Final Four Odds and Predictions for the 2024 NCAA Tournament

With the NCAA tournament entering the final stages and the surviving contenders gearing up for the Final Four, now is the perfect time to break down the March Madness Final Four odds.

Chris Gregory - Publishing Editor at
Chris Gregory • Publishing Editor
Apr 6, 2024 • 08:05 ET • 4 min read
Zach Edey Purdue Boilermakers college basketball
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The 2024 March Madness bracket is reaching its conclusion as the Final Four teams are preparing for action to resume tonight, April 6. UConn and Alabama booked their tickets to Arizona last Saturday, while Purdue and NC State joined them on Sunday.

This market may have been settled, but you can still check out the March Madness odds and see which remaining college basketball futures are worth targeting with your college basketball picks

Final Four odds

The Boilermakers opened as 9.5-point favorites, with the total set at 146.

The Huskies opened as prohibitive 11-point favorites with the Over/Under set at 161.

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March Madness Final Four predictions

NC State vs Purdue picks and predictions

Purdue has far better analytics over the entire season but the Wolfpack have made huge strides on both ends of the floor over the last month. They are 9-0 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games with underdog wins against UNC, Marquette, and Duke (twice) during that span. As dominant as the Boilermakers have been they're just 5-13 ATS when favored by more than seven points against Power Six opponents this season. Zach Edey is unstoppable but with 275-pound center D.J. Burns and 6-foot-10 forward Mohamed Diarra the Wolfpack can at least slow him down and make him work on defense. NC State is also holding foes to just 28.4 3PT% since the end of the regular season and if the Boilermakers can't catch fire from deep they won't cover this spread. 

Read our full NC State vs. Purdue picks and predictions for more analysis.

  • Spread: Purdue -9.5
  • Moneylines: Purdue (-450); NC State (+350)
  • Over/Under: 146.5
  • Score prediction: Purdue 75, NC State 66

Alabama vs UConn picks and predictions

This is the wrong matchup for Alabama. It takes 3-pointers on 46.6% of its field goal attempts, and with good reason, shooting 37.1% from long range. UConn both discourages 3s and limits made 3s, ranking No. 28 in the country in giving up a 30.9 percentage against from beyond the arc. All that can be said in the inverse, too, except UConn’s 2-point offense is efficient enough to create a balanced offense. Tristen Newton and Donovan Clingan should assure this double-digit cover.

Read our full Alabama vs. UConn picks and predictions for more analysis.

  • Spread: UConn -11.5
  • Moneylines: UConn (-800); Alabama (+550)
  • Over/Under: 160.5
  • Score prediction: UConn 91, Alabama 78

Final Four props

Make the most of your Final Four props wagers with picks from our NCAA experts:

  • D.J. Burns Over 3.5 assists (+126)

  • Zach Edey Over 13.5 rebounds (-138)

  • Zach Edey Over 1.5 assists (-150)

  • Tristen Newton SGP 7+ rebounds/5+ assists (+160)

  • Tristen Newton Over 6.5 rebounds (-108)

  • Tristen Newton Over 16.5 points (-114)

  • Stephon Castle Over 4.5 rebounds (-130)

  • Mark Sears Over 2.5 threes made (-115)

  • Aaron Estrada Under 13.5 points (-120)

  • UConn Huskies team total Over 85.5 (-110)
  • Fletcher Loyer Over 1.5 threes made (+130)

Get all our latest free Final Four picks.

Programs with the most Final Four appearances

Program Final Four appearances
Warriors North Carolina 21
Warriors UCLA 19
Browns Duke 17
Warriors Kentucky 17
Warriors Kansas 16
Warriors Ohio State 11
Warriors Michigan State 10
Warriors Louisville 10
Suns Michigan 8
Warriors Indiana 8

March Madness by the numbers

Fact Stat
Most March Madness appearances without a championship 30 (Purdue Boilermakers)
Odds of a No. 16 seed pulling off an upset 1 in 150
Odds of a perfect March Madness bracket  1 in 9.2 quintillion
Most Final Four appearances 21 (North Carolina)
Most March Madness championships by a coach 10 (John Wooden)
Most March Madness career wins by a coach 97 (Mike Krzyzewski)
Most career points scored during March Madness 407 (Christian Laettner, Duke)
Most points scored in a March Madness game 61 (Austin Carr, Notre Dame)

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