Avalanche vs Golden Knights Prediction, Picks & Odds for Sunday's NHL Playoffs Game 3

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 23, 2026 , 01:36 PM ET • 3 min read

Nathan MacKinnon gets the Avalanche back on track in Vegas.

NHL

Match starts: 29 hrs
COL
51 %
VEG
49 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Nathan MacKinnon o3.5  Shots On Goal (-135) Nathan MacKinnon o3.5 Shots On Goal (-135)
Read Analysis
Colorado Avalanche NHL Nathan MacKinnon
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Colorado Avalanche center Nathan MacKinnon.

The Colorado Avalanche find themselves in a dreaded 0-2 hole heading back to Vegas.

My Avalanche vs. Golden Knights predictions expect the road team to claw back into the series on the road, with Nathan MacKinnon leading the charge.

Let's take a closer look at my NHL picks for Sunday, May 24.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3 prediction

Avalanche vs Golden Knights best bet: Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 shots on goal (-135)

We've seen a dip in Nathan MacKinnon's shot outputs against the Vegas Golden Knights, but a lot of that stems from missing the target.

MacKinnon hit the net on 58.66% of his attempts during the regular season, and 46% over the first two rounds. He's sitting at 33% against Vegas, a low number that is not going to sustain itself.

MacKinnon leads the Colorado Avalanche in offensive zone starts this series, putting him in favorable situations to generate shots. 

I like him to fire away in essentially a must-win Game 3, and would play the Over up to -160.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3 same-game parlay

The Avalanche hold edges in attempts, shots, chances, and high-danger looks. They've scored on 4% of their shots, Vegas has scored on 13%, and that's the difference.

Cale Makar's injury definitely factors in, but Colorado was the highest-scoring team in the league during the regular season, and both of their goaltenders drastically out-performed Carter Hart.

The tide should turn if the Avalanche continue to generate the bulk of the chances, which is to be expected with their backs up against the wall.

Eight of the last nine Avalanche games have featured 6+ goals, and shooting regression should help push this one Over.

Avalanche vs Golden Knights SGP

  • Nathan MacKinnon Over 3.5 shots on goal
  • Avalanche moneyline
  • Over 5.5

Avalanche vs Golden Knights odds for Game 3

  • Moneyline: Avalanche -135 | Golden Knights +115
  • Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 (+180) | Golden Knights +1.5 (-220)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-135) | Under 5.5 (+115)

Avalanche vs Golden Knights trend

MacKinnon has recorded 4+ shots in 11 of his last 14 games against Vegas. Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Golden Knights.

How to watch Avalanche vs Golden Knights Game 3

Location T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date Sunday, May 24, 2026
Puck drop 8:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN, Sportsnet

Avalanche vs Golden Knights latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo