Canadiens vs Hurricanes Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Playoffs Game 1

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: May 21, 2026 , 04:46 PM ET • 3 min read

Jakub Dobes will face an onslaught of pucks from Carolina.

NHL

May 21 • 8:00 PM ET
MON
33 %
CAR
67 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jakub Dobes o28.5  Total Saves (-105) Jakub Dobes o28.5 Total Saves (-105)
See Today's Picks
NHL, Montreal Canadiens, Jakub Dobes
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Montreal Canadiens goaltender Jakub Dobes (75).
  • UPDATE: Added a +195 anytime goal scorer pick & who will win prediction!

Goaltender Jakub Dobes was a big reason why the Montreal Canadiens survived a pair of Game 7s to earn a spot against the Carolina Hurricanes in the Eastern Conference finals.

My Canadiens vs. Hurricanes predictions and NHL picks expect Dobes to be thrown into the fire tonight, facing all kinds of rubber from Carolina on Thursday, May 21.

Puck drop is set for 8 p.m. ET from the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, with the game airing on Sportsnet and TNT. 

Canadiens vs Hurricanes Game 1 prediction

Who will win Canadiens vs Hurricanes Game 1?

Carolina Hurricanes: There are massive mismatches in the underlying five-on-five metrics, with Carolina ranking second in Corsi For percentage and expected goals, while Montreal respectively checks in 13th and 14th.

Additionally, the Hurricanes have a huge rest advantage, having last played May 9, and No. 1 goalie Frederik Andersen has an elite 1.250 goals saved above expected per 60 minutes.

Canadiens vs Hurricanes best bet: Jakub Dobes Over 28.5 saves (-105)

Montreal Canadiens goalie Jakub Dobes sports a solid .910 save percentage with 12.17 goals saved above expected across his 14 postseason starts, and he’s about to be busier than ever in Game 1.

The Carolina Hurricanes have recorded a playoff-high 30.9 shots per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 while ranking second in Corsi For percentage, and they also finished the regular season with the second-most shots per game (32.2) and highest CF% at 5-on-5.

So, with Montreal finishing 23rd in CF% at 5-on-5 during the regular season and now sitting 13th in the metric among the 16 postseason teams, Dobes is set to face more than enough rubber to record 29 or more saves in the series opener.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Canadiens vs Hurricanes Game 1 same-game parlay

Canadiens winger Juraj Slafkovsky has been limited to a single goal across his past 13 games despite racking up a team-high 5.64 expected goals, 41 scoring chances, and 20 high-danger chances, so he’s a ripe candidate to break through with a goal in Game 1.

Montreal linemates Ivan Demidov and Alex Newhook tilted the ice in their favor in Round 2 with a 58.2% shot rate at 5-on-5 while combining for 37 shots. Additionally, Demidov recorded two or more in four of seven games, and Newhook had at least two shots six times.

Canadiens vs Hurricanes SGP

  • Juraj Slafkovsky Over 0.5 goals
  • Ivan Demidov Over 1.5 shots
  • Alex Newhook Over 1.5 shots

Canadiens vs Hurricanes Game 1 goal scorer pick

Andrei Svechnikov (+195)

The goals are coming for Carolina winger Andrei Svechnikov. He’s been held to a single tally through eight playoff games despite generating an impressive 3.67 expected goals, 32 scoring chances, and 12 high-danger chances.

His 3.9 shooting percentage is also miles below his 12.7% mark across the past four regular seasons.

Canadiens vs Hurricanes odds for Game 1

  • Moneyline: Canadiens +160 | Hurricanes -190
  • Puck Line: Canadiens +1.5 (-150) | Hurricanes -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 +115

Canadiens vs Hurricanes trend

Carolina has won 20 of its last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Hurricanes.

How to watch Canadiens vs Hurricanes Game 1

Location Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC
Date Thursday, May 21, 2026
Puck drop 8:00 p.m. ET
TV Sportsnet, TNT

Canadiens vs Hurricanes latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

Upcoming Picks

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo