As we gear up for the final set of Euro 2020 round-robin group stage matches, few games have no impact on the final standings but Monday's tilt between North Macedonia and the host Netherlands is in that small minority.
The Dutch, 2-0 in Group C play, have already secured their spot in the Round of 16 as they entertain a North Macedonia team that has been officially eliminated from knockout round contention. What will that mean for the fates of both teams at Johan Cruijff ArenA on Monday? Likely not much.
While both sides are expected to tinker with their lineups, the Netherlands are still the far superior team and might actually fare better against a group of North Macedonian reserves playing in their first major international event.
Check out our North Macedonia vs. Netherlands tips and predictions on June 19.
North Macedonia vs Netherlands game info
• Location: Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam, Netherlands
• Date: Monday, June 21, 2021
• Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN, TSN 1/3/4
North Macedonia vs Netherlands betting tips
- Netherlands (-334)
- Over 2.5 (-175)
Read on for complete analysis
North Macedonia vs Netherlands odds
North Macedonia: +1,000
Netherlands: -334
Draw: +425
Total: 2.5
Over 2.5: -175
Under 2.5: +137
Odds as of June 20, 2021, at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Euro 2020 sharp money and line movement report
By Patrick EversonAs of 10:45 a.m. ET, 75 minutes before this match starts, Netherlands is a hefty -400 favorite at PointsBet USA, with North Macedonia correspondingly a +1,000 underdog and Draw +500. Almost no one wants to lay the heavy price on the Dutch, as North Macedonia is grabbing 92 percent of tickets and 93 percent of money. Netherlands is getting about 5 percent of tickets and cash, while Draw is 3 percent of tickets/2 percent of money. On the total of 2.5, the Over is landing 66 percent of bets/53 percent of money.
North Macedonia vs Netherlands betting preview
Weather
It's going to be a soggy one at Johan Cruijff ArenA, with persistent rain expected throughout the match. Temperatures will be in the high-50s Fahrenheit, with winds blowing at 16 miles per hour.
Key injuries
North Macedonia: Ilija Nestorovski (Out).
Netherlands: Donny van de Beek (Out).
North Macedonia vs Netherlands matchup
| North Macedonia | Netherlands | |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | World Ranking | 16 |
| 2 | Goals For | 5 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 2-1 L vs. Ukraine | Previous Game | 2-0 W vs. Austria |
| Ezgjan Alioski | Player to Watch | Memphis Depay |
North Macedonia vs Netherlands predictions
Moneyline pick
The Netherlands are the final team in the eight-team top tier of championship contenders, listed at +1200 to win it all with the next-closest team behind them (Denmark) listed at +5000. And while the Dutch will almost certainly take the opportunity to rest some of their most important players Monday, they also know that a big win sends a statement to the rest of the contenders.
North Macedonia, on the other hand, have nothing left to savor but the chance to give their younger players an opportunity to experience 90-plus minutes on one of the biggest stages in their sport. Only a handful of North Macedonian players participate in any of the four major European domestic leagues, with defender Gjanni Alioski of Leeds the most notable of the bunch.
This game presents a significant talent mismatch no matter how the starting XIs look, and with the Netherlands looking to silence any existing doubters, possession should be ridiculously one-sided. Those tempted to play the Draw (what if the home team really takes the foot off the gas?) should consider that Holland is playing its first international event in seven years.
Missing the 2016 European Championship and the 2018 World Cup has made the Netherlands hungry to get back to their winning ways, and they should do so with ease here.
PREDICTION: Netherlands (-337)
Over/Under pick
With the outcome likely not in doubt, the only question is... by how many goals should the home team prevail Monday? The Dutch have opened with five goals through two games and should fire plenty of soccer balls at the North Macedonia goal, looking to capitalize on a Euro debutante that has surrendered five goals over two tournament defeats.
North Macedonia's decision to get their less inexperienced players some action could lead to struggles and mistakes from the visitors — and with the Netherlands already expected to dominate the possession numbers, we could see upwards of 20 shot attempts from the home team even with a lineup consisting mostly of backups.
The statement here isn't just in picking up the three points, it's in taking advantage of an inferior opponent and earning a one-sided victory. Holland should do enough on the attack to send this game above the total.
PREDICTION: Over 2.5 (-175)
Picks made on 6/20/2021 at 11:00 a.m. ET
Euro 2020 betting sites
As a signature tournament for the most popular sport in the world, almost every online sportsbook and betting site will offer odds for Euro 2020. Check out the best soccer betting sites available where you live.
