MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 3, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Fri, Jul 3 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Nathan Church logo
Nathan Church o0.5 Total RBIs (+261)
Projection 0.43
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Jul 3 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 99°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.38
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Curtis Mead ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Curtis Mead is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest fences among all stadiums — generally good for HRs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 99°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, Jul 3 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kody Clemens logo
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (+114)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Kody Clemens ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 97°.. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage against Gerrit Cole in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Bell is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 97°.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Gerrit Cole.. Josh Bell has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season's 25.21 ft/sec to 25.92 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Fri, Jul 3 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (-109)
Projection 2.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 94°.
Total Bases
Adley Rutschman logo
Adley Rutschman o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the best stadium in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Great American Ball Park has the 5th-shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 93°.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Jul 3 • 7:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #2 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 93°.
Total RBIs
Braden Montgomery logo
Braden Montgomery o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Colson Montgomery projects as the 15th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Colson Montgomery is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Progressive Field projects as the #2 park in MLB for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 93°.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Fri, Jul 3 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Projection 0.16
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. The shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage over Christian Scott in today's game.. Mike Yastrzemski will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Carson Benge logo
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carson Benge's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carson Benge is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The #10 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Grant Holmes throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Fri, Jul 3 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Willi Castro is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Logan Webb.. Out of all the teams today, the 8th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.23
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Extreme flyball bats like Hunter Goodman are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Jul 3 • 8:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+151)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an advantage in today's matchup.. In the past week's worth of games, Cedric Mullins's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.5% up to 15.4%.. Cedric Mullins has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph.. There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins's launch angle from last year's 23.3° to 28.9° this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins's true offensive ability to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 gap between that mark and his actual .277 wOBA.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Jul 3 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jo Adell logo
Jo Adell o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-107)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jo Adell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in the majors.. Jo Adell will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Bennett today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jorge Soler logo
Jorge Soler o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+106)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Angel Stadium has the 2nd-lowest fences in the majors.. Jorge Soler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Bennett today.. Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Jul 3 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.02
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 96°.
Total RBIs
Nick Kurtz logo
Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 8th-best batter in the league.. Nick Kurtz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Among all stadiums, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of the day at 96°.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Jul 3 • 9:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brice Turang's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Cabrera in today's game.
Total RBIs
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. logo
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+267)
Projection 0.48
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for righty base hits.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the upper hand in today's game.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Fri, Jul 3 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for dingers.. Julio Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Jul 3 • 10:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman logo
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Freddie Freeman projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Dodger Stadium profiles as the #2 venue in baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. In the majors, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Dodger Stadium grades out as the #2 field in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. In the majors, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today.. Brice Turang has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last season's 94-mph average.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today.. Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

View 16 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 11 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

View 15 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

View 12 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 14 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 days ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.