The Buffalo Bills hit the highway for the second consecutive week to face the rested Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High in the Divisional Round opener on Saturday, January 17.
While all eyes will be on Buffalo superstar Josh Allen, my top Bills vs. Broncos props and NFL picks are eyeing a Denver trifecta to kickstart the weekend.
Bills vs Broncos props for the AFC Divisional Round
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 RJ Harvey |
Anytime touchdown | -135 |
| Evan Engram |
Over 21.5 receiving yards | -114 |
| Troy Franklin |
Over 19.5 receiving yards | -114 |
RJ Harvey anytime touchdown (-135)
The Buffalo Bills allowed an NFL-high 18 rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs during the regular season, and another four through the air, and Denver Broncos rookie RJ Harvey scored six times across six games out of the Week 12 bye.
Buffalo was also gashed for the third-most yards and second-highest EPA per carry while ranking 31st in run defense DVOA.
Add the Bills allowing the Jacksonville Jaguars to run for a monster 6.7 yards per tote in the Wild Card round to Buffalo traveling for the second consecutive game on a short week, and I like Harvey to find paydirt on Saturday.
Evan Engram Over 21.5 receiving yards (-114)
Broncos tight end Evan Engram recorded 21 or more receiving yards in 11 of 16 games, including seven of nine at home, and his average total in this market was 26 during the regular season.
Engram also ran receiving routes on 78% of his offensive snaps and was targeted on a respectable 22.2% of them for 7.8% of Denver’s air yards.
While the Bills have been tough against tight ends, the matchup is accounted for in this total, and Engram finished the year strong with nine receptions on 12 targets for 102 yards across the final three games.
Troy Franklin Over 19.5 receiving yards (-114)
This is the lowest receiving yards total since Week 1 of the season for Denver Broncos wide receiver Troy Franklin, and he’s recorded 19 or more receiving yards in 13 of 17 games, including eight of nine at home.
Again, the Bills have been stingy against the pass, but Franklin had a high-end 13.0 aDoT and 52.9 contested catch percentage, and he accounted for a healthy 29.7% of Denver’s air yards.
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Bills vs Broncos prop betting card
- Harvey anytime TD (-135)
- Engram o21.5 rec yds (-114)
- Franklin o19.5 rec yds (-114)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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