It’s hard to write about LSU without imaging everything in the voice of head coach Ed Orgeron. And truthfully, that might be a more entertaining product than the Tigers have put on the field this season. When you’re fresh off a national championship, you’ve got some leeway, but both Coach O and college football betting enthusiasts alike will need plenty of it when the Tigers meet highly-ranked Florida this weekend.
Let’s check out our best college football free picks and predictions for LSU at No. 6 Florida. It’s an evening affair at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for Saturday, December 12 at 7:00 ET.
LSU Tigers at Florida Gators Betting Preview
Weather
Should be just right in Gainesville on Saturday night. Look for a high of 57 degrees with wind out of the east-northeast at 5 mph and a 20 percent chance of showers. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key Injuries
LSU: Jaray Jenkins WR (ques), Racey McMath WR (ques), Lloyd Cole CB (ques), Terrace Marshall Jr. WR (out), Myles Brennan QB (out).
Florida: Jeremiah Moon LB (ques), Jaelin Humphries DL (ques), T.J. Moore OL (ques), Hayden Knighton OL (ques), Kamar Wilcoxson DB (ques), Kahleil Jackson UT (ques), Trent Whittemore WR (out).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
Gators are 0-3-1 ATS versus a team with a losing record. Find more NCAA betting trends for LSU vs. Florida.
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Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
Any dreams that the Tigers had of winning back-to-back titles were dashed early in the season, but that wasn’t exactly unexpected. They lost a ton of talent to the NFL. Still, a 3-5 record at this point in the year is not something that most would have predicted. The Tigers were smashed 55-17 by Alabama last weekend, and they were never in it.
Florida, meanwhile, has experienced no such problems. The Gators have clinched a spot in the SEC Championship Game against Bama and pulled away to beat Tennessee 31-19 last weekend. Quarterback Kyle Trask continues to make his best case for the Heisman Trophy, throwing for 433 yards and four touchdowns versus the Vols in Knoxville.
It’s tempting to go with the Gators at home, but they face a similar quandary as Oklahoma—hitting the road in a game where they want to remain sharp but not risk injuries to their best players. It feels like this line is a touch inflated based on LSU’s ineffectiveness against Bama, so I’ll grab the points with the Tigers. Florida will be looking ahead.
PREDICTION: LSU +23.0 (-110)
Over/Under Pick
In a normal situation, I’d put money on the Over, but I would be stunned if Trask plays the entire game. There’s just no reason for the Gators to take that chance. The Under has hit in four of Florida’s last six overall, and I’ll sprinkle some cash on that side of the number.
PREDICTION: Under 55.5 (-110)
Team Total Prop Pick
LSU has clearly been unimpressive this year, but the Tigers should be motivated to salvage at least a part of their season by being competitive against a rival team. They won’t win, but they’ll perform better than expected with the Gators waiting for their title game matchup against the Tide.
PREDICTION: LSU team total Over 22.5 (-103)
LSU vs Florida Betting Card
- LSU +23.0 (-110)
- Under 55.5 (-110)
- LSU team total Over 22.5 (-103)
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Where Can I Bet on College Football?
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