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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 13, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+130 
|
o8.5 -115 
|
+1.5 -159 
|
|
5.11 |
-150 
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +146 
|
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rockies last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rockies last 8 overall.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-2 in Tigers last 9 vs. National League West.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Jackson Jobe o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
o3.5-165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.92 |
+110 
|
o8.5 -124
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
5.41 |
-125
|
u9.0 -114 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 8-1 in Painters last 9 starts on grass.
- Over is 7-1 in Painters last 8 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Painters last 9 starts overall.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 13-1-1 in Holmes' last 15 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Braves last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in Holmes' last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.59 |
+158
|
o7.5 -109
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.49 |
-175
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +125
|
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Mets are 5-0 in Scotts last 5 starts as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+176)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.67 |
+105
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.13 |
-118
|
u9.5 -130 
|
-1.5 +160
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Irvins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 vs. American League West.
- Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.02 |
+130
|
o7.0 -130
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.24 |
-148
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +162
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0 in Rogers' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in Rogers' last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Ceases last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5+167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 |
+120
|
o7.5 -117
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.43 |
-132
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Houston
- Under is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Astros last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 5-0 in Wesneskis last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
o1.5-125
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-143
|
o8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
3.84 |
+130
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -135
|
LA Dodgers
- Over is 7-0 in Wrobleskis last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Wrobleskis last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Marlins last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
- Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 games following a win.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.09 |
+170
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.14 |
-198
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +118
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in Reds last 9 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+229)
o0.5+229
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.53 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 7-2-1 in White Sox last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in McGreevys last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in McGreevys last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0-1 in McGreevys last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+125
|
o6.5 -109
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.12 |
-140
|
u6.5 +100
|
-1.5 +165
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Chandlers last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Pirates last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in Boyds last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 8-1 in Boyds last 9 home starts.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+233
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.90 |
+158
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
4.68 |
-180
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +128
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Camerons last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Royals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Tolles last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games following a win.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5+195
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.48 |
-140
|
o9.5 -118
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
5.49 |
+125
|
u10.0 -114
|
+1.5 -130
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0-1 in Millers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Millers last 5 road starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Millers last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
Athletics
- are 5-0 in Lopezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-0 in Lopezs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total RBIs (+350)
o0.5+124
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.68 |
+125
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.85 |
-140
|
u8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +160
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rangers last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rangers last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 7-0 in Rodriguezs last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.07 |
-130
|
o6.5 -129
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.62 |
+115
|
u7.0 -110
|
+1.5 -160
|
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 overall.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 vs. National League West.
- Over is 5-0 in Webbs last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
o1.5+146
COL
@
DET
Sun, Sep 13 • 12:10 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jackson Jobe o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+125)
Projection 4.93
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Colorado Rockies have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Hunter Goodman, Mickey Moniak, Connor Norby, Zac Veen).. Projected catcher Dillon Dingler profiles as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jackson Jobe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats across the board.. Jackson Jobe's fastball velocity has spiked 1.3 mph this season (97.1 mph) over where it was last season (95.8 mph).. Out of all starters, Jackson Jobe's fastball spin rate of 2420 rpm grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Riley Greene will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
PHI
@
ATL
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Austin Riley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Austin Riley will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 87°.. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Painter today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Olson will hold that advantage in today's game.
NYM
@
NYY
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Cody Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. This game is forecasted to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate (82%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Scott in today's matchup.. Cody Bellinger may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.
LAA
@
WAS
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:35 PM ET
Moneyline
LAA (+103)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Grayson Rodriguez brings significant bat-missing upside against a depleted Washington lineup scuffling with an 80 wRC+ over the past two weeks. Washington's bullpen has completely imploded (7.97 ERA, 4.54 SIERA, 11.9% BB%), leaving Jake Irvin with zero margin for error in an even-money pick'em spot.
Total RBIs
Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Zach Neto ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams today.
BAL
@
TOR
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:37 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+157)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Kazuma Okamoto will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kazuma Okamoto will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+208)
Projection 1.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's matchup.. Jackson Holliday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
HOU
@
TB
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jose Altuve u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.99
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Freddy Peralta will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today's game.. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve in today's game.
LAD
@
MIA
Sun, Sep 13 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Muncy u1.5 Total Bases (-195)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Typically, bats like Max Muncy who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Eury Perez.. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among all the teams today.. Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+216)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.
CIN
@
MIL
Sun, Sep 13 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total RBIs (+680)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 5th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.8-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.. Bats such as Elly De La Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Robert Gasser who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Strikeouts Thrown
Robert Gasser o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-129)
Projection 5.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Cincinnati Reds (25.1% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate.. It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Doug Eddings) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Because groundball batters struggle against groundball pitchers, Robert Gasser (36.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in the opposing club's projected lineup.. Robert Gasser will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats across the board.
PIT
@
CHC
Sun, Sep 13 • 2:20 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Matthew Boyd o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 5.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matthew Boyd has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Rafael Flores, Konnor Griffin, Oneil Cruz).. It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Wills) behind the plate in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for pitchers.
Total RBIs
Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
Projection 0.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Michael Conforto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
KC
@
BOS
Sun, Sep 13 • 3:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. This game is predicted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate today (93%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Bobby Witt Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Payton Tolle in today's matchup.. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Noah Cameron u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 4.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game is predicted to have the highest humidity of all games on the slate today (93%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Noah Cameron will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.. Noah Cameron's 91.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 13th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
SEA
@
ATH
Sun, Sep 13 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 23.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in today's game... and moreover, Lopez has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 1.06
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 23.3-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Among all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.
TEX
@
AZ
Sun, Sep 13 • 4:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o1.5 Total RBIs (+650)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 14th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Corey Seager is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
SD
@
SF
Sun, Sep 13 • 7:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rafael Devers projects as the 18th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.9-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Rafael Devers will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
