The Green Bay Packers face off against the Chicago Bears on Saturday night.
Chicago has a half-game lead over Green Bay atop the NFC North standings, and whoever takes this Week 16 clash will be in the driver's seat to win the division.
These teams clashed two weeks ago, with Green Bay winning, but my Packers vs. Bears predictions expect Chicago to get revenge.
Here are my best free NFL picks for this rivalry showdown on December 20.
Packers vs Bears prediction
Packers vs Bears Best bet: Bears -1.5 (-110)
When these teams clashed two weeks ago, the Green Bay Packers scored the go-ahead touchdown with three minutes left in the game to win 28-21. I'm expecting a different result this time around, and the home-field advantage swinging from Lambeau to Soldier Field is just one reason.
The Packers suffered a massive blow last week when they lost All-Pro pass rusher Micah Parsons to a season-ending injury. Not only was he third in the league with 12.5 sacks, but he's the kind of player that offenses would game-plan against, opening things up for other defenders.
Green Bay is also banged up on offense with RB Josh Jacobs, leading receiver Christian Watson, and RT Zach Tom all game-time decisions. Their attack was already less than 100% after losing TE Tucker Kraft and Pro Bowl offensive lineman Elgton Jenkins to the IR last month.
That defeat in Green Bay is the only loss on the Chicago Bears' record since the start of November. They've gone 6-1 straight up and 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven games.
The Bears are second in the NFL in rush success rate and have rushed for a league-high 171.8 yards per game since their bye in Week 5. On the other side of the ball, Chicago's opportunistic defense leads the NFL with 30 takeaways.
Back the Bears in a revenge spot here.
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Packers vs Bears same-game parlay
The Bears have a two-headed rushing attack with D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai. Swift is dealing with a groin injury, which could lead to a bigger workload for Monangai this week.
Monangai was held to 33 yards on 11 carries against Cleveland's stout run defense last week. However, he rushed for 57 yards against the Packers in Week 14, and he had 100-yard games in Weeks 9 and 13 when Swift was hurt.
D.J. Moore had just -4 receiving yards against Green Bay two weeks ago, but bounced back with four catches for 69 yards last week. He's the Bears' No. 1 WR, and with Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III ruled out, he should see more targets.
Packers vs Bears SGP
- Bears -1.5
- Kyle Monangai Over 46.5 rushing yards
- D.J. Moore Over 46.5 receiving yards
Our big-ticket SGP: Bears Roll!
Packers wideout Jayden Reed came off the IR to snag four catches against the Bears in Week 14.
Reed finished with five receptions against Denver last week, and he could see even more targets if Watson is unable to suit up.
Packers vs Bears SGP
- Bears -1.5
- Kyle Monangai Over 46.5 rushing yards
- D.J. Moore Over 46.5 receiving yards
- Jayden Reed Over 3.5 receptions
Packers vs Bears odds
- Spread: Packers +1.5 (-108) | Bears -1.5 (-112)
- Moneyline: Packers +106 | Bears -124
- Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-112) | Under 46.5 (-108)
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Packers vs Bears trend to know
The Bears are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games. Find more NFL betting trends for Packers vs. Bears.
How to watch Packers vs Bears
| Location | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
| Date | Sunday, December 20, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
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