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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 29, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.88 |
-175 
|
o7.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +100 
|
|
3.51 |
+158
|
u7.5 +101
|
+1.5 -107
|
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 8-0 in Luzardos last 8 starts vs. National League East.
- Phillies are 8-0 in Luzardos last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Luzardos last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Luzardos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Gustos last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Gustos last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+291)
o0.5 +291
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.76 |
+124
|
o8.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.62 |
-129 
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +158
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Rodriguezs last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rodriguezs last 5 road starts.
- Diamondbacks are 9-1 in Rodriguezs last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 7-0 in Pirates last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in Jones' last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 8-1 in Jones' last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Ryan Waldschmidt o0.5 Total RBIs (+350)
o0.5 +350
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.47 |
-116
|
o9.0 -125
|
-1.5 +136
|
|
4.87 |
+105
|
u9.5 -116
|
+1.5 -155 
|
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Washington
- Under is 7-0-1 in Nationals last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Littells last 4 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Littells last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+102)
o1.5 +105
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.39 |
-121
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +142
|
|
5.29 |
+110 
|
u8.5 -126
|
+1.5 -155
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Under is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Mets last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Top Projection
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5 +140
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.64 |
+152
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
4.84 |
-168
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 8-0 in Rogers' last 8 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 5-0 in Rogers' last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Rogers' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Detroit
- Under is 5-0 in Skubals last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Skubals last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Colt Keith o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
o1.5 +230
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
-121
|
o7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.10 |
+109
|
u7.5 -106
|
+1.5 -155
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Drohans last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Webbs last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Webbs last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
o0.5 +200
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.27 |
+124
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.99 |
-137
|
u8.5 -124
|
-1.5 +146 
|
Colorado
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 games as a road underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
o1.5 +240
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
+124
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.35 |
-137
|
u7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +158
|
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Gores last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Gores last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 home games.
- Under is 9-2-1 in Rays last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 11-3-1 in Rays last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.01 |
-130
|
o8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +124
|
|
4.60 |
+119
|
u9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -131
|
Cleveland
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cantillos last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Singers last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Singers last 4 starts as an underdog.
Top Projection
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5 +160
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.09 |
-142
|
o7.5 +105
|
-1.5 +113
|
|
|
3.76 |
+138
|
u7.5 -116
|
+1.5 -126
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Scotts last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Scotts last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Scotts last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+260)
o0.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+154
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
5.67 |
-168
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +125
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 road games.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Under is 8-0 in Royals last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Minnesota
- Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
o1.5 +150
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.89 |
-137
|
o7.5 -103
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.06 |
+125
|
u7.5 -107
|
+1.5 -137
|
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0-1 in Schlittlers last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 8-1 in their last 9 road games.
- Yankees are 9-1 in Schlittlers last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- White Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Top Projection
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+910)
o0.5 +910
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.87 |
-116
|
o7.5 -116
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.49 |
+105
|
u8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 5-0-1 in Boyds last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Boyds last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Boyds last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Cubs are 5-0 in Boyds last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Mays last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Mays last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5 +190
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.37 |
-131
|
o9.5 -115
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.63 |
+119
|
u10.0 -115
|
+1.5 -137
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wesneskis last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-135)
o1.5 -135
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.89 |
-148
|
o10.5 -103
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
5.50 |
+130
|
u10.5 -102
|
+1.5 -118
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- are 5-1 in Lopezs last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+153)
o1.5 +153
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.48 |
+130
|
o9.5 -107
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
6.40 |
-142
|
u10.0 -125
|
-1.5 +135
|
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 overall.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mariners last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Hancocks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 7-0 in Lauers last 7 starts on grass.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Lauers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
o1.5 +120
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.76 |
-127
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 9-0 in Rangers last 9 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 overall.
- Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Rays last 6 home games.
- Under is 9-2-1 in Rays last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.28 |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.24 |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Royals last 5 games as an underdog.
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Obers last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Obers last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 5-0 in Obers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Obers last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.78 |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.24 |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 road games.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Burkes last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.77 |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.33 |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 5-0 in Imanagas last 5 starts during game 4 of a series.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Imanagas last 7 starts as an underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 11-2 in Cardinals last 13 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.12 |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.45 |
-127
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Marlins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.71 |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.27 |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Reds are 6-0 in Greenes last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Greenes last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.42 |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.41 |
-127
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. National League East.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
7.00 |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.83 |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Grays last 7 road starts.
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in last 7 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 5-2-1 in last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.07 |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.04 |
-132
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 vs. National League West.
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mariners last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 on grass.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
PHI
@
MIA
Wed, Jul 29 • 12:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Bryson Stott has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last week.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best hitter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto today.. In the past 7 days, Bryce Harper's 70% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.1%.. Utilizing Statcast data, Bryce Harper grades out in the 95th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .377.
AZ
@
PIT
Wed, Jul 29 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today's game.. Corbin Carroll has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.5% seasonal rate to 25.9% over the last 14 days.
Total RBIs
Adrian Del Castillo o0.5 Total RBIs (+288)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Jared Jones throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have an edge in today's game.. Adrian Del Castillo has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the last 7 days.. Adrian Del Castillo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 94.4-mph.. Adrian Del Castillo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 39.5% on the season to 71.4% over the last week.
TOR
@
WAS
Wed, Jul 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Moneyline
WAS (+105)
Chris Gregory
Publishing Editor
You'd think Trey Yesavage would give the Blue Jays an edge against Zack Littell, but I'm not so sure considering he's allowed 10 earned runs over his 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts. Yes, Littell got rocked for eight runs against the A's, but hasn't allowed more than two runs in five straight otherwise. I'll take the better team and the better price.
Total Hits
Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
34% of the time that Luis Garcia Jr. has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. The #1 field in the league for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.. Luis Garcia Jr. has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph dropping to 85-mph in the last 14 days.. Luis Garcia Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, decreasing from 46.9% on the season to 25% in the last two weeks.
ATL
@
NYM
Wed, Jul 29 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+157)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. This game is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Austin Riley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even more favorably, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Austin Riley has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph figure.
Total Bases
A.J. Ewing o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, A.J. Ewing is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. A.J. Ewing is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. This game is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an advantage today.. A.J. Ewing has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
BAL
@
DET
Wed, Jul 29 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Matt Vierling o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the league, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Matt Vierling will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
MIL
@
SF
Wed, Jul 29 • 3:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Christian Yelich will have the handedness advantage over Logan Webb today.
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+238)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.. Bryce Eldridge may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Milwaukee Brewers has just 1 same-handed RP.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Bryce Eldridge will hold that advantage in today's game.
COL
@
SD
Wed, Jul 29 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 1.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Fernando Tatis Jr. as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.. In the league, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. Ezequiel Tovar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 94-mph over the last 7 days.. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 42.1% on the season to 80% in the past 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ezequiel Tovar's true offensive ability to be a .297, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .051 deviation between that mark and his actual .246 wOBA.
TEX
@
TB
Wed, Jul 29 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan Vilade u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan Vilade has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (88% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Ryan Vilade hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Vilade's true offensive ability to be a .301, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .039 gap between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.. Using Statcast data, Ryan Vilade ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .187.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #4 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
CLE
@
CIN
Wed, Jul 29 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°.. Considering Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Kyle Manzardo will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Jose Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today.
ATL
@
NYM
Wed, Jul 29 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (+101)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
The Mets have consistently hit Chris Sale well, producing a .920 OPS against him. New York’s bats are also heating up, ranking fifth in OPS over the past week. Meanwhile, Christian Scott faces a daunting challenge against a Braves lineup that's been one of baseball’s best against right-handed pitching this month. Add in Atlanta’s struggling bullpen, and this game has a strong chance to clear the total.
Total Bases
Bo Bichette o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 6th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. In MLB, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Because of Chris Sale's huge platoon split, Bo Bichette will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
KC
@
MIN
Wed, Jul 29 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Royce Lewis is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 90°.. Salvador Perez has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks.. In the last two weeks, Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 100-mph of late.. Salvador Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 14.9% on the season to 28% over the past two weeks.
NYY
@
CHW
Wed, Jul 29 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total Home Runs (+910)
Projection 0.21
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Colson Montgomery as the game's 15th-best home run hitter.. Colson Montgomery is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Colson Montgomery will have the handedness advantage over Cam Schlitter today.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Guaranteed Rate Field projects as the #7 ballpark in MLB for overall left-handed offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
CHC
@
STL
Wed, Jul 29 • 7:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+317)
Projection 0.39
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 1.94
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Walker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jordan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd today.
HOU
@
LAA
Wed, Jul 29 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+118)
Projection 1.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jo Adell o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the 2nd-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's game.. Jo Adell has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 7 days.
BOS
@
ATH
Wed, Jul 29 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Nick Kurtz o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 102°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Romy Gonzalez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Romy Gonzalez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 102°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
SEA
@
LAD
Wed, Jul 29 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 9th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the best park in MLB for righty home runs.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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