MLB Picks

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Rafaela has touched home plate and recorded at least a hit in five consecutive games (14 total HRR). He sports a team-best 25 doubles and is on pace for career-best slashes. He also has an XBH and an RBI in three of his last five as he and the Sox look for a franchise record-tying 15th straight win.

When it comes to his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.

American Family Field profiles as the #9 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height in the majors.. Despite posting a .262 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcus Semien has had some very poor luck given the .055 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Cole Carrigg is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Coors Field ranks as the #1 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which often leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Washington Nationals infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Cole Young has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 85°.. Cole Young will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a huge platoon split.. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.

Shea Langeliers projects as the 17th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best field in baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Shea Langeliers has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 15.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Jordan Walker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Jordan Walker will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Gabriel Arias has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like Gabriel Arias tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Arias will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryce Harper projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in the league for run-scoring.. Bryce Harper has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

I’m backing the Pittsburgh Pirates because this price is too long for a game my projection makes close to a coin flip. I’d play it to +110. Bubba Chandler’s command is uncomfortable, but his top-30 percentile barrel rate allowed should matter against a homer-dependent New York Yankees lineup. The gap is not wide enough to justify this moneyline. I have faded Will Warren plenty this season. He is not a bad pitcher, but the market keeps overvaluing him. His xERA sits near 5, and his below-average barrel profile meets a Pirates lineup with the eighth-highest barrel rate in baseball.

Kazuma Okamoto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.. The league's 8th-tallest average fence height can be found at Rogers Centre.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. Hitting from the same side that Griffin Jax throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will be at a disadvantage in today's game.. Kazuma Okamoto has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 14.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Josh Jung is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Given Anthony Kay's large platoon split, Josh Jung will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Josh Jung will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Peter Lambert throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Houston Astros.. Kyle Stowers has posted a .380 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's matchup.. Riley Greene has strong power (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea struggles to strike batters out (20th percentile K%) — great news for Greene.. Riley Greene has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.