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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 10, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.94 |
-153 
|
o8.0 -118 
|
-1.5 +109
|
|
4.52 |
+146 
|
u8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -116
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 home games.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5 +240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.16 |
+130
|
o8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.01 |
-140
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +146
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Elders last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
o1.5 +250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.07 |
+101
|
o8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +162
|
|
4.58 |
-104 
|
u8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -168
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 9-0 in Rogers' last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 5-0 in Rogers' last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Orioles are 5-0 in Rogers' last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Orioles are 5-0 in Rogers' last 5 road starts.
Minnesota
- Under is 9-1 in Twins last 10 home games.
- Under is 8-1 in Twins last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 9-1 in Twins last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Top Projection
Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.47 |
-112
|
o9.0 -109
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
4.78 |
+107
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -160 
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 on grass.
St. Louis
- Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Cardinals last 11 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5 +165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
-106
|
o7.5 -121
|
-1.5 +149
|
|
4.17 |
+101
|
u8.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -168
|
Texas
- Over is 6-0 in Gores last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-0 in Gores last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gores last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Gores last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0-1 in Detmers' last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 7-0 in Detmers' last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Detmers' last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
o0.5 +202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.17 |
-114
|
o7.0 -110
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.32 |
+107
|
u7.5 -137
|
+1.5 -168
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 7-0 in Hendersons last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5 +226
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.49 |
-155
|
o9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +101
|
|
5.50 |
+144
|
u10.0 -114
|
+1.5 -112
|
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Lopezs last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+132)
o0.5 +140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.20 |
+180
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -112
|
|
5.35 |
-194
|
u8.5 +101
|
-1.5 +101
|
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Arizona
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Sorokas last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5 +250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.36 |
-142
|
o8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +119
|
|
3.94 |
+132
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -131
|
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
o0.5 +215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.37 |
+250
|
o7.5 +114
|
+2.0 -125
|
|
5.14 |
-265
|
u7.5 -122
|
-2.0 -104
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5 +240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.04 |
-116
|
o7.0 -120
|
-1.5 +146
|
|
3.57 |
+104
|
u7.5 -122
|
+1.5 -168
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Miami
- Under is 10-1 in Marlins last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+105
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.58 |
-120
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +169
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.62 |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
|
3.88 |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 6-0 in Imanagas last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a road favorite.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+115
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.22 |
-130
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +165
|
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Weathers' last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.84 |
+134
|
o7.5 +102
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
|
4.27 |
-145
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +146
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 9-0 in their last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.20 |
+110
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -185
|
|
|
5.00 |
-126
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +176
|
NY Mets
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.74 |
+101
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -209
|
|
|
5.09 |
-112
|
u9.5 -114
|
-1.5 +140
|
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Under is 7-0-1 in Twins last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Twins are 7-0 in Obers last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Twins are 6-0 in Obers last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Obers last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
+140
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.64 |
-155
|
u8.5 -124
|
-1.5 +136
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Burkes last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-2 in White Sox last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.16 |
-161
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +104
|
|
|
3.45 |
+140
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -118
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Cardinals are 8-1 in Pallantes last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Pallantes last 7 home starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.19 |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.15 |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.66 |
-136
|
o7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +126
|
|
|
4.03 |
+120
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -142
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 road games.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League West.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts on grass.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.59 |
+150
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
|
5.61 |
-168
|
u9.5 -124
|
-1.5 +126
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 7-0 in Suganos last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 7-1 in Suganos last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. National League West.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.58 |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.51 |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 8-0 in Martinezs last 8 starts on grass.
Athletics
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.23 |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.74 |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.19 |
+226
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 +110
|
|
|
5.61 |
-265
|
u8.5 -122
|
-1.5 -122
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Matthews' last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Phillies are 7-0 in Wheelers last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Phillies last 6 during game 3 of a series.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-0 in Leahys last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Leahys last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-200
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Rays last 6 vs. American League West.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-209
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Brewers last 10 overall.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Padres last 8 during game 3 of a series.
BOS
@
TOR
Mon, Aug 10 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Wilyer Abreu stands out as my favorite home run look from the Boston Red Sox against Toronto Blue Jays right hander Jameson Taillon. Taillon enters Monday with the worst pitcher rating on Batters-Box's current season dataset and owns poorly rated matchups in wOBA, ISO and hard contact. He has also struggled badly against left handed hitters, who have generated a near 17% barrel rate and 76.2% elevation rate over his last 60 batters faced. Abreu enters in excellent form, carrying an elite rating while producing a 20% barrel rate, .730 SLG, .433 ISO, 212 wRC+ and 29.4% HR/FB rate over his last 10 games.
Total Home Runs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+675)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Guerrero has one career homer against Gray in 13 at-bats, with his average exit velocity near 92 MPH. Gray has coughed up a long ball in three of his last six starts, and in a hitter-friendly park like Rogers Centre, I'll give Vladdy the benefit of the doubt.
NYM
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 10 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+344)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Matt Olson finds himself in an excellent spot against New York Mets right hander Christian Scott, carrying an elite Batters-Box rating and 72.2% arsenal coverage. Scott has struggled more against left handed hitters this season, with the last 90 he has faced posting a .500 xSLG and .287 xBA while elevating the baseball nearly 61% of the time. Olson has also been crushing the baseball lately, producing a 50% hard-hit rate, 30.8% barrel rate and 80.8% elevation rate over his last ten games. With strong power numbers across the board, I expect Olson to make plenty of noise tonight.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-168)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Francisco Alvarez finds himself in a strong spot against Bryce Elder and the Atlanta Braves. Alvarez enters Monday with an elite Batters-Box rating while covering over 90% of Elder's pitch mix. Across 35 elite ratings over the last three seasons, Alvarez has gone over this prop 57.14% of the time, including six of his last ten. He has also been excellent against right handed pitching, posting a .306 BA, .433 OBP, .612 SLG and .306 ISO over his last 60. Elder has struggled against right handed hitters, allowing significant hard contact and power. At -170 or better, Alvarez remains playable.
