MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 2, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Thu, Jul 2 • 12:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #21 venue in MLB for lefty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games today at 100°.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Thu, Jul 2 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Noelvi Marte logo
Noelvi Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. American Family Field ranks as the #8 field in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson logo
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
Projection 1.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. American Family Field ranks as the #8 field in the game for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of all games today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Jul 2 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (-130)
Projection 2.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Thu, Jul 2 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery u0.5 Total Home Runs (-340)
Projection 0.12
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the worst park in the game for left-handed home runs.. In MLB, Progressive Field's CF fences are the 7th-deepest.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Braden Montgomery in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 97°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Thu, Jul 2 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 10th-best field in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Riley will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Truist Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in the majors for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Dustin May's large platoon split, Mike Yastrzemski will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Jul 2 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone u0.5 Total Hits (+191)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ian Seymour will have the handedness advantage against Jac Caglianone today.. Today, Jac Caglianone is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (88th percentile).
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-128)
Projection 2.27
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in the game as it relates to his batting average skill.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The #5 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Thu, Jul 2 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.35
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Extreme groundball bats like Spencer Torkelson generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.
Total Hits
Ezequiel Duran logo
Ezequiel Duran u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #1 stadium in the game for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.. The 6th-deepest CF fences among all major league parks are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -17° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Thu, Jul 2 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.36
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Soler is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Jorge Soler pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena logo
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Thu, Jul 2 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ty France logo
Ty France o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ty France is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best field in baseball for RHB home runs.. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 14th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #2 ballpark in the league for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. In Major League Baseball, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 10 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

View 14 Picks
Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 13 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

View 2 Picks

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