Wake up, honey, Jacksonville is playing in London again, and I'm dropping my Eagles vs. Jaguars prop picks to build our bankroll for the rest of the day.
The Jacksonville Jaguars roll into Tottenham Hotspur Stadium as resounding 76% favorites against a down-and-out, injured Philadelphia Eagles team. With DeVonta Smith sidelined, my Eagles vs. Jaguars predictions are looking at Darius Cooper to step up, while riding with two stars on the other side.
Tap into my NFL picks for Sunday, Oct. 11, and let's stay hot this week.
Best Eagles vs Jaguars props
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| Pick | Probability |
|---|---|
| |
50% |
| |
42% |
| |
53% |
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Prop pick #1: Trevor Lawrence 225+ passing yards
Trevor Lawrence has gone over this number in two of four games, and is up against a secondary ranked 24th in EPA/pass.
Matt Stafford just threw for 317 yards against this secondary, which is coughing up close to 250 yards through the air over its last three games, and the front seven simply isn't getting to the quarterback — it's 31% pressure rate ranks among the lowest in football.
Expect Lawrence to have a clean pocket all game long, and to have his way with a defensive unit that looks like a shell of its former self.
Prop pick #2: Darius Cooper 3+ receptions
With the Philadelphia Eagles' top playmakers down — no Saquon Barkley and no DeVonta Smith — the passing attack will turn to Darius Cooper. The wide-out had seven targets just last week as the No. 1 receiver in Philly, and is fifth in the NFL in red-zone targets at his position.
This low reception number, at this price, is a no-brainer for me. Will Shipley is the No. 1 running back; it'll be up to the arm of Jalen Hurts to win this game as a result. It helps that the Jacksonville Jaguars secondary is averaging 280 yards against through the air.
If we see the Jags jump out in front, volume alone should cash this play.
Prop pick #3: Parker Washington 60+ receiving yards
Parker Washington is the man in Jacksonville, and this number is just far too low for my liking.
This could very well be a ladder play up to 100+ receiving yards for me. Averaging just over seven targets a game while owning the largest target share on the Jags, Washington is in store for a big game against a struggling secondary.
It's a perfect spot for Washington to bounce back after a quiet Week 4, with Philadelphia allowing 222 passing yards per game and ranking 17th in yards allowed per target to perimeter receivers.
I'd play this up to 57%.
- Prop picks: 2-1, +1.02 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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