BAL
@
MIN
Mon, Aug 10 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
BAL (-112)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
The Baltimore Orioles are taking on Dean Kremer in a revenge spot after trading him to the Minnesota Twins on July 31, but let's be honest—the revenge angle doesn't scare me. If anything, Orioles hitters should have an extensive scouting report on Kremer and know his arsenal well. That arsenal includes heavy reliance on his four-seam fastball, a pitch carrying a -2 run value this season. Leaning on a mediocre fastball is a problem against this Orioles lineup, especially with Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso, two of the biggest bats at the top of the order, both excellent fastball hitters. The Orioles are trading as a 53-cent favorite on Polymarket, and I price them closer to 55 cents. It's not a massive edge, but an edge is an edge, and that's all we need.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.21
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Colton Cowser ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level of the day at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams on the slate today.. Colton Cowser has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.43 ft/sec to 27.93 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
PHI
@
STL
Mon, Aug 10 • 7:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+521)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Burleson has hit 16 of his 19 homers against right-handed pitchers while sporting a monster .240 ISO and .414 wOBA. This is also a favorable pitching matchup. Phillies righty Andrew Painter sports a 5.13 xERA and his 1.8 HR/9 is the 13th-highest mark among pitchers with at least 70 innings pitched. Excellent hitting conditions are in the forecast tonight at Busch Stadium, too.
Total
o8.5 (-126)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
This Over is my favorite bet for this game because Cardinals righty Hunter Dobbins has only made five starts this season, and the Phillies are third in xwOBA with an average of 4.72 runs per game since the All-Star Break. St. Louis is also set for statistical correction at the dish. Despite ranking seventh in hard-hit percentage and third in both squared-up contact and blast-contact rates across the past 30 days, the Cards sit 23rd in BABIP, and they have a soft pitching matchup with Phillies righty Andrew Painter sporting a 5.13 xERA. Favorable hitting conditions are forecast at Busch Stadium tonight, too.
TEX
@
LAA
Mon, Aug 10 • 9:38 PM ET
Moneyline
LAA (+109)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Total Bases
Jose Siri u1.5 Total Bases (-330)
Projection 0.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jose Siri is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 84th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers.. When it comes to his batting average, Jose Siri has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .221 BA has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .092.
MIL
@
SD
Mon, Aug 10 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+474)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Jackson Chourio is destroying baseballs with four homers in his last seven games and a massive 35.3% barrel rate. Nearly half of his contact has been in the air, while Mize is coming off a rough Padres debut and San Diego’s bullpen has allowed plenty of fly-ball contact lately as well.
Total
u7.5 (-126)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 7.5 leans on muted lineup splits and strong relief work. San Diego owns a 94 wRC+ at home, while Milwaukee sits at 98 on the road. Henderson is dealing, and both bullpens enter in strong form, giving this matchup a clear path to stay tight late tonight overall.
TB
@
ATH
Mon, Aug 10 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+226)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Junior Caminero is in an excellent spot to go deep against Athletics left hander Jacob Lopez. Caminero has homered in nearly 30% of his elite-rated games this season and is the highest-rated Rays hitter on Batters-Box today, covering 80.5% of Lopez's pitches. Against southpaws over his last 60 plate appearances, Caminero owns a .580 SLG, 1.013 OPS and .260 ISO while generating a 51.3% hard-hit rate. He has also produced a 23.1% barrel rate over his last 10 games. With favorable weather in Sacramento, including near 10 MPH winds toward left center, Caminero is worth backing at +225 or better.
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+200)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Junior Caminero leads the Rays in average fly ball distance by nearly 40 feet over the last 15 games while also pacing the group in barrel rate at 13.6%.
Jacob Lopez has conceded 1.86 homers per nine innings to righties, a full home run more than he allows to lefties. Favorable hitting conditions won't help.
I'd take Caminero to leave the yard down to +186.
COL
@
AZ
Mon, Aug 10 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Kepler u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Max Kepler has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field has the 10th-highest fences among all major league stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Max Kepler pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in the league for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Gabriel Hughes today.
HOU
@
SF
Mon, Aug 10 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+320)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Giants starter Blade Tidwell has surrendered a massive .396 wOBA and 1.98 HR/9 to left-handed batters during his career, and Alvarez sports the highest ISO and slugging percentage in the majors against righties among batters with at least 300 plate appearances. The unfavorable hitting conditions forecasted at Oracle Park tonight are also inflating the price for this prop.
Total
o8.5 (+101)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Even with the weather forecast calling for unfavorable hitting conditions, the Houston offense is set up to put runs on the board tonight with San Fran righty Blade Tidwell making just his fourth career start. He’s allowed opposing hitters to tee off to the tune of a .386 wOBA and .869 OPS across the first three, after all. Plus, in addition to Houston ranking third in wOBA and sixth in xwOBA across the past two weeks, the Astros also rank ninth in wOBA and fifth in ISO against righties for the year. It’s all added up to Houston playing to the Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.85 Units / 18% ROI), too.
KC
@
LAD
Mon, Aug 10 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total Home Runs (+216)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Shohei Ohtani's is even better at home (168 wRC+ and .297 ISO) and carries his power regardless of platoon split (11 home runs against left-handed pitchers). The wind will be blowing out to center field, and either Noah Cameron (contact-prone, lack of groundballs) or the bullpen (71 HRs allowed, third most) can be had for a dinger.
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
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