The New York Giants are short home favorites over the Tennessee Titans ahead of their 1 p.m. ET kickoff at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 27.
With nasty weather in the forecast, my top Titans vs. Giants prediction and NFL picks are calling for Tennessee to escape the elements with a low-scoring win in Week 3.
TOP Pick
Titans vs Giants prediction: Under 38.5
The weather forecast is miserable for this Week 3 tilt, so I recommend playing the Under to 37.5.
New York Giants starting quarterback Jameis Winston ranks 38th in completion percentage over expectation among the 39 single-caller quarterbacks with at least 400 plays since the beginning of 2024, and Tennessee Titans QB Cam Ward checks in 35th.
Both offenses will need to lean on the ground game, which in turn sets both defenses up for success against one-dimensional attacks.
Additionally, the Giants send out a formidable front seven, while Titans head coach Robert Saleh and defensive coordinator Gus Bradley will have an analytical intel edge, as offensive coordinator Brian Daboll spent the past four seasons as New York's head coach.
It all adds up to a field-position battle at MetLife Stadium, with both teams playing conservatively in an attempt to protect the football.
COVERS INTEL: Jameis Winston averaged just 0.53 yards per attempt on third down in Week 2 while posting the second-lowest adjusted EPA per play.
Titans vs Giants combo
I’m looking to fade Winston in the tough conditions.
In addition to the case against New York's offense, I was impressed by Tennessee's defensive performance in Week 2 against a superior Philadelphia Eagles attack. The Titans ranked above average for the week in both dropback and rushing success rates allowed.
This matchup is a bad recipe for Winston after he posted a disastrous 44.0 adjusted completion percentage while averaging just 4.1 yards per attempt in relief last week.
Titans vs Giants combo
- Titans moneyline
- Under 38.5
- Jameis Winston 200+ passing yards — No
Titans vs Giants touchdown scorer: Tony Pollard
The Giants have allowed three touchdowns and a monster 5.62 yards per rush to opposing running backs, and Titans rusher Tony Pollard is set for a heavy workload with backfield mate Tyjae Spears questionable with an ankle injury.
Pollard has handled 45.5% of the red-zone carries for the Titans, too, and he’s picked up a solid 3.05 yards after contact per attempt with a 79.5 PFF Elusive Rating through two games.
- Top picks: 13-10, +2.25 units
- Combos: 0-5, -5.0 units
Titans vs Giants odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Titans +2.5 | Giants -2.5
- Over/Under: Over 37.5 (51%) | Under 37.5 (50%)
- Moneyline: Titans 45% | Giants 55%
For the full slate of NFL matchups, check out our NFL odds board!
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Titans vs Giants weather
The forecast calls for consistent light rain, sustained northeast winds of 18 to 22 mph with gusts up to 30 mph, and raw temperatures in the low-to-mid 60s.
Check out our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.
Titans vs Giants trend to know
Jameis Winston is 3-9 as a starter over the past four years. Find more NFL betting trends for Titans vs. Giants.
How to watch Titans vs Giants
| Location | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J. |
| Date | Sunday, Sept. 27, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1 p.m. ET |
| TV | CBS |
Titans vs Giants latest injuries
Check out our NFL injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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