Eagles vs Jaguars Prop Picks: Week 5

Dustin Saracini -  - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Dustin Saracini • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Oct 10, 2026 , 02:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Expect Lawrence to have a clean pocket all game long, and to have his way with a defensive unit that looks like a shell of its former self.

Trevor Lawrence Eagles vs Jaguars props
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) drops back to throw.

Wake up, honey, Jacksonville is playing in London again, and I'm dropping my Eagles vs. Jaguars prop picks to build our bankroll for the rest of the day.

The Jacksonville Jaguars roll into Tottenham Hotspur Stadium as resounding 76% favorites against a down-and-out, injured Philadelphia Eagles team. With DeVonta Smith sidelined, my Eagles vs. Jaguars predictions are looking at Darius Cooper to step up, while riding with two stars on the other side.

Tap into my NFL picks for Sunday, Oct. 11, and let's stay hot this week.

Best Eagles vs Jaguars props

For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Pick Kalshi
Probability
 Jaguars Lawrence 225+ passing yards 50%
 Eagles Cooper 3+ receptions 42%
 Jaguars Washington 60+ receiving yards 53%

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Prop pick #1: Trevor Lawrence 225+ passing yards

Kalshi probability: 50%

Trevor Lawrence has gone over this number in two of four games, and is up against a secondary ranked 24th in EPA/pass.

Matt Stafford just threw for 317 yards against this secondary, which is coughing up close to 250 yards through the air over its last three games, and the front seven simply isn't getting to the quarterback — it's 31% pressure rate ranks among the lowest in football.

Expect Lawrence to have a clean pocket all game long, and to have his way with a defensive unit that looks like a shell of its former self.

Prop pick #2: Darius Cooper 3+ receptions

Kalshi probability: 42%

With the Philadelphia Eagles' top playmakers down — no Saquon Barkley and no DeVonta Smith — the passing attack will turn to Darius Cooper. The wide-out had seven targets just last week as the No. 1 receiver in Philly, and is fifth in the NFL in red-zone targets at his position.

This low reception number, at this price, is a no-brainer for me. Will Shipley is the No. 1 running back; it'll be up to the arm of Jalen Hurts to win this game as a result. It helps that the Jacksonville Jaguars secondary is averaging 280 yards against through the air.

If we see the Jags jump out in front, volume alone should cash this play.

Prop pick #3: Parker Washington 60+ receiving yards

Kalshi probability: 53%

Parker Washington is the man in Jacksonville, and this number is just far too low for my liking.

This could very well be a ladder play up to 100+ receiving yards for me. Averaging just over seven targets a game while owning the largest target share on the Jags, Washington is in store for a big game against a struggling secondary.

It's a perfect spot for Washington to bounce back after a quiet Week 4, with Philadelphia allowing 222 passing yards per game and ranking 17th in yards allowed per target to perimeter receivers.

I'd play this up to 57%.

Dustin Saracini's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 2-1, +1.02 units
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Dustin Saracini
Betting Analyst

Dustin Saracini is a betting analyst at Covers with over 14 years of experience in the sports betting industry. Throughout his career, Dustin has hosted multiple betting shows- breaking down NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB markets alongside top handicappers - and has appeared as a Super Bowl consultant for CNN. A disciplined daily bettor who extensively line-shops across FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars, his sharpest edges lie in MLB and the NFL (followed closely by the NHL and NBA). A self-proclaimed NRFI guru targeting his second straight +10u MLB season, Dustin holds a Broadcast Journalism degree from Western University (2014). For daily picks, market strategies, and insights, follow him on X (Twitter) @DustinSaracini.

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