Lions vs Panthers Computer Picks: Our Best Week 4 Player Prop Projections

Chris Gregory - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 4, 2026 , 07:12 PM ET • 4 min read

Jared Goff airing it out headlines our Lions vs. Panthers computer picks for Sunday Night Football.

Jared Goff Detroit Lions NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jared Goff warms up before Detroit's game against the Jets at Ford Field.

Our Lions vs. Panthers computer picks highlight eight player props for Sunday Night Football, with our Covers prop projections uncovering value across the passing, rushing, receiving, and touchdown markets.

Check out our latest NFL picks and Lions vs. Panthers predictions below.

Lions vs Panthers computer picks

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Lions Lions Panthers Panthers
Jared Goff o249.5 passing yards
55%
Bryce Young o249.5 passing yards
44%
Jahmyr Gibbs u20.5 rushing attempts
44%
Chuba Hubbard o69.5 rushing yards
45%
Amon-Ra St. Brown o79.5 receiving yards
48%
Chuba Hubbard o2.5 receptions
57%
Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime touchdown
52%
Tetairoa McMillan anytime touchdown
37%

Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Lions computer picks

Jared Goff Over 249.5 passing yards (55%)

Projection: 267.91 passing yards

Jared Goff has topped this number in consecutive games, throwing for 327 yards against Buffalo and 269 against the Jets. Carolina will also be without starting cornerbacks Jaycee Horn and Mike Jackson, giving Goff an inviting matchup for our 267.91-yard projection.

🔥 Trade Goff passing yards now

Jahmyr Gibbs Under 20.5 rushing attempts (44%)

Projection: 19.24 rushing attempts

Jahmyr Gibbs has stayed below 20.5 carries in two of Detroit's first three games and landed right at 20 against the Jets despite piling up 164 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns. Our projection calls for another productive game without the rushing volume climbing past this number.

🏈 Trade Gibbs rushing attempts now

Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 79.5 receiving yards (48%)

Projection: 90.53 receiving yards

Amon-Ra St. Brown was held to 19 yards last week but erupted for 142 yards on nine catches against Buffalo the week before and has already drawn 35 targets through three games. With both of Carolina's starting cornerbacks on injured reserve, our 90.53-yard projection points to a strong bounce-back spot.

🔥 Trade St. Brown receiving yards now

Amon-Ra St. Brown anytime touchdown (52%)

Projection: 0.73 touchdowns

He's also found the end zone in every game this season and already has five touchdowns on 23 receptions. Carolina's depleted secondary only adds to his scoring appeal, while our model projects him for 0.73 touchdowns.

🔥 Trade St. Brown touchdown now


More Lions vs Panthers predictions


Panthers computer picks

Bryce Young Over 249.5 passing yards (44%)

Projection: 265.67 passing yards

Bryce Young has sailed past this line in all three games, throwing for 361, 287, and 291 yards. Detroit's secondary remains depleted without Brian Branch and Kerby Joseph, among others, making the Over appealing with our model projecting another 265.67 yards.

🔥 Trade Young passing yards now

Chuba Hubbard Over 69.5 rushing yards (45%)

Projection: 74.52 rushing yards

Chuba Hubbard is coming off his best rushing performance of the season, turning 19 carries into 82 yards against Cleveland. Detroit entered last week near the bottom of the league against the run, and our 74.52-yard projection has Hubbard clearing this number again.

🔥 Trade Hubbard rushing yards now

Chuba Hubbard Over 2.5 receptions (57%)

Projection: 3.24 receptions

Hubbard has caught at least three passes in two of three games, including all four of his targets for 28 yards last week. With Carolina thin at wide receiver, his underneath role could remain important, and our model projects 3.24 catches.

🔥 Trade Hubbard receptions now

Tetairoa McMillan anytime touchdown (37%)

Projection: 0.48 touchdowns

Tetairoa McMillan is still searching for his first touchdown of the season, but he's drawn 23 targets and produced 193 receiving yards through three games. With Xavier Legette out, Jalen Coker unlikely to play, and Detroit's secondary missing multiple starters, this is a strong spot for McMillan to finally break through.

🔥 Trade McMillan touchdown now

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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Betting Analyst

In his four years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s golf and college football coverage. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and can be found across our site covering the Masters, college football futures, and more.

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