Tampa Bay @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks.

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cooper Criswell today... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a large platoon split. Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today's game... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a large platoon split. Reese McGuire will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 107.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.6-mph. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 25% on the season to 42.9% in the past two weeks.

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. Taylor Walls's launch angle lately (29.6° in the last two weeks) is significantly higher than his 20° seasonal angle.

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Randy Arozarena has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 93.2-mph mark.

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Whitlock in today's matchup. Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Luke Raley's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (18° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 12.5° seasonal mark.

THE BAT X projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Rob Refsnyder will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 ballpark in the majors for LHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Brandon Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Whitlock in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 56°. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 17.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. Garrett Whitlock will have the handedness advantage over Harold Ramirez today. Harold Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Connor Wong will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Connor Wong's launch angle of late (30.1° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 16.6° seasonal figure. A consistent launch angle is a measure of good hitting, and Connor Wong has been very consistent with his recently, putting up a 31.8° launch angle standard deviation in the past week's worth of games.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Kike Hernandez has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 3.6% seasonal rate to 9.1% over the past week. Kike Hernandez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 88.6-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 86-mph.

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Justin Turner has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 56°. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 17.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. The switch-hitting Wander Franco will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Garrett Whitlock Wander Franco will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Christian Bethancourt has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Yandy Diaz has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.