Eagles vs Jaguars Prediction, Picks & Odds: NFL Week 5

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 10, 2026 , 06:00 AM ET • 4 min read

Philly comes up empty in London.

nfl

Match starts: 23 hrs
NFL, Bhayshul Tuten, Jacksonville Jaguars
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jacksonville Jaguars running back Bhayshul Tuten runs the ball at EverBank Stadium.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have climbed to -7.5 favorites over the Philadelphia Eagles ahead of their 9:30 a.m. ET kickoff at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, on Sunday, Oct. 11.

Even with the massive line move, my favorite Eagles vs. Jaguars predictions and NFL picks expect Jacksonville to put on a clinic against Philly in Week 5.

  • Editor's note: Eagles running back Saquon Barkley was ruled out for Sunday's game due to a hamstring injury suffered last week.

 TOP Pick
Eagles vs Jaguars prediction: Jaguars -7.5 

Jacksonville Jaguars -4.5 was my first trade of the week, and I’m comfortable playing it to -7.5.

The talent mismatch in this matchup is going to be on full display Sunday. Jacksonville is superior on both sides of the ball by both EPA per play and DVOA, and the Jags even have the better quarterback and head coach.

The Philadelphia Eagles are also dealing with injuries to key starters on offense and defense, while Jacksonville only has minor concerns in its secondary.

With Philly quarterback Jalen Hurts throwing for career-low yards per attempt (6.3) and completion percentage (59.6%), expect the Jags to pull away. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Jacksonville Jaguars have allowed the second-fewest points per drive while scoring the fourth-most.

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Eagles vs Jaguars combo

The Eagles have surrendered 56 passing completions and the fifth-highest dropback success rate over the past two weeks, so Jags QB Trevor Lawrence is set up to play pitch and catch Sunday.

Lawrence has thrown for a career-high 69.2 completion percentage and 77.3 adjusted completion percentage to start the year.

Philly has also allowed the fifth-highest rushing success rate and a healthy 4.13 yards per carry. Meanwhile, Jags No. 2 running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. has made the most of his opportunities this season, averaging 4.2 yards per carry while ranking eighth in rushing efficiency and 12th in yards after contact per carry.

Rodriguez has also rushed for at least 35 yards in back-to-back games and could see an even bigger workload spelling lead back Bhayshul Tuten if Jacksonville builds a comfortable lead.

Eagles vs Jaguars combo

  • Jaguars -7.5
  • Trevor Lawrence 20+ passing completions
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. 25+ rushing yards

Eagles vs Jaguars touchdown scorer: Bhayshul Tuten

The Eagles surrendered two rushing touchdowns in Week 4, while Tuten has been a force for the Jaguars, averaging an elite 4.02 yards after contact per carry and boasting a 109.6 PFF elusive rating.

He’s also found the end zone twice while handling 56.3% of the red-zone rushes for Jacksonville, including nine across the past three games.

I recommend Tuten to score up to 54%.

Neil Parker's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 25-18, +6.79 units
  • Combos: 0-9, -9.0 units
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Eagles vs Jaguars odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Eagles +7.5 | Jaguars -7.5
  • Over/Under: Over 41.5 (52%) | Under 41.5 (49%)
  • Moneyline: Eagles 24% | Jaguars 77%

For the full slate of NFL matchups, check out our NFL odds board!


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Eagles vs Jaguars weather

The forecast calls for partly cloudy skies and a 57°F game-time temperature with a gentle 5 mph breeze blowing sideline-to-sideline.

There is also a 10% chance of light precipitation at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday.

Check out our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Eagles vs Jaguars trend to know

Jacksonville is a perfect 7-0 ATS when favored by 3+ points since the start of last season. Find more NFL betting trends for Eagles vs. Jaguars.

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How to watch Eagles vs Jaguars

Location Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England
Date Sunday, Oct. 11, 2026
Kickoff 9:30 a.m. ET
TV NFL Network

Eagles vs Jaguars latest injuries

Check out our NFL injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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