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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 15, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.06 |
-230 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 -130 
|
|
4.02 |
+200 
|
u8.5 -105 
|
+1.5 +115
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Yamamotos last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Yamamotos last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lowders last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Lowders last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5+255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.38 |
+112
|
o8.5 -108 
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.73 |
-130
|
u8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 5-0 in Martins last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Griffins last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
o0.5+225
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+200
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -110
|
|
4.80 |
-220
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +100
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Jaxs last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
-250
|
o7.5 -114
|
-1.5 -135
|
|
3.85 |
+220
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 +115
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 7-1 in Misiorowskis last 8 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Brewers are 6-1 in Misiorowskis last 7 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+309
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.93 |
-205
|
o8.0 -110
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
2.95 |
+180
|
u8.5 -125
|
+1.5 +105
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Sanchezs last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Washington
- Over is 3-0-2 in Kents last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
o0.5+177
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.40 |
+118
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -182
|
|
4.38 |
-134
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +160
|
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
o0.5+212
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+110
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.64 |
-125
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +172
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mets are 4-0 in Manaeas last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.04 |
+120
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
5.42 |
-135
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Perezs last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in Gausmans last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cubs last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1100)
o0.5+1300
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.35 |
-170
|
o7.5 -120
|
-1.5 -102
|
|
3.57 |
+150
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -111
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-0 in Frieds last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0-1 in Obers last 6 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
o1.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+140
|
o8.0 -118
|
+2.5 -245
|
|
4.92 |
-160
|
u8.5 -115
|
-2.5 +195
|
San Francisco
- Over is 7-0 in Giants last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Tidwells last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cardinals last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Cardinals last 9 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+243
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
-124
|
o7.5 -125
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.91 |
+110
|
u8.5 -130
|
+1.5 -155
|
Boston
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games following a win.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rangers last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
u0.5+140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.08 |
+140
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.83 |
-155
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +138
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Royals last 8 on grass.
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Astros are 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
o1.5+135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.33 |
-188
|
o11.0 -137
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
5.66 |
+170
|
u11.5 -110
|
+1.5 +108
|
San Diego
- Padres are 8-0 in their last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Rockies last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Ezequiel Tovar o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
o1.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.14 |
-165
|
o8.0 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
4.15 |
+145
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -115
|
Seattle
- Over is 8-0 in Mariners last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Gilberts last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts vs. American League West.
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Angels last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Johnsons last 5 home starts.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5+226
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+135
|
o8.0 -150
|
+1.5 -164
|
|
5.01 |
-150
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +145
|
Miami
- Over is 6-0-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Junks last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Sorokas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Top Projection
Michael Soroka u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-135)
u4.5-135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.89 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in White Sox last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Cleveland
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.70 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.94 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
St. Louis
- Over is 6-0 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 starts a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Liberatores last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.32 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 7-0 in Rodons last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Rodons last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Matthews' last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts with 6 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.81 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 overall.
- Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.82 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as a road underdog.
- are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Rays are 5-0 in Martinezs last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.59 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.99 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in Abbotts last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Abbotts last 6 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.68 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 4-0 in Hendersons last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games.
- Under is 6-0 in Jones' last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.78 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wheelers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Phillies are 9-1 in Wheelers last 10 starts vs. National League East.
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Nationals are 6-0 in Cavallis last 6 home starts.
- Nationals are 4-0 in Cavallis last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.38 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.29 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Over is 8-0 in Bassitts last 8 starts as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 9-0 in Bassitts last 9 road starts.
- Over is 5-0 in Bassitts last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Mets last 6 interleague home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.77 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Braves last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 vs. National League Central.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0 in Imanagas last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
LAD
@
CIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Spread
LAD -1.5 (-137)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gives Los Angeles a massive edge on the mound against Rhett Lowder, who carries a 5.81 ERA into Tuesday. Rather than paying a premium on the Dodgers moneyline, I’ll lay the run and a half. With L.A.’s lineup capable of creating separation against Lowder, this sets up well for a multi-run Dodgers win.
Total Bases
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+188)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Batting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, JJ Bleday will have the upper hand today.. JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
CHW
@
CLE
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-123)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
I'm definitely backing the Cleveland Guardians and Foster Griffin at 55%, as I price them closer to a 59% favorite against the Chicago White Sox in this crucial AL Central matchup. This is a tough matchup for White Sox starter Davis Martin. His main strikeout pitches are his slider and curveball, but the Guardians are likely to stack the lineup with eight left-handed bats, meaning those pitches will be breaking into the barrels of their hitters. We also know how patient this lineup is. Martin doesn't feature an overpowering four-seam fastball and instead leans on his sinker as his best pitch. However, hitters such as José Ramírez and Chase DeLauter are exceptional contact hitters who can waste this pitch. Martin is going to be forced to challenge the Guardians in the zone with his four-seamer, and that's an advantage for Cleveland.
