Likely Group B winners Belgium will wrap up group stage play against Euro debutants Finland on Monday.
While Belgium are through to the Round of 16, Finland could need other results to go their way should they fail to collect any points in their final group game.
Read on for our Finland vs. Belgium tips and predictions for June 21.
Game info
• Location: Saint Petersburg Stadium, St. Petersburg, Russia
• Date: Monday, June 21, 2021
• Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN2, TSN
Finland vs Belgium betting tips
- Belgium (-334)
- Under 2.5 (-110)
Read on for complete analysis
Finland vs Belgium match odds
Finland: +1,000
Belgium: -334
Draw: +425
Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: -110
Under 2.5: -110
Odds as of June 19, 2021, at 1:35 p.m. ET.
Euro 2020 sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick EversonIt's another Euro 2020 match with a healthy favorite and big underdog, as TwinSpires has this contest at Belgium -295/Finland +900/Draw +400 at 12:15 p.m. ET. And bettors are OK laying the heavy price with the Belgians, who are attracting 82 percent of bets and 88 percent of cash on the three-way moneyline. Finland is getting 10 percent of bets/8 percent of money, and Draw is landing 8 percent of bets/4 percent of money. The total of 2.5 is seeing 70 percent of bets/75 percent of dollars on the Over.
Finland vs Belgium betting preview
Weather
After a rainy Monday afternoon in St. Petersburg, the clouds are expected to clear out and give Finland and Belgium a clear night, with temperatures around 85 degrees Farenheit.
Key injuries
Finland: No injuries to report.
Belgium: Timothy Castagne (Out).
Matchup
| Finland | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | World Ranking | 1 |
| 1 | Goals For | 5 |
| 1 | Goals Against | 1 |
| 1-0 loss vs. Russia | Previous Game | 2-1 vs. Denmark |
| Glen Kamara | Player to Watch | Kevin De Bruyne |
Finland vs Belgium predictions
Moneyline pick
The world's No. 1 team, Belgium, managed to get through a difficult game against Denmark with a late 2-1 victory. Now, barring a big loss to Finland, they should have their group secure. As a result, they are likely to rotate their squad a fair bit, with key players like Romelu Lukaku in line for a rest.
While Lukaku and their aging defense may get the game off, other vital parts like Kevin De Bruyne, Eden Hazard, and Axel Witsel could see some game time, as they work back to full fitness. As De Bruyne proved against Denmark, he doesn't need a full 90 to completely change a game, with his substitution performance turning out to be a match-winner.
Finland may only need a point to give themselves a great chance of progressing out of the group, but that does little to change their approach in this one. As they have done against Denmark and Russia, Finland will sit deep and try to hit on the counter or via set pieces. They may do a decent job of keeping Belgium out for a large portion of the game, but whether it's Belgium's reserves or a substitute around the hour mark, their opponents have the skill to get by even without a full-strength team.
They may not need it, but Belgium will take another win in the group stage.
PREDICTION: Belgium (-334)
Over/Under pick
Belgium found themselves in a familiar spot in the 2018 World Cup, already having progressed but not with first-place in hand. Despite their uncertain position, Belgium rolled out a reserve team and played a lethargic outing against England, in which they won 1-0 in a game neither team looked threatening in.
We can expect a similarly passive performance in this one, with Belgium not needing to push high or try to create a litany of chances. Their talent and Finland's tactical approach will still have them in control of possession for the most part and creating the majority of chances, but it shouldn't be surprising to see Belgium lack a clinical final touch in this one.
If Belgium are ahead by a goal late and Finland needs to start to push and play more expansive, there's a chance they're punished more than once and the total goes Over. But the majority of this game is going to be as attacking as Belgium want it to be, and history tells us they'll be happy to cruise through to the Round of 16.
PREDICTION: Under 2.5 (-110)
Picks made on 6/19/2021 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Euro 2020 betting sites
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