The Chicago Cubs won the first three games of this series while scoring 9+ runs in each.
My Cubs vs. Mets predictions and MLB picks are banking on more of the same as they look to complete the sweep on Thursday night.
Who will win Cubs vs Mets today: Cubs moneyline (-110)
The Chicago Cubs have feasted on right-handed pitching over the past two weeks, ranking seventh in wOBA, eighth in OPS, and first in walk rate.
They should get to Freddy Peralta, who has allowed four runs or more in four of his past six starts — and has simply not lived up to expectations with the New York Mets.
Matthew Boyd is unlikely to provide much length in his return, but the Cubs should be able to patch things together against an offense sitting 22nd in runs and 29th in OBP.
Back Chicago to -120.
COVERS INTEL: Freddy Peralta ranks in the 31st percentile in pitcher run value.
Cubs vs Mets Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-115)
At least 13 runs were scored in each of the first three games, and I’m expecting more fireworks in tonight's finale.
Chicago has plated 6+ runs in six consecutive games and scored five or more in eight of the past 10. The Cubs are firing on all cylinders at the plate and can be relied upon to do heavy lifting.
Boyd has given up multiple runs in four of five starts and will be making his first MLB appearance since May 3. Behind him is a taxed bullpen; New York should score.
Play the Over to -130.
- ML/RL bets: 40-31, +0.20 units
- Over/Under bets: 37-30-4, +3.39 units
Cubs vs Mets weather
Temperatures are expected to approach 80 with 15-mile-per-hour winds blowing out. Clear boost to the offenses.
Cubs vs Mets odds
- Moneyline: Cubs -110 | Mets -110
- Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-180)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)
Cubs vs Mets trend
The Mets have cashed the Over in 13 of their last 23 games for +6.3 units and a 25% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Mets.
How to watch Cubs vs Mets and game info
| Location | Citi Field, Flushing, Queens |
| Date | Thursday, June 25, 2026 |
| First pitch | 7:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | MARQ, SNY |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Matthew Boyd (2-1, 6.00 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | Freddy Peralta (5-6, 4.83 ERA) |
Cubs vs Mets latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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