Week 9 is here, and we’re putting our bankroll where the bots are. We asked ChatGPT to spit out straight-up winners for every matchup, and it didn't hold back.
From early-window chaos to prime-time drama, the model weighed travel, trends, rest, and a dash of narrative spice to crown who’s cashing tickets.
Love it or fade it, the NFL picks are in and the receipts are ready. Fire up the apps, grab the remote, and let’s ride the algorithm all the way to profit!
Week 9 NFL moneyline picks
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
Lines courtesy of FanDuel.
Ravens vs Dolphins:
Ravens (-450)
FanDuel expects a fairly comfortable Ravens win over a 2-6 Dolphins team. Miami’s defense hasn’t slowed good rushing attacks, and Baltimore’s profile — run game, pass rush, top-end coaching — travels on a short week. This is the leg you build a Thursday SGP around, not the one you fade.
Read our full Ravens vs. Dolphins predictions.
Panthers vs Packers:
Packers (-1200)
Green Bay is dealing at -1200 and -13.5, which makes this the week’s clearest “don’t get cute” favorite. Carolina has actually been good to bettors (5-3 ATS), but those covers mostly came catching smaller numbers; jumping from that to winning outright at +700 is a leap. Unless weather nukes the total, there’s no reason to oppose what the book is saying. Pick the Packers.
Vikings vs Lions:
Lions (-510)
Detroit is one of Week 9’s biggest favorites at -510 and -8.5 at home. The Lions have already covered big numbers this year, while Minnesota is just 3-4 ATS and still has offensive-line health to monitor. Divisional dogs can be fun, but when a division game is this tilted, it’s the market telling you the gap is real right now.
Colts vs Steelers:
Colts (-162)
Indy is -162, -3, and 6-2 against the spread, which is as clean a market signal as you get for a road favorite. Pittsburgh keeps games close but has pushed five of seven Over, which hints at defensive leaks late. The Colts are rated as the better offense right now, so we stay aligned with the favorite instead of hoping for an Acresure Stadium upset sweat.
Chargers vs Titans:
Chargers (-460)
The Chargers sit in the -480/-481 range and are laying 9.5 to a 1-7 Titans team that hasn’t covered as a big dog. Rest plus L.A.’s passing ceiling is exactly what gives Tennessee problems, and most savvy bettors are treating this like a survivor-style spot. This is the prototype of a game you shouldn't overthink.
Falcons vs Patriots:
Patriots (-235)
FanDuel’s projection gives the Pats a 78% chance to win; that’s a strong number for a team on the offensive struggle bus. Atlanta has only hit the Over once all season, so asking that offense to go on the road and flip a favorite this big is ambitious. If you want creativity, pair Pats ML with the under.
Broncos vs Texans:
Texans (-130)
Houston finally got the respect edge and sits around -130, with Denver a tiny plus-money road dog. Indoors, the Texans’ offense has the higher ceiling, and they’re 3-1 ATS when favored by at least 1.5 - exactly this spot. Denver’s path is an ugly, low-tempo game and disruptive fronts, but when the book plants a flag, we follow it.
49ers vs Giants:
49ers (-152)
This is the tightest line in the early window, but it still favors the visitors. Brock Purdy's status is still uncertain, but is inching closer to a return and could be a big difference maker for the Niners. At a number this short, moneyline protects you from a late Meadowlands weirdness drive.
Bears vs Bengals:
Bears (-154)
Chicago is -154 on the moneyline and -3 on the spread, and FanDuel gives the Bears roughly a 63% win chance. Cincinnati has pushed totals Over because the defense leaks explosive plays, and Chicago is 4-3 ATS, so the market is trusting what the Bears have put on tape more. Unless late injury news flips the price, we stay with the posted favorite.
Jaguars vs Raiders:
Jaguars (-174)
Jacksonville is -158 and -3, and FanDuel points out that Las Vegas is 0-4 ATS when catching three or more, plus there could be Raider roster movement. That’s a lot of downside for a home underdog. The Jags aren’t exactly smooth on offense right now, but the sportsbook is still telling you they’re the better team this week. Pick: Jaguars (-158).
Saints vs Rams:
Rams (-1150)
The Rams are an enormous -1150 favorite and coming off a bye, while the Saints have struggled to defend on the road. FanDuel even leans Over 43.5 because it thinks L.A. can score enough on its own, which tells you how lopsided they view the matchup. You don’t have to like paying -1150 to admit it’s the only verified side.
Chiefs vs Bills:
Chiefs (-126)
Here’s the headliner. FanDuel is hanging Chiefs -134/-1.5 even though other sportsbooks show a slight Bills win edge. That means real money is willing to lay it with Kansas City in Orchard Park. In a piece built specifically around FanDuel’s prices, we side with the listed favorite, especially with K.C. 5-3 ATS and generally better in late, high-leverage situations.
Seahawks vs Commanders:
Seahawks (-178)
The Seahawks are 5-2 ATS, the Commanders are 0-2 ATS as a 3+ point dog, and FanDuel clearly wants injury clarity on Washington before moving the number, which is another way of saying the floor is lower on the home team. Stick with the traveling favorite.
Cardinals vs Cowboys:
Cowboys (-152)
Dallas is at home, in primetime, and although Kyler Murray is expected to play, he could be limited with a lingering foot injury. That QB uncertainty tilts it. Pick the Cowboys.
ChatGPT has gone 82-38 so far this season for +36.55 units.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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