Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 13, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
TB
@
TOR
Wed, May 13 • 7:07 PM ET
George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Despite a high ground-ball rate, Griffin Jax has been taken yard twice by George Springer in the past. And with Jax not pitching deep into his starts since converting from his role as a reliever, he'll give way to a Rays bullpen boasting the eighth-highest HR/9 in MLB.
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
DET
@
NYM
Wed, May 13 • 7:10 PM ET
The Mets singlehandedly carried the Over last night, and I think this lineup can generate offense off of Valdez as well given his recent struggles. With the Tigers likely to get deep into a thin New York bullpen and contribute runs as well, I like the Over in tonight's game.
Christian Scott has allowed just three earned runs on six hits over 9.2 innings of work in his last two starts. He’s struck out 14 batters in that span, which should cause fits for a Detroit Tigers lineup averaging 2.71 runs over its last seven games. Scott and a reenergized lineup should lead the Mets to victory tonight.
CHC
@
ATL
Wed, May 13 • 7:15 PM ET
o8.5 (-120)
The Cubs will get back on track against Ritchie, who ranks in the 20th percentile or worse in chase rate, walk rate, strikeout rate, and xERA.
Imanaga will limit Atlanta’s offense, but that will change once he exits. Chicago’s bullpen ranks second-worst in HR/FB rate, third-worst in HR rate, and dead last in xERA over the past week.
CHC (-129)
His FIP is three runs higher than his ERA, largely due to a BB/9 rate of 6.23 that is among the worst of any starter.
That sets him up for failure against the Cubs, whose 13.2% walk rate over the last two weeks is the best in baseball. They’re also third in xwOBA in that timeframe, thanks to the third-lowest strikeout rate.
MIA
@
MIN
Wed, May 13 • 7:40 PM ET
KC
@
CHW
Wed, May 13 • 7:40 PM ET
CHW (+101)
The Kansas City Royals lineup is loaded with right-handed bats in the middle of the order, especially the red-hot Bobby Witt Jr., but Noah Schultz isn’t your typical left-handed pitcher. The towering 6'10" lefty throws from a low three-quarter arm slot and features a sweeping slider that he can bury at the back foot of right-handed hitters. Because of that arm angle and the movement on the slider, right-handed batters often struggle to pull the ball for power against him. The only other major power threat in the lineup is Vinnie Pasquantino, who has historically struggled against left-handed pitching. On the other side, the Chicago White Sox can stack as many as seven left-handed hitters against Seth Lugo, which gives them a meaningful platoon advantage throughout the lineup. When you put all of that together, I think the White Sox should be trading closer to -125 favorites in this matchup.
SD
@
MIL
Wed, May 13 • 7:40 PM ET
Jacob Misiorowski u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-133)
Jacob Misiorowski continues to emerge as a reliable force in the Milwaukee Brewers’ rotation, carrying a 2.45 ERA while holding opponents to a .162 batting average. The rookie has thrown back-to-back scoreless outings and has stayed Under this line in three of his last four starts. Against an inconsistent San Diego Padres offense, Misiorowski is positioned to continue his dominant run at home.
u7.5 (-133)
The last thing a slumping offense needs is to face MLB’s strikeout leader. Misiorowski has fanned 70 in 44 innings including 19 in the last 11.1. He threw the seven fastest four-seamers in the pitch-tracking era in his last start and is 99th percentile in velocity and strikeout rate, 98th in swing-and-miss. And his breaking stuff ranks even higher than his fastball. Meanwhile, the Padres start Michael King, who has a 2.76 ERA and allows just 5.5 hits per nine innings.
AZ
@
TEX
Wed, May 13 • 8:05 PM ET
SEA
@
HOU
Wed, May 13 • 8:10 PM ET
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Randy Arozarena is scorching hot at the plate, batting .522 over the last week and already collecting six hits in this series against Houston. The Seattle Mariners slugger also owns strong career numbers versus Lance McCullers Jr., going 7-for-17 with a homer. With McCullers struggling badly lately, Arozarena is in a prime spot to deliver another multi-base performance Wednesday.
u9.0 (-105)
The Astros have scored just four runs over their last four games. They are in miserable form at the dish and it's unlikely to get better against Bryce Miller and a strong Mariners bullpen. Seattle should score against Lance McCullers Jr., but they'll likely need a very big number to push this game Over the total.
STL
@
ATH
Wed, May 13 • 9:40 PM ET
SF
@
LAD
Wed, May 13 • 10:10 PM ET
Shohei Ohtani u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-110)
SEA
@
HOU
Thu, May 14 • 2:10 PM ET
o9.0 (-110)
Both Luis Castillo and Mike Burrows own ERAs north of 5.00, and their underlying metrics offer little hope for improvement. While Burrows ranks in the 17th percentile in pitching run value, Castillo sits even lower in the fourth. Expect a slugfest at Daikin Park.
MIL
@
STL
Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
u8.0 (-120)
If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.
Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.
MIL (-110)
Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.
Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.
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