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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 3, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.92 |
-120 
|
o8.5 -105 
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.86 |
+117 
|
u8.5 -110 
|
+1.5 -148
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-0 in Cubs last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-0 in Cubs last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.88 |
-109
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
4.34 |
+110
|
u8.5 -109
|
+1.5 -155
|
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Red Sox are 7-0 in Bennetts last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.20 |
+105
|
o9.0 -110
|
+1.5 -214
|
|
5.30 |
-111
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +152
|
Miami
- Under is 7-0 in Alcantaras last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Royals last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5+160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
-121
|
o7.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.94 |
+111
|
u8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -160
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 on grass.
Texas
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 on grass.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Quantrills last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.03 |
+190
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.49 |
-210
|
u7.5 -118
|
-1.5 +110
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
Seattle
- Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Mariners are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Mariners last 5 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
u1.5-180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 |
+253
|
o7.5 -105
|
+2.5 -145
|
|
5.01 |
-270
|
u7.5 -105
|
-2.5 +120
|
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games.
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
LA Dodgers
- Under is 7-0 in Dodgers last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games.
Top Projection
Quinn Mathews u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+102)
u4.5+104
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.13 |
+115
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.13 |
-110
|
u8.5 -115 
|
-1.5 +172
|
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mizes last 6 starts vs. American League Central.
- Under is 7-0 in Monteros last 7 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Mizes last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.93 |
-153
|
o9.5 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
5.02 |
+143
|
u9.5 -105
|
+1.5 -118
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 on grass.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Reds are 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.72 |
-101
|
o6.5 -112
|
-1.5 +170
|
|
3.99 |
-108
|
u7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -195
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0 in Sales last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Sales last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games as a road underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 6-0 in Sanchezs last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.06 |
+175
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
5.33 |
-195
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +115
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 7-0-1 in Angels last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Angels last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Angels last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.77 |
-115
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
|
4.01 |
+105
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
Boston
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
Baltimore
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Orioles last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.53 |
-121
|
o7.5 -118
|
-1.5 +135
|
|
|
3.73 |
+114
|
u8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -154
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 7-0 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.93 |
+158
|
o8.0 -115
|
+2.5 -260
|
|
5.03 |
-172
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +125
|
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Giants last 6 on grass.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 road games.
NY Mets
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mets last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Mets last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
+116
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
|
4.95 |
-130
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +158
|
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.11 |
+110
|
o9.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.37 |
-118
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +165
|
Minnesota
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Twins last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 6-1 in Twins last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Twins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- White Sox are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 9-1 in White Sox last 10 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.67 |
-104
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -240
|
|
|
4.52 |
+101
|
u8.5 -130
|
-1.5 +180
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 road games.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 on grass.
Texas
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 on grass.
- Over is 10-1 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
+116
|
o8.5 -125
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.62 |
-125
|
u9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +165
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 7-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Houston
- Under is 2-0-2 in Astros last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 1-0-3 in Astros last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 interleague games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.14 |
+105
|
o9.5 -115
|
+1.5 -214
|
|
|
4.86 |
-115
|
u10.0 -115
|
-1.5 +152
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Blue Jays last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Kansas City
- Over is 6-0-2 in Royals last 8 games a home underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.43 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.42 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 8-0 in Cardinals last 8 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 home games.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Rockies last 5 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.49 |
-125
|
o7.0 -145
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
3.36 |
+115
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -152
|
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a favorite.
San Diego
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. American League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.20 |
+240
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 +110
|
|
|
5.26 |
-300
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 -135
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Dodgers are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.63 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 overall.
Seattle
- Under is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 vs. American League West.
- Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
MIL
@
CHC
Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (+101)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
There have been 47 runs through the first three games of this series, and Chicago ranks second in xwOBA over the past 30 days, and Milwaukee checks in seventh. Additionally, the two teams have emptied their bullpens during the set with the Cubs relying on relievers for 12 innings and the Milwaukee bullpen pitching 14 frames. As a result, late-innings runs are also in the cards tonight.
Moneyline
MIL (-103)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Brewers have a sizable pitching edge in this series finale. Youngster Logan Henderson has allowed just three runs across his past three starts while posting an elite 2.82 xERA that’s right in line with his 2.73 year-long mark that ranks fifth among starters with at least 70 innings pitched. Chicago veteran Kevin Gausman hasn’t been nearly as consistent, and he’s allowed three runs or more in three of his five starts with the club for a solid – but unspectacular – 3.69 xERA and 3.60 xFIP. Both offenses are raking at the dish, and there have been 47 runs through the first three games of the series, so I’m siding with the superior starter tonight.
