Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 16, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
MIA
@
PHI
Tue, Jun 16 • 6:40 PM ET
Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo has allowed two runs or fewer in eight of his past 10 starts while posting a solid 3.34 xERA and holding opposing hitters to 29.0% squared-up contact rate, so I’m anticipating him limiting the Marlins tonight given their middling 98 wRC+ against southpaws. I’m also expecting Philly stars Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper to lead the way offensively. Schwarber has teed off on righties to the tune of a .380 wOBA and .319 ISO, and Harper has been every bit as good with respective .415 and .301 marks.
TOR
@
BOS
Tue, Jun 16 • 6:45 PM ET
KC
@
WAS
Tue, Jun 16 • 6:45 PM ET
CHW
@
NYY
Tue, Jun 16 • 7:05 PM ET
NYM
@
CIN
Tue, Jun 16 • 7:10 PM ET
Reds starter Brady Singer has surrendered the second-highest blast contact rate with the seventh-highest xERA among starters with at least 50 innings this season, so I’m anticipating an improving New York offense to have success at the dish tonight. The Mets rank eighth in baseball in xWOBA over the past two weeks, after all, and star Juan Soto has been automatic against righties with a .420 wOBA and .290 ISO since the beginning of the 2024 campaign. Still, Singer has picked up five or more strikeouts in four of his past six starts with his strikeout percentage climbing to 20.9% after posting a 13.1% mark through his first seven outings.
Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+222)
It's not often bettors get +EV on a +222 home run prop, but THE BAT is projecting 0.43 home runs from Soto today, which is a massive number and leads all hitters on the slate by a substantial margin. Soto gets a plus matchup against Singer, who owns the seventh-worst HR/FB rate among MLB starters over the last 30 days. He's also struggling to miss bats at home, posting just a 4.9 K/9 on his own mound. Soto has been scorching the ball lately, ranking 14th in Blast Contact% over the last 30 days. This is a buy to +180.
SF
@
ATL
Tue, Jun 16 • 7:15 PM ET
CLE
@
MIL
Tue, Jun 16 • 7:40 PM ET
o8.5 (+105)
Neither starter typically works deep into games, putting additional pressure on two shaky bullpens. Cleveland's relievers own a 4.65 xERA and 4.73 BB/9 over the last week, while Milwaukee's bullpen has posted a 4.84 FIP and surrendered 1.99 home runs per nine innings recently.
CLE (+136)
Robert Gasser's underlying numbers are extremely concerning, as he owns a 7.24 FIP this season and 8.10 FIP across his last two starts. The left-hander has also surrendered 2.95 HR/9 and allowed more than half of his recent contact in the air, giving Cleveland an opportunity to generate offense.
SD
@
STL
Tue, Jun 16 • 7:45 PM ET
MIN
@
TEX
Tue, Jun 16 • 8:05 PM ET
COL
@
CHC
Tue, Jun 16 • 8:05 PM ET
DET
@
HOU
Tue, Jun 16 • 8:10 PM ET
u8.0 (-110)
Hunter Brown looked spectacular in his two early starts, posting K/9s of 12 or higher in each game with xERAs of 1.78 and 1.93.
While the Houston Astros have hit for power against lefties, they sit 20th in OBP. We shouldn’t expect an explosion of runs.
Play Under 8.0 to -120.
HOU (-155)
Framber Valdez ranks in the 30th percentile in Pitcher Run Value and has struck batters out at the lowest rate of his career.
The Houston Astros sit fourth in ISO and have struck out at the fourth lowest rate against left-handed pitching.
They should have success at the plate and provide Hunter Brown ample run support in his first game back.
Back Houston to -165.
LAA
@
AZ
Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
BAL
@
SEA
Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
PIT
@
ATH
Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
Look for the Athletics to tee off on Pirates righty Mitch Keller at the Sutter Health Park launching pad. He conveniently sports the ninth-highest xERA and ninth-lowest strikeout percentage among qualified starting pitchers, and Keller has fanned four or fewer batters in five of his past seven starts. The Athletics also pace the majors in wOBA while striking out at the fourth-lowest clip in baseball at home, and outfielder Tyler Soderstrom has posted a rock-solid .379 wOBA and .220 ISO against righties at Sutter Health the past two years and hits in the heart of the order.
o10.5 (-120)
Everything points to runs at Sutter Health Park tonight. Mitch Keller has been getting crushed, allowing 18 earned runs over his last three starts while carrying an 8.70 ERA across his last six. The A's counter with Jack Perkins, who owns a 6.20 ERA and rarely works deep into games. With both bullpens struggling, the A's swinging hot bats, and winds blowing out, this sets up as a prime Over spot.
TB
@
LAD
Tue, Jun 16 • 10:10 PM ET
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.
We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.
Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.
Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.
Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.
Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.
Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.
Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.
There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.
Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.
If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.
Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
Established in 1995,
All Picks
NFL
NCAAF
MLB
NBA
NCAAB
NHL
CFL
WNBA
Golf
World Cup
