Dak Prescott and the 3-4-1 Dallas Cowboys will play host to the 2-5 Arizona Cardinals, who are again without Kyler Murray, on Monday Night Football.
Prescott has put up MVP-type numbers, but his defense has not given him the help to give the Cowboys a better record.
Let's take a look at the Dak Prescott odds for Monday, November 3, and don't miss Josh Inglis' Cardinals vs. Cowboys predictions!
Dak Prescott prop pick
Dak Prescott best bet: Over 25.5 pass completions (-110 at bet365)
Dak Prescott has 2,069 passing yards and 16 touchdowns to only five interceptions through eight games. He also has a QBR of 79.5, which would be a career-best in a single season for him.
Prescott also has a career best 70.3% completion percentage this season. He isn’t trying to force things in the deep passing game, and is instead taking what the defense is giving him. That is why I love taking his completions in this matchup rather than just taking his yardage prop.
The Arizona Cardinals have allowed only 9.3 yards per attempt, which is seventh-fewest in the NFL, to opponents throwing downfield. However, they rank 25th in the NFL in total passing yards allowed, which means they give up a ton of quick passes.
The Cardinals have played Cover 4 at the highest rate in the NFL this season, deploying the coverage scheme on 32.3% of dropbacks. Prescott has completed 74.3% of his passes and averaged 8.6 yards per attempt against Cover 4 this season.
With this matchup, Prescott will be more than happy to throw it underneath to guys like CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson, with the occasional big play shot to George Pickens.
Dak Prescott same-game parlay
Dak Prescott Over 25.5 pass completions
Marvin Harrison Jr. Over 59.5 receiving yards
Trey McBride anytime TD
Marvin Harrison Jr. has recorded 55+ receiving yards in three of his last four games. He'll beat up on a soft Dallas Cowboys defense, forcing Dak to keep throwing on MNF.
Finally, I'm adding Trey McBride to find the end zone, as he has been a heavy red-zone target for Jacoby Brissett with three touchdowns in the last two games for the Cardinals.
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