Follow the Money: The Most Popular College Football Public Betting Picks for Week 3

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 19, 2026 , 09:01 AM ET • 4 min read

The public believes Lane Kiffin and LSU will come away with the win vs. Ole Miss in the latest rendition of the Magnolia Bowl.

LSU Lane Kiffin NCAAF
Photo By - Reuters Connect. LSU head coach Lane Kiffin celebrates on the sideline.

We're taking a look at the college football public betting action for today, sizing up where the money is going before you make your Week 3 Top 25 predictions.

See what the splits look like for the LSU-Ole Miss rivalry game, and much more.

College football public betting picks for Week 3

Matchup Pick
Kent State Kent State
vs
Ohio State Ohio State
Ohio State
99%
Georgia Georgia
vs
Arkansas Arkansas
Georgia
96%
SMU SMU
vs
Louisville Louisville
Louisville
53%
Michigan State Michigan State
vs
Notre Dame Notre Dame
Notre Dame
98%
LSU LSU
vs
Mississippi Ole Miss
LSU
59%

Probabilities courtesy of Kalshi, one of our best prediction market apps. For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, please see our odds calculator.

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NCAAF public betting picks and analysis for Week 3

Kent State vs Ohio State: Ohio State

Kalshi probability: 99% | Volume: $455,484

Is Ohio State vulnerable to a letdown after choking away a three-score lead vs. Texas? Kalshi traders certainly don't think so, as 99% of the action is backing the Buckeyes vs. Kent State.

Check out our full Kent State vs. Ohio State predictions.

Georgia vs Arkansas: Georgia

Kalshi probability: 96% | Volume: $834,482

Arkansas returns home looking to bounce back after a road rout at the hands of Utah, but the public does not see that happening.

There's a 96% probability that Georgia begins its SEC slate with a win, according to Kalshi. 

Check out our full Georgia vs. Arkansas predictions.

SMU vs Louisville: Louisville

Kalshi probability: 53% | Volume: $474,151

One of three Top 25 vs. Top 25 matchups this weekend is one the closest from a investment perspective at Kalshi.

Louisville has garnered 53 cents of every dollar ahead of their home date with SMU, as they look to avenge a one-sided thrashing in Dallas from 2025.

Check out our full SMU vs. Louisville predictions.

Michigan State vs Notre Dame: Notre Dame

Kalshi probability: 98% | Volume: $366,374

Michigan State is looking for its first statement win in the Pat Fitzgerald era, and fans will remember the Spartans head coach knocking off Notre Dame both as a player and as a coach at Northwestern.

However, "that team from South Bend" is attracting nearly unanimous support as a 98% moneyline play at Kalshi for this tilt.

Check out our full Michigan State vs. Notre Dame predictions.

LSU vs Ole Miss: LSU

Kalshi probability: 59% | Volume: $3,088,861

There's always more than enough bad blood to go around in the Magnolia Bowl, and the Lane Kiffin saga has thrown gasoline on a raging fire.

Kalshi traders are calling for Kiffin to emerge victorious in his first trip back to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, with 59% of every dollar invested in the Tigers.

Check out our full LSU vs. Ole Miss predictions.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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