MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 27, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Mon, Jul 27 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs
Evan Carter logo
Evan Carter o0.5 Total RBIs (+321)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Evan Carter ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Evan Carter is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge today.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Pittsburgh Pirates logo o9.0 (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

I don't trust either starter even a lick, and considering the Pirates have scored the most runs in baseball in the last 30 days and the Diamondbacks are seventh on that list, this has the makings of a night to forget for Merrill Kelly and Mitch Keller.

Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.19
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Ketel Marte's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 14.2% on the season to 23.5% over the past 7 days.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ketel Marte's true offensive talent to be a .359, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .033 gap between that figure and his actual .326 wOBA.. Ketel Marte has recorded a .366 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense.. With a 26.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Taylor Ward has performed in the 78th percentile for power.
Total Bases
Matt Vierling logo
Matt Vierling o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Vierling's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage today.. Despite posting a .252 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Vierling has experienced some negative variance given the .061 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Mon, Jul 27 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.. Kyle Stowers's launch angle this year (17.3°) is a significant increase over his 14.2° mark last year.
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Wheeler has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's game.. Kyle Stowers's launch angle this year (17.3°) is a significant increase over his 14.2° mark last year.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Mon, Jul 27 • 6:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Toronto Blue Jays logo Washington Nationals logo o10.0 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

Aggressively fading Max Scherzer is not something I ever thought I'd do, but here we are. He returns to the Blue Jays rotation out of necessity and to show whatever is left in the tank. Not much, if the early returns of 2026 are to be believed. Plus, the Nationals own the highest-scoring offense in baseball. By a lot. The reason they're not better is that their pitching staff has the fourth-worst ERA, so even an anemic offense like Toronto's can scratch across a few runs against Andrew Alvarez & Co.

Total Bases
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Nationals Park has the 7th-least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level on the schedule today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Dylan Crews has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week's worth of games.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
JJ Bleday is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage over Slade Cecconi in today's matchup.. JJ Bleday pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases
Angel Martinez logo
Angel Martinez o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Angel Martinez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the weakest among every team playing today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ New York Mets logo NYM Mon, Jul 27 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.97
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Matt Olson is in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .349.. In notching a 28.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Matt Olson has performed in the 84th percentile for power.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game.. Francisco Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Mon, Jul 27 • 7:40 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Yankees logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I’m playing the Over because Schultz gives New York too many ways to build offense. The Yankees do not need a perfect travel spot if they are getting free traffic and airborne contact from a pitcher allowing a 63.3% air-ball rate.

Chicago can contribute enough on the other side, too. The White Sox are not a pure power offense, but their .324 OBP and 381 walks give them a path to pressure Max Fried into traffic. Fried is Fried but you get the sense that the White Sox offense won't have to do much here. I'd play this to 9.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I’m backing the New York Yankees and would play them up to -150.

Noah Schultz’s profile is a poor fit against this lineup. He owns a 6.07 xERA, near-11% barrel rate, and a bottom-15th percentile walk rate. That is a bad mix against a Yankees offense built to punish free traffic and loud contact. Even without Aaron Judge, New York remains in the AL East race because of strong pitching and impact contact, ranking first in barrel rate and third in hard-hit rate. This is the right matchup for the Yankees to do damage early

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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Mon, Jul 27 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for hitters.. Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Mon, Jul 27 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Christian Walker logo
Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+173)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense profiles as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.5°, Christian Walker has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 31.9° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Based on Statcast metrics, Christian Walker ranks in the 78th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.400.
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Angel Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage today.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Mon, Jul 27 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Boston Red Sox logo BOS -1.5 (+101)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Jason Wilson image
Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor

I actually like A's starter Jack Perkins in spite of his 6.75 ERA. His under-the-hood metrics all grade out better than the results have shown, but pitching at Sutter Health Park has proven to be a minefield for him and most of the Athletics' hurlers. The Over is also in play, but I like Boston's bats, which should include a debuting Curtis Mead, enough to take the run line for the red-hot visitors.

Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.26
Best Odds
Pick made: 46 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest fences among all parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 104°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Mon, Jul 27 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+218)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryce Eldridge in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Bryce Eldridge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+191)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.3-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today's matchup.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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