Total RBIs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as Major League Baseball's 2nd-best home run batter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.
ATH
@
TB
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.4
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #1 venue in MLB for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.. Zack Gelof's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 14.3% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks.. Power-wise, Zack Gelof is positioned in the 79th percentile, having averaged 25.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total Bases
Liam Hicks u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Liam Hicks has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.7-mph dropping to 82.5-mph in the past two weeks.. Liam Hicks's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 21.5% to 13.9%.. Over the last 14 days, Liam Hicks's 7.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.. Liam Hicks has been lucky this year, notching a .352 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .036 deviation.
MIL
@
PIT
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan O'Hearn o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today.. Ryan O'Hearn will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Strikeouts Thrown
Lake Bachar o1.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-185)
Projection 3.07
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Lake Bachar in the 79th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.. Lake Bachar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.. Lake Bachar's 2709-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 100th percentile among all SPs.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Lake Bachar must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 60.7% of the time, grading out in the 77th percentile.. Placing in the 79th percentile, Lake Bachar has compiled a 24.7% Strikeout% this year.
PHI
@
WAS
Tue, Sep 15 • 6:45 PM ET
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-126)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Cristopher Sanchez has been one of baseball’s most reliable starters this season, posting a 2.79 ERA with 210 strikeouts, and he gets an excellent matchup against Washington. Nationals starter Jackson Kent owns a 6.59 ERA, giving Philadelphia a significant pitching advantage before factoring in the superior lineup. At -126, I’d rather lay the 1.5 runs than pay the inflated moneyline price.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The 6th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park.. Bryce Harper has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.5-mph average.. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 51.1% on the season to 60.7% over the last two weeks.
DET
@
TOR
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:07 PM ET
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
Projection 0.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 5th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Extreme groundball bats like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Miles.
Strikeouts Thrown
Braydon Fisher o0.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-270)
Projection 3.29
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk grades out as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the slate today.. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Braydon Fisher has compiled a 28% K% since the start of last season.
BAL
@
NYM
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.
Total RBIs
Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total RBIs (+341)
Projection 0.32
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20.7%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Narvaez's true offensive talent to be a .285, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .064 difference between that mark and his actual .221 wOBA.. This year, Carlos Narvaez has an average exit velocity of 90.2 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 78th percentile.
ATL
@
CHC
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ronald Acuna Jr. has had bad variance on his side given the .027 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .373.
Total Home Runs
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1100)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate today.. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16°, Mike Yastrzemski has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.5° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games.
NYY
@
MIN
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+254)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup.. Ryan Jeffers will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.1-mph average.
Total Bases
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to better offense.. Over the last week, Aaron Judge's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%.. Despite posting a .369 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has experienced some negative variance given the .058 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .427.
SF
@
STL
Tue, Sep 15 • 7:45 PM ET
Total Bases
JB
Joshua Baez o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joshua Baez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Joshua Baez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the past 14 days, Joshua Baez's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.6%.
Total Home Runs
JB
Joshua Baez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+750)
Projection 0.16
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joshua Baez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Joshua Baez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
BOS
@
TEX
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 13th-best hitter in baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's game.. In the past two weeks, Corey Seager's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.8% up to 17.9%.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. In the past week, Wilyer Abreu's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 25%.. Wilyer Abreu's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16.7% to 21.9%.
KC
@
HOU
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Christian Walker u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Christian Walker is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The #6 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest fences in MLB.. Batting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Christian Walker will have a disadvantage today.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team today.
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.. The #6 field in the game for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest fences in MLB.. Minute Maid Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
SD
@
COL
Tue, Sep 15 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler today.
Total RBIs
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.
SEA
@
LAA
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Home Runs
J.P. Crawford o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1050)
Projection 0.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fences in Major League Baseball.. High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate today at 77%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Lazaro Montes u1.5 Total Bases (-275)
Projection 0.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lazaro Montes is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #1 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lazaro Montes today.
MIA
@
AZ
Tue, Sep 15 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 9th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average ability.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which often leads to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Bases
Joe Mack o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.26
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to lefties.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Soroka throws from, Joe Mack will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Joe Mack may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.. Joe Mack has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 94-mph in the past week's worth of games.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