BOS
@
BAL
Thu, Sep 3 • 7:15 PM ET
Outs Recorded
Brandon Young u17.5 Outs Recorded (-125)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Brandon Young has been one of the luckier pitchers in the second half of baseball, with an xERA more than a full point higher than his 3.33 ERA. He is giving up homers and has the worst HR/FB rate in the second half among any starter on today's slate. With Baltimore in a tight playoff race and all but two arms likely unavailable in the bullpen today, any issues could be enough to get the hook for a pitcher who is 50% to the Over since the break and has been on the good side of some luck. The projection for the right-hander against the No. 2 scoring offense in the second half is 86 pitches and 15.68 outs, which would give bettors value on the Under if/when this number flips to 16.5. If this gets any shorter on 17.5, I'd suggest waiting for the move to 16.5 and playing that to -110.
Total Home Runs
Mickey Gasper o0.5 Total Home Runs (+510)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
Brandon Young has been one of the luckier pitchers in the second half of the MLB season. His HR/FB rate is the 30th-worst among all MLB starters and the worst on today's slate. His xERA is more than a point higher than his actual ERA, and the warmer temperatures and winds blowing out to right aren't going to help him. Mickey Gasper is a switch-hitter who has been crushing right-handed pitching this year. It's been a small sample, but nobody has been a better slugging hitter than Gasper over the last two weeks, with a .964 SLG. I bet on him yesterday to no avail, but I'll happily go back to him in a better matchup that I'd play to 4.5x.
MIA
@
KC
Thu, Sep 3 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Michael Massey is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. This year, Michael Massey has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest RF fences in today's game.. The Miami Marlins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams playing today.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #6 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 95°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.
TB
@
TEX
Thu, Sep 3 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Justin Foscue o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Rays lefty Shane McClanahan has hit a snag to the tune of a 4.62 xERA and 4.66 xFIP with a healthy 44.8% hard-hit rate allowed to right-handed hitters, so Foscue is a prime candidate to go deep tonight. Foscue boasts a monster .304 ISO against lefties, and he’s sporting an .800 slugging percentage across his past 22 plate appearances.
Total
u7.5 (+109)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Rangers and Rays respectively rank 22nd and 20th in xwOBA over the past 30 days, and in particular, I'm anticipating Texas righty Cal Quantrill to do the heavy lifting to keep this total Under the number tonight. He’s spun a tidy 2.96 xERA and 3.32 xFIP through his past six outings, and the Rays have played to the Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI).
ATH
@
SEA
Thu, Sep 3 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total Home Runs (+291)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Raleigh is coming off an August tear, where he hit six homers in the last week of the month. Can he continue that tonight against Perkins? Well, Perkins' barrel rate is in the 26th percentile among qualified pitchers, and his given up nine homers on his four-seamer, a pitch Raleigh has hit 11 of his 20 homers on. If anyone is hitting a bomb, Raleigh has a great chance tonight.
Total
u7.5 (-121)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
I get it, these pitchers aren't household names, but Anderson's underlying metrics look good, and Jack Perkins has a strong history against the Mariners. Across 27 plate appearances, he's limited this Seattle offense to a .173 xBA and is striking them out at a 33% clip. This includes Julio Rodriguez, Cal Raleigh, and Josh Naylor, who are a combined 1-for-6 against the righty.
STL
@
LAD
Thu, Sep 3 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Hernandez has been eating against lefties this season, owning a .822 OPS and hitting five of his 12 homers off southpaws. He's seeing the ball great right now, too, with six hits in his last three games. Although he missed all of June, Hernandez has lost some of his power this year, but he's in a great spot tonight against a young lefty. At this price, you almost have to hit the button.
Total
u7.5 (+101)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
We're seeing a couple of the best Under teams in baseball this year, both hitting at a 54% clip, and with Skubal on the mound, runs for the Cardinals will be few and far between. The Dodgers ace owns a 7.6 barrel percentage, one of the lowest marks of his career, so I'm expecting some weak contact tonight.
DET
@
CLE
Fri, Sep 4 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-250)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
David Fry is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the league.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, David Fry will not have the upper hand today.
Total Bases
Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate at 86%.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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