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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 6, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.21 |
+176 
|
o9.5 -112 
|
+1.5 -112
|
|
5.65 |
-183
|
u10.0 -125 
|
-1.5 +106 
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games following a loss.
- Angels are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 vs. American League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
+152
|
o9.5 +105
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.73 |
-158
|
u9.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +124
|
Athletics
- Over is 2-0-2 in last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Barnetts last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Barnetts last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 3-0-1 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0-1 in Greenes last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 vs. American League West.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5 +150
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+115 
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -208
|
|
4.22 |
-120
|
u7.5 -115
|
-1.5 +175
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-0 in McLeans last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
o0.5 +223
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.28 |
+116
|
o7.5 -103
|
+2.5 -339
|
|
4.03 |
-122
|
u11.5 -552
|
-2.5 +227
|
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Ashcrafts last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 9-0 in Ashcrafts last 9 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 on grass.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5 +270
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.48 |
-112
|
o7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.32 |
+105
|
u7.5 -107
|
+1.5 -168
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 4-0-1 in Imanagas last 5 starts vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Petersons last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+237)
o0.5 +237
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+116
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.04 |
-122
|
u8.0 -111
|
-1.5 +172
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-0-1 in Valdezs last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 games following a loss.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Millers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Millers last 4 starts overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.19 |
+304
|
o8.5 -121
|
+3.0 -166
|
|
6.01 |
-320
|
u9.0 -115
|
-3.0 +120
|
Washington
- Over is 6-0 in Mikolas' last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 7-0 in Mikolas' last 7 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Mikolas' last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in Sanchezs last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Daylen Lile o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
o1.5 +230
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+167
|
o8.5 -121
|
+1.5 -121
|
|
5.28 |
-178
|
u9.0 -114
|
-1.5 +110
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in Suarezs last 4 starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
+132
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.22 |
-140
|
u9.5 -125
|
-1.5 +140
|
Miami
- Under is 8-0 in Marlins last 8 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. National League East.
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
o0.5 +187
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
+111
|
o8.5 -121
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.23 |
-119
|
u9.0 -118
|
-1.5 +172
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Twins are 6-0 in Obers last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Wachas last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games following a win.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5 +185
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.16 |
-103
|
o8.5 -131
|
-1.5 +158
|
|
5.11 |
-104
|
u9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -168
|
San Diego
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
o0.5 +182
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-209
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Under is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Washington
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 during game 1 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+216
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-279
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 21-4-2 in last 27 vs. American League East.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games.
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games as an underdog.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Under is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Messicks last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in White Sox last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Royals last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 11-2 in Rangers last 13 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 15-3 in Rangers last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-191
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Seattle
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 overall.
- Tigers are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
LAA
@
BAL
Thu, Aug 6 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+202)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Johnson throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Beavers in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
ATH
@
CIN
Thu, Aug 6 • 12:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (-101)
Projection 2.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Mason Barnett.
Total Bases
Jonah Heim o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jonah Heim is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Great American Ball Park projects as the #5 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 85°.. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Hunter Greene in today's matchup.
NYM
@
CLE
Thu, Aug 6 • 1:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-116)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
We're fading a talented pitcher in Nolan McLean, who has electric stuff and a 10.60 K/9 this season, but as always, it's about price and matchup. This is a difficult spot for him. Cleveland is expected to stack the lineup with eight left-handed bats, neutralizing McLean's biggest weapon. His hard sweeping slider is his go-to putaway pitch, but against lefties it breaks into the barrel instead of away from it. The Guardians also pair that platoon advantage with a disciplined approach at the plate. They work deep counts, rarely chase, and have the profile to drive up McLean's pitch count and force an early exit. Polymarket has Cleveland as a 54-cent favorite, but I make the Guardians closer to a 59-cent favorite, which is why I'm hitting the button.
Total
o7.5 (-103)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Over 7.5 has a path through Cleveland’s improved offense and late-game Mets vulnerability. The Guardians have been swinging it well recently, and New York only needs to chip in against a Cleveland bullpen that has struggled. With McLean shaky and Griffin facing a dangerous lineup, eight runs is reachable.
