Aces vs Sun Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: May 13, 2026 , 08:37 AM ET • 4 min read

The Aces continue their longstanding dominance over the Sun, which may actually limit A'ja Wilson's scoring in a potential blowout win.

WNBA

Match starts: 10 hrs
LV
58 %
CON
42 %
Read Analysis
A'ja Wilson Las Vegas Aces WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Las Vegas Aces center A'ja Wilson (22) during team introductions before the game against the Los Angeles Sparks.

The last thing the winless Connecticut Sun (0-2) needs is a date with the defending WNBA champions.

They can thank the schedule makers for this matchup, as the Las Vegas Aces (1-1) come into town fresh off their first win of the season.

My Aces vs. Sun predictions and WNBA picks for Wednesday, May 13, stick with the champs, who have beaten up Connecticut for two straight calendar years.

Aces vs Sun prediction

Aces vs Sun best bet: Aces -14.5 (-110)

It has been complete domination for the Las Vegas Aces in this head-to-head, winning eight straight, with the margin of victory inside double digits just twice.

You have to go back to June 8, 2023, for the last time the Connecticut Sun took one from Vegas.

The Aces are a crisp 7-1-0 against the spread during this streak, and they have covered three of the last four double-digit spreads against the Sun.

Connecticut is third-worst in scoring in the WNBA and has cracked the 70-point plateau just four times in the last eight against Vegas.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Vegas is second in the WNBA in shooting from the field at 51.4%, while Connecticut is Bottom-4 in FG Defense, allowing teams to shoot a sharp 48.4% from the field.

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Aces vs Sun same-game parlay

It sounds insane to take A’ja Wilson to go Under against the Sun, but these matchups have been mostly blowouts, a big reason she’s gone for 24 points or more just three times in the last 10 meetings. Veteran big Brittney Griner defending the paint could also have an effect.

And Chelsea Gray is coming off a 4-for-5 game from 3-point range in Vegas’ 105-78 thumping of LA, and the 2014 first-round pick of the Sun loves shooting against her former squad, firing at a blistering 40.7% from 3-point range.

Aces vs Sun SGP

  • Aces -14.5
  • A'ja Wilson Under 23.5 points
  • Chelsea Gray Over 1.5 threes

Aces vs Sun first basket scorer: A'ja Wilson (+375)

The reigning MVP and Finals MVP is never a bad pick to open the scoring.

Not surprisingly, Connecticut has conceded the first bucket in both of its games this year. Last season, Wilson opened the scoring twice in the four-game regular season series.

Aces vs Sun odds

  • Spread: Aces -15 (-110) | Sun +15 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Aces -1300 | Sun +800
  • Over/Under: Over 171.5 (-110) | Under 171.5 (-110)

Aces vs Sun trend

The favorites have covered the spread in eight of the Aces' last nine games at Mohegan Sun Arena. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Aces vs Sun

Location Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT
Date Wednesday, May 13, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV USA Network

Aces vs Sun latest injuries

Aces: None.
Sun: None.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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