Bills vs Broncos Computer Picks: Our Best Divisional Round Player Prop Projections

Our NFL player prop projections are high on RJ Harvey making an impact in the passing game, highlighting our best Bills vs. Broncos computer picks for today.

Jared Hochman - Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Jared Hochman • Content Manager
Jan 17, 2026 • 08:44 ET • 4 min read
Bills vs Broncos computer picks RJ Harvey
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Denver Broncos running back RJ Harvey (12) runs with the ball.

The opening matchup of the Divisional Round is a Saturday afternoon that sees Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills visit Empower Field at Mile High to face the No. 1-seeded Denver Broncos.

Our NFL player prop projections have picked out the best values for this game, which kicks off at 4:30 p.m. ET on CBS.

Bills vs Broncos computer picks for Divisional Round

Bills Bills Broncos Broncos
Allen o36.5 rush
-114
Nix o210.5 pass
-114
Cook u76.5 rush
-114
Harvey o18.5 rec
-114
Shakir o52.5 rec
-114
Sutton o54.5 rec
-114
Kincaid o35.5 rec
-114
Engram o21.5 rec
-114
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Bills computer picks for the Divisional Round

Josh Allen Over 36.5 rushing yards (-114)

Projection: 42.67 yards

Our projections don't like the Over on Allen's passing yards, but they do like him to make his legs a big part of today's matchup.

🔥 Bet Allen rushing yards now

James Cook Under 76.5 rushing yards (-114)

Projection: 74.83 yards

We've got Cook projected just below his posted rushing total, sitting a couple of yards towards the Under.

🏈 Bet Cook rushing yards now

Khalil Shakir Over 52.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 53.99 yards

Shakir broke out and had a big game in the Wild Card Round, and we project him to again play a big part in the Bills' passing attack today.

🔥 Bet Shakir receiving yards now

Dalton Kincaid Over 35.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 37.08 yards

The projections for Kincaid also sit very close to his receiving line, sitting about a yard towards the Over.

🔥 Bet Kincaid receiving yards now


More Bills vs Broncos picks from Covers


Broncos computer picks for the Divisional Round

Bo Nix Over 210.5 passing yards (-114)

Projection: 216.67 yards

Our projections expect an improvement from Nix's postseason debut last year (144 yards), going Over his posted total in the process.

🔥 Bet Nix passing yards now

R.J. Harvey Over 18.5 rushing yards (-114)

Projection: 23.35 yards

We're not big on Harvey passing his rushing total, but there's value in the Denver rookie getting 20+ receiving yards for the sixth time in eight games.

🔥 Bet Harvey receiving yards now

Courtland Sutton Over 54.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 55.54 yards

Denver's WR1 is projected to surpass his yardage line, a number he's topped in five of his last seven.

🔥 Bet Sutton receiving yards now

Evan Engram Over 21.5 receiving yards (-114)

Projection: 24.93 yards

The veteran TE has picked up his play down the stretch, posting 21+ yards in each of his last three games, and we expect him to finish in the mid-20s today.

🔥 Bet Engram receiving yards now

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Jared Hochman Content Operations Manager at Covers.com
Content Manager

Before Jared Hochman joined the Covers team in 2020, he worked for newspaper outlets such as the Chronicle Herald and The Coast, worked in marketing for SkipTheDishes and Vivid Seats, and previously ran a magazine. A journalism graduate from the University of King's College in, Halifax, N.S., "Hoch" brings more than a decade of experience in sports betting, having worked as a freelance handicapper, making appearances on Monumental Sports Network and the Sharp 600 podcast, and now also filling in occasionally as host of Covers' NHL Puck Props. 

Awarded Covers' company MVP for 2023, Jared is an avid bettor of MLB, NFL, NHL, and NBA, while also wagering on some soccer and WNBA. His best advice for sports bettors? Price shop, which is something he does daily across 10 different sportsbook apps.

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