Bengals vs Jaguars MNF Prop Bets: Fading Cincinnati Sans Burrow

Joe Burrow's season-ending injury had a ripple effect hat has essentially ruined the Bengals' chances. With an already suspect defense, Cincy now doesn't have an offense to keep pace. We're targeting the Jags and fading the Bengals in our MNF props.

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Dec 4, 2023 • 18:05 ET • 4 min read
Evan Engram Jacksonville Jaguars NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Bengals have had their season turned upside down following the season-ending injury to Joe Burrow, but can stay in the playoff race with a win under the bright lights of Monday Night Football. But that will be no easy task as they will travel to face the Jacksonville Jaguars, winners of seven of their last eight.

Can the Bengals' playmakers step up to the occasion or will Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars take advantage of the Burrow-less Bengals to close out NFL Week 13 odds?

Monday Night Football odds peg the Bengals as massive underdogs

Continue reading for free NFL player props and NFL picks for Monday Night Football on December 4th.

For complete coverage, don't forget to read Jason Logan's Bengals vs. Jaguars predictions and Tom Oldfield's spotlight on Trevor Lawrence props.

Bengals vs Jaguars MNF props

Picks made on December 4 at 9:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

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Bengals vs Jaguars MNF props

Prop bet #1: Easy as Engram

The Bengals have had extensive struggles this season covering tight ends, allowing 6.4 receptions for 70.8 yards per game to the position. Each of those marks is good for the second-worst in the league. Just last week, Pat Freiermuth gashed them for nine receptions and 120 yards.

Evan Engram is no slouch either, and he has surpassed the 41.5 yards his receiving prop is set at for Monday in seven of his 11 games this year. Engram has been a consistent part of the game plan all year, never once dipping below five targets or four receptions in a game.

And with Zay Jones returning from injury, the Bengals secondary will have its plate full covering him on top of Calvin Ridley and Christian Kirk. Engram should smash here in a plus-matchup against a favorable number.

Evan Engram prop: Over 41.5 receiving yards (-110 at bet365)

Prop bet #2: Lawrence uses his legs

Another area where the Bengals defense has struggled is with containing quarterbacks on the ground. The 27.8 rushing yards they allow on average to opposing quarterbacks ranks third-worst in the league and the 5.5 rushing attempts they allow is second-worst.

Trevor Lawrence isn't exactly the biggest rushing threat, but he has been more than good enough to be better than his prop for Monday. He has surpassed 11.5 rushing yards in eight of his eleven games, and his 21.8 average is nearly double his prop.

He has gone under his closing number in three of his last four games, but this would be a great time to buy low given the matchup.

Trevor Lawrence prop: Over 11.5 rushing yards (-120 at FanDuel)

Prop bet #3: Mixon gets stuck in the mud

Joe Mixon was quietly stringing together a really good stretch right up until Joe Burrow's untimely injury, having scored in three straight games before Burrow exited their Week 12 game against the Ravens. But in his first game with backup Jake Browning under center, Mixon managed to just tally 16 rushing yards on eight carries.

Although that output may be on the low end, we should expect Mixon to be less effective on the ground as a whole with Browning taking the snaps. With Browning, we should expect Cincinnati's passing attack to be less respected and for them to be leading less frequently, both of which would cut into Mixon's involvement and effectiveness.

In a game in which they are double-digit underdogs and facing off against the defense that allows the fewest rushing yards per game to running backs, that should especially be the case on Monday.

Joe Mixon prop: Under 49.5 rushing yards (-113 at FanDuel)

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