Islanders vs Flyers Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

Our Islanders vs. Flyers predictions expect goals to be hard to come by in Philly.

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst
Jan 26, 2026 • 11:37 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 6 hrs
PHI
60 %
NYI
40 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u5.5 (+105)
Read Analysis
Ilya Sorokin New York Islanders NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ilya Sorokin during a stoppage in a game against the Canucks at Rogers Arena.

The New York Islanders have been generous to Under backers this season, particularly when facing sturdy defensive teams.

My Islanders vs. Flyers predictions and NHL picks expect that to hold true in an important divisional battle between two teams neck-and-neck in the standings.

Islanders vs Flyers prediction

Islanders vs Flyers best bet: Under 5.5 (+105)

Ilya Sorokin has performed as well as anybody this season, leading the NHL in goals saved above expected with a mark of +23.8 through 30 appearances. He's a huge reason why the New York Islanders rank fifth in goals against per game and sit in a playoff spot.

The Islanders have played in a lot of low-scoring games (they possess an O/U record of 22-27-2), especially against other stingy sides.

The Philadelphia Flyers meet the criteria. They're one of the best shot suppression teams in the NHL and also prevent goals very effectively — at least with Dan Vladar, tonight’s projected starter, between the pipes.

Isolating games against Top-10 teams in terms of limiting shots, eight of New York’s past 12 have featured five goals or fewer. That includes five straight on the road.

The Islanders don’t have enough firepower to score consistently against good defensive teams, while almost every opponent struggles to beat Sorokin. Neither of these teams has scored more than three goals over the past five head-to-head matchups.

With Sorokin and Vladar expected between the pipes, there’s no reason to expect either team to hit its offensive ceiling in this one.

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Islanders vs Flyers same-game parlay

Owen Tippett has shot the lights out of late, averaging 3.2 SOG over the past 10 while clearing this line in eight. Coming off a hat trick against the No. 1-ranked Avalanche, Tippett should have all the confidence to keep shooting in this one.

Philadelphia is great at taking away the middle of the ice and forcing teams to shoot from the perimeter. That bodes well for Tony DeAngelo, a former Flyer who's recorded multiple shots in four straight returns to Philadelphia.

Islanders vs Flyers SGP

  • Under 5.5
  • Owen Tippett Over 2.5 shots
  • Tony DeAngelo Over 1.5 shots

Islanders vs Flyers odds

  • Moneyline: Islanders +100 | Flyers -120
  • Puck Line: Islanders +1.5 (-250) | Flyers -1.5 (+205)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5

Islanders vs Flyers trend

The Islanders have cashed the Under in 14 of their last 20 road games for +9.75 units and a 45% ROI.  Find more NHL betting trends for Islanders vs. Flyers.

How to watch Islanders vs Flyers

Location Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Date Friday, January 26, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV MSGSN, NBCS-Philadelphia

Islanders vs Flyers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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