The 5-2 Montreal Canadiens hit Scotiabank Saddledome to take on the 1-6 Calgary Flames on Wednesday, October 22.
My top Canadiens vs. Flames predictions and NHL picks are calling for Montreal winning a low-scoring game tonight.
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Canadiens vs Flames prediction
Canadiens vs Flames Best bet: Under 5.5 (+110)
The Calgary Flames have scored the fewest goals per game (1.57) and have the lowest team-shooting percentage at 5-on-5 in the league.
Typically, I’d be looking for positive regression from the Calgary lineup, but a quick peek at the cast of characters jumping the boards shouldn’t instill confidence in an offensive breakout.
The key for Calgary will be eking out low-scoring wins and leaning on solid goaltending.
No. 1 Dustin Wolf is coming off his best home start of the season after posting an elite .921 save percentage and 2.33 GAA at the Scotiabank Saddledome last year, and I’m expecting him to turn in another solid showing tonight.
Turning to the Montreal Canadiens, their 5-2 start is in large part because of a high-powered offensive attack that’s averaged the fifth-most goals per game (3.57). I’m just not anticipating the Habs maintaining a third-ranked 12.1 team shooting percentage at 5-on-5 for much longer, and especially because they rank 21st in expected goals per 60 minutes (2.37).
Canadiens vs Flames same-game parlay
The Flames can’t score, and the Canadiens can. It’s as simple as that.
Montreal has a deeper lineup up front and on the blue line, and while I am expecting Wolf to play well, Habs No. 1 Sam Montembeault has his own splash of statistical correction coming.
Montembeault posted a respectable .901 save percentage and 2.82 GAA with a fourth-ranked 29.62 goals saved above expected across 62 games last season, so his respective .857, 3.26, and -4.29 marks through his first four starts are set to improve.
Turning to Montreal captain Nick Suzuki, he’s picked up an assist in five of seven games this season for nine total while centering the top line and No. 1 power-play unit. I also value his long-time chemistry with linemates Cole Caufield and Juraj Slafkovsky.
The trio have clicked for 5.26 goals per 60 minutes dating back to the beginning of last season, after all.
Canadiens vs Flames SGP
- Under 5.5
- Canadiens moneyline
- Nick Suzuki Over 0.5 assists
Canadiens vs Flames odds
- Moneyline: Canadiens -132 | Flames +110
- Puck Line: Canadiens -1.5 | Flames +1.5
- Over/Under: Over 5.5| Under 5.5
Canadiens vs Flames trend
The Flames have only hit the 1P Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-33.05 Units / -31% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Flames.
How to watch Canadiens vs Flames
| Location | Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB |
| Date | Wednesday, October 22, 2025 |
| Puck drop | 8:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet, RDS |
Canadiens vs Flames latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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