Control of the NFC North will be on the line when the Green Bay Packers head to Solder Field on Saturday night to take on the Chicago Bears.
My Packers vs. Bears props and NFL picks have found several matchup advantages for both teams that we can exploit on Saturday, December 20, anchored by Caleb Williams.
For more on this game, check out Rohit Ponnaiya's Packers vs. Bears predictions!
Packers vs Bears props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Olamide Zaccheaus |
Over 3.5 receptions | +118 |
 Jordan Love |
Longest completion Over 38.5 yards | -114 |
| Caleb Williams |
Over 1.5 passing TDs | +102 |
Prop bet #1: Olamide Zaccheaus Over 3.5 receptions
Olamide Zaccheaus had three targets and two catches in his last matchup with the Packers two weeks ago. He played 79% of the snaps in that game since Rome Odunze was out.
Rome is out again this week and so is Luther Burden, which could mean an even bigger role for Zaccheaus.
Burden had four catches on six targets in that last matchup two weeks ago, and Zaccheaus and D.J. Moore will be the only receivers left on the roster that have played significant minutes this season. This will be huge against a Packers defense that ranks dead-last in defending intermediate passing.
In that last game, Williams and the offense got off to an extremely slow start, but really got going in the second half. I would expect this passing attack to use what they learned and take advantage of a pass rush that will be missing Micah Parsons.
Zaccheaus will be a big benefactor of this.
Prop bet #2: Jordan Love longest completion Over 38.5 yards
In the last matchup with the Bears two weeks ago, Jordan Love completed two passes longer than 38 yards. He completed a 45-yarder to Christian Watson, and a 41-yarder to Bo Melton.
While Watson is the obvious deep target and is questionable to play, Love has proven he can go deep to others.
Love has torched the Bears on deep passes throughout his career and averages 10.0 yards per attempt against them, which is the fifth-highest in NFL history of any quarterback against a single opponent that has at least five starts against that team. Two weeks ago, Love averaged 9.4 yards per attempt and 13.8 yards per completions.
Love was able to exploit the backend of the Bears’ secondary two weeks ago, as all three of their safeties allowed a touchdown in coverage, including C.J. Gardner-Johnson, who allowed all eight of his targets to be completed for 97 yards.
Whether Watson plays or not, this is a solid bet based on the matchup.
Prop bet #3: Caleb Williams Over 1.5 passing TDs
In the last matchup, Caleb Williams had two passing touchdowns despite struggling badly through the air for half of the game. He has thrown for two or more touchdowns in three of the past four games.
The loss of Odunze and Burden will hurt the yardage, but shouldn’t hurt the touchdowns.
The Packers have allowed 21 passing touchdowns this season to only 10 rushing touchdowns. Two weeks ago, the Packers went hard to stop the run in the red zone and played Cover 0 on five Williams dropbacks in the red zone. He threw both touchdown passes in those five dropbacks.
Also, both of Caleb’s touchdowns came on the run in play action passes. He almost had a third at the end of the game but left the pass short and got picked off.
Williams will still have big time end zone targets with Moore, Colston Loveland, and Cole Kmet that can get open easily on play action passes.
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