Stars vs Wild Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Game 6 Tonight

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 30, 2026 , 04:28 PM ET • 3 min read

Wyatt Johnston has been active all series long, and with the season on the line, there’s no reason to think he'll slow down tonight.

NHL

Match starts: 2 hrs
DAL
41 %
MIN
59 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Wyatt Johnston o2.5  Shots On Goal (-150) Wyatt Johnston o2.5 Shots On Goal (-150)
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Wyatt Johnston Dallas Stars NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Wyatt Johnston (53) celebrates a goal sgainst the Minnesota Wild.

Wyatt Johnston has been highly active through five games, producing 3.4 shots on goal per game on 7.0 attempts.

With this Stars season hanging in the balance, my Stars vs. Wild predictions and NHL picks see him being active once again.

  • UPDATE: Added who will win prediction.

Stars vs Wild Game 6 prediction

Who will win Stars vs Wild Game 6?

Dallas: The Stars are up 10.32-9.98 in expected goals at 5-on-5. Actual retail price: three goals for, 11 against. As good as Jesper Wallstedt is, the Stars scored on 10.82% of their 5-on-5 shots (fourth best) in the regular season. It’s not realistic for them to continue shooting a playoff-worst 2.59% in that game state.

Stars vs Wild best bet: Wyatt Johnston Over 2.5 shots (-150)

Wyatt Johnston has had a strong shooting series, recording at least three shots in the first four games. Encouragingly, he still generated nine shot attempts when he fell short of this line in Game 5.

He's generating plenty of looks, and a lot of them come from near the paint, making it easier to hit the net.

Missing the net all nine times in Game 5 was a clear outlier. The volume is the most important signal, and it was strong.

With the Dallas Stars playing for their season, expect Johnston to pile up the shots.

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Stars vs Wild Game 6 same-game parlay

Wyatt Johnston has only gone more than two games in a row without a point once since the middle of November.

He's remarkably consistent. He also has a great track record against the Minnesota Wild, piling up 13 points over the last 12 meetings. He'll get all the ice he can handle in an elimination game, and I expect him to take advantage.

Matt Boldy continues to be a player worth targeting every single game. He's averaged 5.6 shots on goal in this series and recorded at least four in 11 consecutive matchups against Dallas.

Stars vs Wild SGP

  • Wyatt Johnston Over 2.5 shots
  • Wyatt Johnston Over 0.5 points
  • Matt Boldy Over 3.5 shots

Stars vs Wild Game 6 goal scorer pick

Mavrik Bourque (+390)

Mavrik Bourque leads all Stars forwards in scoring chances, high-danger chances, expected goals, and — get this — time on ice at 5-on-5.

The youngster has threatened consistently but has yet to be rewarded. There’s value in backing that to change at a near +400 price point. 

Stars vs Wild odds for Game 6

  • Moneyline: Stars +100 | Wild -120
  • Puck Line: Stars +1.5 (-250) | Wild -1.5 (+2105)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-120) | Under 5.5 (+100)

Stars vs Wild trend

Wyatt Johnston has gone Over 2.5 shots in six of his last seven games against Minnesota. Find more NHL betting trends for Stars vs. Wild.

How to watch Stars vs Wild Game 6

Location Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul, MN
Date Thursday, April 30, 2026
Puck drop 7:30 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Stars vs Wild latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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