Everything is bigger in Texas, including the Monday Night Football stage.
NFL Week 9 comes to a close when the Dallas Cowboys host the Arizona Cardinals inside AT&T Stadium.
I run down the Cardinals vs. Cowboys props for MNF and give my best NFL picks for November 3.
Cardinals vs Cowboys MNF props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 George Pickens |
Over 59.5 receiving yards | -110 |
 Jacoby Brissett |
Over 0.5 interceptions | +105 |
| Trey McBride |
Anytime TD | +105 |
George Pickens Over 59.5 receiving yards
George Pickens may read as WR2 on the Dallas Cowboys depth chart, but he’s more of a WR1-A alongside CeeDee Lamb.
With Lamb back in action, Pickens’ involvement has taken a step back, but not by much. He was still targeted nine times for seven catches and 78 yards receiving in the loss to Denver last weekend.
Those stats came against the Broncos league-best secondary, and now Pickens and the Boys get to come back inside the fast track of “Jerry’s World,” matching up against a Cardinals defense giving up a ton of passing yards.
Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott loves to play indoors and sees his stats swell inside AT&T Stadium. Pickens also prefers a clean indoor track, with upticks in his production away from the elements.
Arizona’s secondary could be missing starting corner Will Johnson and safety Kitan Crawford (both questionable), which leaves the Cardinals in a “pick your poison” position against the Cowboys’ receivers.
Player models for Pickens range from 67 to 83 yards receiving in Week 9. Given the tall total for this MNF matchup (53 O/U), we could be in for a shootout with plenty of passing yards to go around.
Jacoby Brissett Over 0.5 interceptions
Jacoby Brissett is once more under center for the Cardinals with QB1 Kyler Murray unable to go with a foot injury in Week 9.
The veteran backup has played well in relief, passing for just short of 600 total yards, four touchdowns, and only one interception in the past two games. However, this zone-heavy defense from Dallas could be Brissett’s kryptonite.
Cowboys’ defensive coordinator Matt Eberflus runs zone almost exclusively. The pass defense has been dreadful, but Brissett sees a major downtick in production versus zone coverage.
While he rates Top 10 in many metrics against man-to-man, he’s 30th in completion rate vs. zone (64.4%), 16th in passer rating vs. zone (93.0), and 21st in catchable ball rate (75.6%) against zone schemes.
With Arizona pegged as a road underdog and the total among the highest on the board, Brissett could be forced to pass more and make tough throws to keep the chains moving. Dallas hasn’t been as dangerous in terms of takeaways as year’s past, but it does have four INTs on the season.
Player models range from 0.6 interceptions to as high as 1.6 INTs.
Trey McBride anytime TD
After sparse scoring chances the past year and a half, it seems the floodgates are open for Arizona tight end Trey McBride. He’s scored four TDs on the season, with three of those coming the past two weeks.
McBride entered Week 9 as the most targeted tight end in the NFL (66) despite a bye in Week 8. With Brisset under center, the standout TE has seen 11 and 13 balls his way. Inside the red zone, McBride has caught nine of 13 passes, four striking for six points.
The Dallas secondary is running thin at safety as are the linebacker corps – two positions that would be assigned to covering tight ends. In fact, the Cowboys active LBs rate among the worst at coverage, according to PFF.
Tight ends have had their way with Dallas in 2025. The Cowboys have allowed the 11th most receptions and the 12th most receiving yards to the position, along with two TE touchdowns.
McBride’s player projections have him listed as the one of the tight ends most likely to find payfirt in Week 9, with models ranging from 0.5 to 0.6 TDs on Monday night.
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Cardinals vs Cowboys MNF prop betting card
- Pickens o59.5 rec yds (-110)
- Brissett o0.5 INTs (+105)
- McBride anytime TD (+105)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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