An 8-5 record last week (-0.77 Units) takes us into Halloween, with the Buffalo Bills looking for revenge at home as they play host to the Kansas City Chiefs.
Unfortunately, my NFL picks for Week 9 tell a different story, and one that will continue to give Josh Allen & Co. nightmares.
Week 9 NFL moneyline picks
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Ravens vs  Dolphins |
-450 |
 Panthers vs  Packers |
-1200 |
 Vikings vs  Lions |
-510 |
 Colts vs  Steelers |
-162 |
 Chargers vs  Titans |
-460 |
 Falcons vs  Patriots |
+220 |
 Broncos vs  Texans |
-130 |
 49ers vs  Giants |
-152 |
 Bears vs  Bengals |
-154 |
 Jaguars vs  Raiders |
-174 |
 Saints vs  Rams |
-1150 |
 Chiefs vs  Bills |
-126 |
 Seahawks vs  Commanders |
-178 |
 Cardinals vs  Cowboys |
-152 |
Lines courtesy of FanDuel as of 10-29.
Bet $5 and get $300 bonus bet with no need to enter a FanDuel promo code.
Expert Week 9 NFL moneyline picks
Ravens vs. Dolphins: Ravens (-450)
Lamar Jackson will finally return under center for Baltimore, and with the Ravens’ defense coming off an impressive outing against Chicago, we’ve got the green light to back the favorite on TNF.
Panthers vs. Packers: Packers (-1200)
Green Bay outscored Pittsburgh 28-9 in the second half of last week’s primetime road win, and the Packers are set to embarrass a Panthers team that was just blown out at home.
Vikings vs. Lions: Lions (-510)
Detroit is well-rested off a bye, while Minnesota has seen QB Carson Wentz land on IR. J.J. McCarthy is set to make his first start since Week 2, but nothing from his early September performances warrants a bet on the Vikings.
Colts vs. Steelers: Colts (-162)
Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh offense haven’t been the problem during the Steelers’ two straight losses — their defense has.
Jonathan Taylor and the Colts’ No. 1 scoring unit will gash a Steelers run defense that ranks 25th in the NFL, allowing 95.3 yards per game.
Chargers vs. Titans: Chargers (-460)
All-Pro safety Derwin James and CB1 Tarheeb Still are the latest Chargers to be banged up, but facing the Titans is essentially like a bye in 2025.
We can worry about the injury report when the Chargers take on Pittsburgh on SNF next week.
Falcons vs. Patriots: Falcons (+220)
When you get a chance to buy low on Atlanta, take it.
They always disappoint when given too much credit, but their stock has plummeted in the eyes of bettors following two rough losses.
The Falcons are back healthy, and their zone-heavy defense matches up well against Drake Maye.
Broncos vs. Texans: Texans (-130)
Neither of these offenses is a sight for sore eyes; however, with reigning DPOY Patrick Surtain II out for Denver, the tiebreaker goes to the home team.
49ers vs. Giants: 49ers (-152)
San Francisco laid an absolute egg in Houston last week, but the coaching duo of Kyle Shanahan and Robert Saleh is too savvy to let that slide.
Niners get back on track in the Meadowlands.
Bears vs. Bengals: Bears (-154)
It’s unclear whether Joe Flacco or Jake Browning will start for Cincinnati, so I’ll back the Bears to prevail on the road.
Chicago can still run the ball, while the Bengals have struggled to get anything going on the ground.
Covers NFL betting tools
- NFL odds
- NFL picks
- NFL player props
- Super Bowl 60 odds
- Best NFL betting sites
- This week’s NFL matchups
Jaguars vs. Raiders: Jaguars (-174)
Facing the lowly Pete Carroll Raiders is just what the doctor ordered for Jacksonville, which is chomping at the bit for a win following a humiliating display in London two weeks ago.
Despite a slight hiccup, the team has completely bought in under Liam Coen, while the Raiders have become a retirement home for Carroll's former Seahawks players (welcome, Tyler Lockett!).
Saints vs. Rams: Rams (-1150)
The jury is out on whether Tyler Shough can be a viable starter in the NFL, but his first career start against the Rams is going to be ugly.
Los Angeles is going to bring the heat, so expect a turnover or two in a lopsided affair at SoFi.
Chiefs vs. Bills: Chiefs (-126)
Listen, I have Chiefs fatigue as much as the next guy, but KC’s offense has been taken to the next level with the return of Rashee Rice.
Add in Buffalo losing DT Ed Oliver to a torn bicep, and the Chiefs should find some success on the ground in this one as well.
Kansas City spoils the party (again) against their AFC rivals.
Seahawks vs. Commanders: Seahawks (-178)
Whether Jayden Daniels starts or not, this Commanders team is completely overrated. We put way too much emphasis on the trade for Deebo Samuel, and the defense remains dreadful against the pass.
The Seahawks are going to decimate Washington on Sunday night.
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: Cowboys (-152)
I’m still traumatized from having Jacoby Brissett as the starter of my Colts in 2017 and 2019.
Brissett's actually looked half-decent for Arizona, but I can never bet on him when he's taking snaps. There’s too much baggage.
My NFL moneyline record is 80-41 this season for +10.49 units.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
