Maple Leafs vs Panthers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Mitch Marner has been making the most of his time with Auston Matthews sidelined, and now he faces a Panthers team he's owned in his career. Even if Matthews plays, I like Marner to hit the score sheet a couple of times.

Mike DiStefano - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst
Nov 27, 2024 • 11:40 ET • 4 min read
Information icon

This article contains predictions for an old game!

Latest NHL Picks
Mitch Marner Toronto Maple Leafs NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

We’ve got 15 games on the NHL betting slate tonight, including an Atlantic Division showdown between the Florida Panthers and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Amerant Bank Arena at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sportsnet.

The NHL odds favor Florida but Toronto has been the far better team lately led by the red-hot Mitch Marner. He's been a Panther killer throughout his career and my Maple Leafs vs. Panthers predictions are betting on it happening again tonight.

Find out why in my free NHL picks for this November 27 Leafs vs. Panthers matchup.

Maple Leafs vs Panthers prediction

My Leafs pick
Mitch Marner Over 1.5 points (+145 at Sports Interaction)

My Leafs analysis
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers are heading in opposite directions, as the Buds have won seven of their last eight and the Cats are floundering, losing six of seven.

Two trends that have allowed these streaks to form are bad goaltending on the Panthers' side and a red-hot Mitch Marner for the Leafs.

Marner’s point total is set at 1.5, a number he’s cleared in four straight. He has seven multi-point games in his last eight games without Auston Matthews in the lineup. He’s clicked with his new linemates John Tavares and Bobby McMann, averaging 5.54 goals per 60 minutes of play together, per MoneyPuck

The Leafs star winger has always had success against Florida throughout his career. He’s recorded at least one point in nine of the last 10 meetings and has 17 total points over that stretch, with four games of 2+. 

The Panthers have relied on strong goaltending for the last two years but are still waiting for Sergei Bobrovsky to return to his typical Vezina self. As a team, the Panthers have the third-worst save percentage in the NHL and are allowing 3.45 goals per game (28th), mainly due to Officer Bob’s horrid start, sporting a 3.18 GAA and an .885 SV%. 

His career numbers against the Maple Leafs haven't been much better either during his time in Florida. In eight regular-season starts against Toronto, Bobrovsky has allowed 4+ goals five times. 

Plus, the Panthers defense took a big hit over the offseason, losing Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Brandon Montour. They’re still trying to find steady replacements for those departed pieces. 

Additionally, the Toronto power play has been red-hot over the last eight games, operating at 32%. Of the 10 PPG’s scored in that stretch, Marner has factored into 80% of them. Meanwhile, Florida’s PK has been ice cold, killing off just 72% of their penalties in that same stretch. 

That should give Marner an even bigger chance to collect his 2+ points tonight.

Maple Leafs vs Panthers same-game parlay (SGP)

Mitch Marner 2+ shots on goal

William Nylander anytime goal

Leafs +1.5

For the first leg of our SGP, we’ll take Marner to record 2+ shots on net. He’s hit that number in five of the last seven games with his new linemates and seems to be playing with a lot more confidence in his shot right now.

Next, I like William Nylander to score anytime. Florida is in a funk and has given up 4+ goals in five of seven. Nylander is Toronto's leading goal scorer and has a goal in five of his last eight. He also might be reuniting with Auston Matthews tonight, which has been a very formidable scoring duo over the last few years together, as the pair has averaged 4.15 goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5. 

Finally, with the Leafs being underdogs tonight, I’ll take advantage of the puck line and grab them at +1.5. They're well-rested and playing strong hockey.

Meanwhile, the Panthers are struggling to score and can't keep pucks out of their net. That’s not a good combo when taking on a stingy Leafs squad that is 14-7 ATS.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Sports Interaction: Canada’s home for NHL

Looking to bet on some Leafs action? Join Sports Interaction, the best in Canada for new bettors, and get a 125% bonus on your first deposit (up to $250)!

*Not available in Ontario. 19+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Maple Leafs vs Panthers odds

Maple Leafs vs Panthers live odds

Maple Leafs vs Panthers opening odds

  • Puck line: Toronto +1.5 (-225) | Florida -1.5 (+185) 
  • Moneyline: Toronto +110 | Florida -130
  • Over/Under: Over 6 (-130) | Under 6 (+100)

Odds courtesy of Sports Interaction

Maple Leafs vs Panthers trend

The Under is 8-2 over the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Find more NHL betting trends for Maple Leafs vs. Panthers.

How to watch Maple Leafs vs Panthers

Location: Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, FL
Date: Wednesday, 11-27-2024
Puck drop: 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: SN, SN1

Maple Leafs vs Panthers latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

Recent Picks

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo