Jaguars vs Dolphins Prediction, Picks & Odds for This Week’s NFL Preseason Game

Ence's prediction: With Miami opening with key starters and Jacksonville opting to play backups from the jump, back the Dolphins to cover as six-point favorites.

Jason Ence - Contributor at Covers.com
Jason Ence • Betting Analyst
Aug 22, 2025 • 18:49 ET • 4 min read

NFL

Match starts: 18 hrs
MIA
0 %
JAC
0 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Miami -6.0 (-110) Miami -6.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Tua Tagovailoa Miami Dolphins NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) looks to pass the ball.

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Miami Dolphins meet in a Sunshine State showdown on Saturday as both teams close out their preseason schedules.

Liam Coen has said Jacksonville will rest all of its starters, while Miami will give Tua Tagovailoa & Co. a series or two of work. That’s why my Jaguars vs. Dolphins predictions have Miami pulling away to win this game.

Find out more in our NFL picks for August 23.

Jaguars vs Dolphins prediction

Jaguars vs Dolphins Best bet: Dolphins -6 (-110)

The Miami Dolphins were favored by only 3.5 points at one time, but the spread has now gone up to six. That’s still not preventing me from taking them to cover, as I like them to win by at least a touchdown against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Jacksonville will not play its starters after a testy joint practice with Miami, combined with the fact that most of its starters saw time in the first two preseason games. That’s a boost for the Dolphins, who need to work on their offensive line issues and will see their starters going against Jacksonville’s second unit.

And that second unit hasn’t done so well. The Saints stormed back against the backups last week to get a tie in the Jaguars’ second preseason contest. Zach Wilson and Quinn Ewers are both capable of moving the ball against them, especially after Tua Tagovailoa helps put them on the board early.

As for the Jaguars, their offense has been putrid without Trevor Lawrence on the field. The rushing attack has been quite poor, and the offensive line has had problems of its own. They were unable to score a single point in the second half against the Saints, and have scored just three touchdowns in more than six quarters without Lawrence on the field this preseason.

Miami is rightly favored heavily in this contest, and I don’t see it being close in the end. The Dolphins will punish the Jacksonville defense and win this going away.

Jaguars vs Dolphins odds

  • Spread: Jacksonville +3.5 (-110) | Miami -3.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Jacksonville +150 | Miami -180
  • Over/Under: Over 38.5 (-110) | Under 38.5 (-110)

How to watch Jaguars vs Dolphins

Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
Date: Saturday, 8-23, 2025
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network

Jaguars vs Dolphins weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our live NFL weather info and learn how weather impacts NFL betting.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Jason Ence - Covers
Betting Analyst

Jason has been hooked on soccer since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo