Mississippi vs Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's SEC Tournament Game

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 13, 2026 , 02:38 PM ET • 4 min read

Farmer's Prediction: Alabama runs past Mississippi.

NCAAB

Match starts: 2 hrs
MISS
38 %
ALA
62 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
Alabama o87.5 (-120)
Read Analysis
Aden Holloway Alabama Crimson Tide college basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Aden Holloway in a recent game against Auburn.

The Alabama Crimson Tide reach Nashville with fresh legs and thus as a worrying opponent for the Mississippi Rebels.

My Mississippi vs. Alabama predictions and these college basketball picks foresee a Tide track meet tonight.

Mississippi vs Alabama prediction

Mississippi vs Alabama best bet

Mississippi vs Alabama best bet: Alabama team total Over 87.5 points (-120)

The Mississippi Rebels have surprised us all, springing two outright upsets in the last two days to reach the SEC Tournament quarterfinals.

Perhaps most notably, Thursday’s win against Georgia ended up being a bit of an up-tempo affair, surprising for the sixth-slowest team in SEC play, by now presumably a tired and slow team.

Enter the Alabama Crimson Tide, the fastest team in the SEC, and coming off a six-day break. While no one gives up more looks from deep than the Rebels, no one takes those shots more often than the Tide.

Roll Tide.

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Mississippi vs Alabama same-game parlay

Alabama hoisted 3-pointers on 54.1% of its shots in SEC play, making 36% of those looks. That kind of production should scare anyone, but it should scare Mississippi the most, given the Rebels ranked No. 16 in opponents’ 3-point rate at 44.2%.

Mississippi vs Alabama SGP

  • Alabama team total Over 87.5 points
  • Aden Holloway Over 2.5 threes
  • Alabama -11.5

Our beyond the arc SGP: Alabama Late

Mississippi may keep up with Alabama for a while. But once the second half hits, the fatigue should catch the Rebels.

Mississippi vs Alabama SGP

  • Mississippi first half team total Over 35.5
  • Mississippi first half +6.5
  • Alabama team total Over 87.5
  • Alabama -11.5

Mississippi vs Alabama odds

  • Spread: Mississippi +11.5 | Alabama -11.5
  • Moneyline: Mississippi +575 | Alabama -850
  • Over/Under: Over 163 | Under 163

Mississippi vs Alabama betting trend to know

Alabama has cleared this lofty team total in its last nine games as a favorite, including three games as a double-digit favorite. Find more college basketball betting trends for Mississippi vs. Alabama.

How to watch Mississippi vs Alabama

Location Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN
Date Friday, March 13, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV SECN

Mississippi vs Alabama key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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