MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 16, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark
Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Aug 16 • 12:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Tropicana Field projects as the #4 field in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Junior Caminero ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field projects as the #4 field in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Aug 16 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Hits
Nick Sogard logo
Nick Sogard u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nick Sogard is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.. Homers are generally less common at parks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all stadiums.. The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Paul Skenes. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Sogard in today's matchup.. In the past week, Nick Sogard's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 7.7%.
Total Bases
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+280)
Projection 1.07
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
PNC Park grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense.. This game is forecasted to have the highest humidity on the schedule today (89%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Because of Patrick Sandoval's large platoon split, Henry Davis will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Henry Davis will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Sun, Aug 16 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Austin Riley ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 94°.. Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 6th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to right-handed batters.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather on the slate at 94°.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Sun, Aug 16 • 1:37 PM ET
Total Hits
Alejandro Kirk logo
Alejandro Kirk u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the schedule today.. Alejandro Kirk has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.3% rate last season has fallen off to 2.2% this year.. Alejandro Kirk's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 86.9-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 81.3-mph over the past 7 days.. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 12.4% on the season to 9.1% in the last two weeks.
Total Bases
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. u1.5 Total Bases (-182)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Luis Garcia Jr. has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.. The league's 8th-tallest average fence height can be found at Rogers Centre.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-best for pitching on the schedule today.. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Garcia Jr. today.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o0.5 Total RBIs (+159)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Sal Stewart has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Griffin Conine logo
Griffin Conine o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best field in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Griffin Conine pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. In the past week's worth of games, Griffin Conine's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18% up to 40%.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
San Diego Padres logo SD (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Tanner Bibee has a 6.00 ERA through two starts in August, and the Padres are batting .423 against him as a team all-time (65 at-bats). Casey Mize exits his first quality start in a San Diego uniform, and has both a terrific bullpen and a red-hot offense to back him up.

Total Bases
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field profiles as the #2 field in the league for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report projects the 3rd-most humidity of the day at 84%.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee in today's matchup.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Moneyline
New York Mets logo NYM (-157)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Jake Irvin's ERA is 5.79 and climbing because teams are barreling him up early and often (third percentile). The Mets (sixth in barrel rate) will tee off on him and Washington's dismal bullpen, which ranks dead-last by xERA this month. Play to -170.

Total Bases
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Aug 16 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson logo
Spencer Torkelson u1.5 Total Bases (-225)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Comerica Park as the 7th-worst field in the game for righty BABIP.. Sean Burke will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Torkelson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Sean Burke.
Total Bases
Dillon Dingler logo
Dillon Dingler o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Dillon Dingler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 5th-best hitting conditions on the schedule today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Aug 16 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+182)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer in today's matchup.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Total RBIs
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average ability.. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 14.9% on the season to 41.7% in the past 7 days.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Sun, Aug 16 • 3:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. The 6th-shallowest LF fences in the league are found in Wrigley Field.. This game is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.
Total Bases
Jose Fermin logo
Jose Fermin o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. This game is projected to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jose Fermin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Jose Fermin's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 47.7% on the season to 66.7% over the past week.. Jose Fermin has put up a .284 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ezequiel Tovar logo
Ezequiel Tovar o0.5 Total RBIs (+289)
Projection 0.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.3-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. The San Francisco Giants infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today.. Ezequiel Tovar has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.7% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past week.. Despite posting a .255 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Tovar has suffered from bad luck given the .038 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .293.. Using Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .271.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Buddy Kennedy logo
Buddy Kennedy o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+172)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.3-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Buddy Kennedy will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. Ranking in the 84th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.69 ft/sec since the start of last season, Buddy Kennedy is remarkably athletic.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, Aug 16 • 4:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Justin Foscue logo
Justin Foscue o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best venue in MLB for RHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Given Jacob Lopez's large platoon split, Justin Foscue will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Athletics.
Total Bases
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the best venue in MLB for RHB home runs.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Sun, Aug 16 • 4:07 PM ET
Total Hits
Nolan Schanuel logo
Nolan Schanuel u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Noah Cameron will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan Schanuel in today's matchup.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.. Nolan Schanuel has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) in the past week.. Ranking in the 4th percentile, the hardest ball Nolan Schanuel has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.6 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
Total Hits
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Angel Stadium projects as the #25 field in baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.. In the last two weeks, Mike Trout's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.7% down to 8.7%.. Mike Trout's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 44% on the season to 33.3% over the last week.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, Aug 16 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Andy Pages is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best park in the game for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, Aug 16 • 7:20 PM ET
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

I think both Bryan Woo and Hunter Brown will have their way with the offenses early. However, the Astros have a huge edge in the bullpen battle (sixth vs. 24th in xERA in August) and at the plate (seventh in OPS vs. 28th). Roll with the home team to -140.

Total Hits
Daulton Varsho logo
Daulton Varsho u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daulton Varsho's BABIP skill is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #2 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to worse offense.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.4% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt logo
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.