MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Thursday, June 25

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 25, 2026 , 10:02 AM ET • 4 min read

Our MLB expert is calling for homers galore in Queens tonight.

Bo Bichette New York Mets MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Bo Bichette of the New York Mets.

The dinger run continues with another +550 in the bag last night, pushing this homer heater to 8-16 SU for 20+ units over the last eight articles.

There's still a hole to climb out of, but with summer here, I'm letting the good times roll with home runs and MLB player props

I'm pushing a lot of chips into the middle in this Cubs vs. Mets game and taking a hitter on both sides in a great run environment with two of the hottest sticks in baseball. 

These are my favorite home run props for Thursday, June 25. 

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HR Odds
Cubs Pete Crow-Armstrong +335
Mets Bo Bichette  +504
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Home run pick: Pete Crow-Armstrong (+335)

This is a little outside my usual price range, but we're talking about the hottest hitter in baseball, Pete Crow-Armstrong.

He leads the league in both slugging and wRC+ over the last two weeks, has crushed a league-best six home runs during that span, and paces all hitters with 10 bombs in June.

Citi Field is set up for offense tonight with 14-mph winds blowing out to center field, two taxed bullpens, and a pair of starters who have been generous lately.

Freddy Peralta has allowed 26 runs over his last 31 innings, and is coming off a start where he surrendered 10 runs and two homers. He may also be asked to wear some innings with the Mets missing several high-leverage bullpen arms.

The first three games of this series have already produced 43 runs, and I'm expecting the offenses to keep rolling Thursday night. I'm buying PCA at +300 or better. 

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SNY, Marquee Sports Network

Home run pick: Bo Bichette (+504)

Bo Bichette is not the punching bag he was last month.

Over the last two weeks, he's been a Top-5 hitter in wRC+, slugging, and wOBA. He hit his 10th homer of the season last night and owns a 1.135 OPS over his last four series with eight multi-hit games in 12 contests.

The winds are blowing out to center field at 14 mph tonight, and this series has been nothing but runs through three games in two days.

Bichette lost Juan Soto, but Francisco Lindor is back and provides more punch to the lineup. The former Jay also gets a great matchup against left-hander Matthew Boyd.

Boyd is returning from injury, was pitching to a 6.00 ERA before going down, threw just 58 pitches in his last rehab start, and is backed by a bullpen that could be down four arms after yesterday's doubleheader.

Bichette has seen the lefty five times and taken him deep once. I am all-in on runs in this game, and this is my favorite home run prop on the home side. I'd play it down to +425.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SNY, Marquee Sports Network
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 20-121, -18.33 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2019, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds.

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