Cleveland @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst park in MLB for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ben Lively will hold the platoon advantage over Bo Bichette in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best out of all the teams in action today. Bo Bichette has posted a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst park in MLB for right-handed batting average. The weather forecast expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Given Ben Lively's large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best out of all the teams in action today. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 11.5% rank in the 6th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-worst park in the majors for left-handed batting average. The weather forecast expects the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan in today's matchup. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, compiling a .424 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .115 difference. Steven Kwan's 1.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) grades out in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge today. Bo Naylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .240 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bo Naylor has been unlucky given the .050 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Bo Naylor ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.4° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Kyle Manzardo will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Tyler Freeman has compiled a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 86th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .300 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Tyler Freeman is positioned in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Because of Ben Lively's large platoon split, Spencer Horwitz will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Spencer Horwitz will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andres Gimenez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.319) implies that Andres Gimenez has had some very poor luck this year with his .254 actual batting average.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage against Ben Lively in today's game... and even more favorably, Lively has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kevin Kiermaier's true offensive talent to be a .279, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .029 gap between that figure and his actual .250 wOBA. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Kevin Kiermaier has posted a .317 BABIP since the start of last season.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Ben Lively in today's game... and the cherry on top, Lively has a large platoon split. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Daulton Varsho has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .217 figure is considerably higher than his .215 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Jansen is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Danny Jansen has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 98th percentile with a 1.07 K/BB rate.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Brayan Rocchio has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.65 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ernie Clement hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ernie Clement's quickness has improved this season. His 28.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.99 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.328) implies that Ernie Clement has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .285 actual batting average.

Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .300 rate is a fair amount higher than his .257 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Will Brennan is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios today. Will Brennan hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Utilizing Statcast data, Will Brennan is in the 95th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .297.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage in today's matchup. George Springer has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .264 figure is considerably lower than his .418 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Fry in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. David Fry is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. David Fry has been hot of late, batting his way to a .430 wOBA over the last 14 days. Grading out in the 99th percentile, David Fry has posted a .416 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 23.66 ft/sec to 24.52 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). Despite posting a .266 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has had some very poor luck given the .052 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Davis Schneider is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's game. In notching a .380 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Davis Schneider grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive ability.