Islanders vs Sharks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Luc LeBlanc - Betting Editor at Covers.com
Luc LeBlanc • Content Editor 3+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 9, 2026 , 12:17 PM ET • 4 min read

Our Islanders vs. Sharks predictions see Matthew Schaefer and Simon Holmstrom taking advantage of a struggling San Jose squad.

nhl

Match starts: 2 hrs
New York Islanders Matthew Schaefer San Jose Sharks Macklin Celebrini
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer (left), and Sharks center Macklin Celebrini (right).

The New York Islanders visit the San Jose Sharks tonight, with both teams carrying extended losing streaks into the SAP Center.

My Islanders vs. Sharks prediction expects San Jose to continue its early-season struggles, with Matthew Schaefer taking advantage of a poor shot-suppressing team.

Let's dive into our NHL picks for Monday, Nov. 9.

Islanders vs Sharks prediction: Islanders moneyline

The San Jose Sharks have scored just eight goals during their five-game losing streak, and have dropped seven of their last eight games.

They rank 30th in goals per game (2.47), 29th in goals against per game (3.58), and their 925 unblocked shot attempts allowed are nearly 10% more than the next closest team.

The New York Islanders are mired in a three-game skid of their own, but they've won five consecutive meetings against the Sharks. The Isles are 3-1-1 in their last five road games.

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 TOP PICK
Islanders vs Sharks player prop: Matthew Schaefer 3+ shots on goal

Matthew Schaefer is the only player in the NHL to have attempted at least five shots in every game this season.

He's up against a San Jose squad that has allowed the most unblocked shot attempts of any team (925) and the sixth-most shots on goal at 5-on-5 (414).

The Hamilton, Ontario native is averaging 3.56 shots on goal per game this season, up significantly from his 2.71 mark as a rookie.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The 2025 first-overall pick is averaging 7.88 shot attempts per game this season — a mark that leads all defensemen and ranks fourth among all skaters. That number increases to 9.14 on the road, trailing only Jack Hughes.

Islanders vs Sharks goal scorer: Matthew Schaefer

In addition to his insane shot volume, Schaefer has scored in four of his last seven games after taking nine games to find the back of the net to open his sophomore campaign.

He scored a ridiculous 23 goals as a rookie, and his 26:48 of ice time per game ranks fourth in the NHL. He leads all defensemen in both expected goals (2.7) and low-danger expected goals (1.45) over the last 10 games.

Islanders vs Sharks combo

The Sharks have scored just eight goals in their last five games, recording two or fewer four times. San Jose owns the third-worst expected goals share over the last 10 games (41.19%), and the Isles rank 10th in the NHL in goals allowed.

Matthew Schaefer has attempted at least five shots in every game this season and leads all NHL defensemen in shot attempts. He's cleared this line in eight of his last 13 games, and San Jose has allowed the second-most total shots on goal this season.

Simon Holmstrom is another Islander primed to take advantage of this matchup. He's recorded two-plus shots in eight of his last nine games, totaling 21 SOG on 44 attempts.

Islanders vs Sharks combo

  • Sharks team total Under 2.5
  • Matthew Schaefer 3+ shots
  • Simon Holmstrom 2+ shots
Luc LeBlanc's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 17-13, +6.63 units
  • Combos: 3-19, -0.07 units
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Islanders vs Sharks odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Moneyline: Islanders 57% | Sharks 44%
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 (48%) | Under 6.5 (54%)
  • Spread: Islanders -1.5 (35%) | Sharks +1.5 (66%)

For the full slate of NHL matchups, check out our NHL odds board!

Islanders vs Sharks trend

The Islanders have won five consecutive meetings and seven of the last eight against San Jose. Find more NHL betting trends.

How to watch Islanders vs Sharks

Location SAP Center, San Jose, Calif.
Date Monday, Nov. 9, 2026
Puck drop 7 p.m. ET
TV ESPN+, MSGSN, TVAS

Islanders vs Sharks latest injuries

Check out our NHL injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Luc LeBlanc
Content Editor

Luc LeBlanc has worked in sports media for nearly half a decade, blending his analytical approach, knack for pattern recognition, and a unique, transparent writing style to present readers with the best and most accurate information.

Safe and responsible sports betting never comes from blindly following picks or projections, but rather from better informing oneself through digesting trusted, transparent, and reliable information.

He holds a Geography degree (BSc) from Saint Mary's University. His love for maps and his science-oriented thought processes have seamlessly translated to how he approaches his work today.

Whether it's the NHL, ATP/WTA Tours, MLB, or NFL, he can always be trusted to deliver valuable information in an accessible manner and will never push a narrative without good reason.

Prior to joining Covers, his work could be found across numerous publications, such as The Hockey Writers, FanSided, and Oddspedia. 

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