PIT
@
MIL
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Jake Bauers stands out as my favorite Milwaukee Brewers home run target against Braxton Ashcraft. Bauers has been scorching hot over his last 10 games, posting a .371 BA, .464 wOBA, .629 SLG, 1.079 OPS and 198 wRC+ while consistently producing hard contact. Ashcraft has struggled against left handed hitters on the road, allowing quality contact and elevated baseballs, with the last 60 lefties producing a .351 xBA, .584 xSLG and .377 xwOBA against him. Bauers also covers more than 61% of Ashcraft's pitch mix, making him a strong home run target at +300 or better.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 7th-best field in the league for righty home runs.. American Family Field has the shortest average fence height in MLB.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown
Dylan Cease o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-115)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
DET
@
SEA
Thu, Aug 6 • 4:10 PM ET
Total
o8.0 (-105)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Detroit Tigers are hammering baseballs, ranking Top-8 in both FB% and HR/FB% over the past month. If Bryce Miller is unable to decrease his FB%, Detroit’s power will show up.
While Framber Valdez’ elite groundball rate will make it hard for Seattle to hit for power, they do rank 13th in average and 12th in wOBA vs. lefties the last 30.
Play the Over to -117.
Moneyline
DET (+110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Bryce Miller owns a 5.88 xFIP, has allowed 2.11 homers per nine innings, and struck out only 12.4% of opposing batters over the past month.
He is vulnerable heading into a difficult matchup against the Detroit Tigers, who rank first in wOBA, ISO, and OPS against righties the last 30 days.
Back Detroit to -115.
WAS
@
PHI
Thu, Aug 6 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-121)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
WAS (+291)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
CHW
@
BOS
Thu, Aug 6 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+250)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Wilyer Abreu is in an excellent position to do damage against Luis Castillo in the right hander's Chicago White Sox debut. Abreu carries an elite Batters-Box rating, covering nearly 91% of Castillo's pitch mix, while Castillo owns the third worst pitcher rating in the current Batters-Box dataset. The Red Sox outfielder has been swinging a hot bat, posting a .667 SLG, 1.008 OPS and 173 wRC+ over his last 10 games. Castillo has also been extremely vulnerable to left handed hitters, allowing loud contact and plenty of elevated balls. At +250 or better, Abreu is worth backing to leave the yard.
Total
u9.0 (-115)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Chicago is hitting for zero power against lefties, and they’ve struck out at the ninth highest rate the last month.
That sets up well for Ranger Suarez and his career-best 25.7 K% this season, not to mention Boston’s strikeout-heavy bullpen.
I project the White Sox for less than three runs, meaning the Boston Red Sox would have to plate seven to push this game Over.
Play to -130.
MIA
@
ATL
Thu, Aug 6 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.01
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 park in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Javier Sanoja o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Truist Park profiles as the #5 park in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Javier Sanoja will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today.
MIN
@
KC
Thu, Aug 6 • 7:40 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (+109)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Aside from a strong pitching matchup, we’re running with the MLB trends on this wager. When Michael Wacha is on the mound and is coming off five days of rest, the Under has been a lock, going 6-0 in that situation. The Royals are also a top-10 Under team this season, hitting at a 54% clip.
Strikeouts Thrown
Bailey Ober u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+133)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Unders may not be everyone's favorite sweat, but Bailey Ober under 3.5 strikeouts is worth backing. The Twins right hander owns the third lowest strikeout rate in Batters-Box's current season dataset and has produced just a 14.4% strikeout rate on the road this season. Over his last five starts, that number sits at 17.9%. He also draws a Kansas City lineup that consistently puts the ball in play, posting a 15.4% strikeout rate over its last six games and a 13.6% mark across its last 12 home games. I'd play this down to +120.
SD
@
AZ
Thu, Aug 6 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+162)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's game.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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