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 99th percentile at 97.4 mph.
Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an advantage today. Trevor Larnach will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Ryan Jeffers's 23.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%. Ryan Jeffers has posted a .337 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.
Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Byron Buxton has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the last two weeks.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Steven Okert throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Max Kepler will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Max Kepler's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (27° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 11.2° seasonal mark.
PHI vs MIN Trends
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 89 games (+18.70 Units / 12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 84 games (+20.35 Units / 19% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 83 games (+13.20 Units / 13% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 85 games (+11.20 Units / 8% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 84 games (+11.10 Units / 11% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-25.30 Units / -26% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 84 games (-22.00 Units / -23% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-16.65 Units / -16% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 35 games (-6.65 Units / -16% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.05 Units / 24% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+6.60 Units / 23% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 80 games (+6.00 Units / 5% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 44 games at home (-17.80 Units / -35% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-12.70 Units / -29% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 24 games at home (-10.00 Units / -37% ROI)
PHI vs MIN Top User Picks
More PicksPhiladelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||