Trail Blazers vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 8, 2026 , 02:15 PM ET • 4 min read

The paint is open for business with Victor Wembanyama sitting out for the Spurs. Jason Logan likes Portland guard Scoot Henderson to take advantage the clear key and top his points prop tonight.

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
POR
32 %
SA
68 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Scoot Henderson o14.5  Points Scored (-105) Scoot Henderson o14.5 Points Scored (-105)
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Portland Trail Blazers guard Scoot Henderson NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect.

Without Victor Wembanyama standing in the way, the Portland Trail Blazers have a much clearer path to the postseason. And guard Scoot Henderson has a much clearer path to the bucket against the San Antonio Spurs.

San Antonio will not have its superstar center tonight, leaving the Spurs without their paint protector. No player in the NBA has a more transformative impact than the 7-foot-4 Frenchman.

Our Trail Blazers vs. Spurs predictions measure a Wemby-less San Antonio team, and my NBA picks see a hot spot to back Scoot’s prop market on Wednesday, April 8.

Trail Blazers vs Spurs prediction

Trail Blazers vs Spurs best bet: Scoot Henderson Over 14.5 points (-105)

The San Antonio Spurs’ interior defense is among the best in the league when the lanky center is patrolling the key, allowing less than 45 points in the paint per game since the All-Star break. 

Without Victor Wembanyama, that rim protection disappears faster than the brisket at 2M Smokehouse.

Just look at how quickly the Spurs’ interior crumbled when Wemby missed a chunk of time between November and December. San Antonio was gashed for 55.3 points in the paint in those dozen games — second most in the NBA during that span. Most recently, the L.A. Clippers dropped 56 PITP on the Spurs without Wembanyama on April 2.

Portland Trail Blazers guard Scoot Henderson is a big part of the team’s postseason push. The former No. 3 overall pick missed 51 games with a torn hamstring but has found his stride the past month, averaging 15 points over his last 17 appearances.

Henderson is a dangerous dribble-drive weapon and excellent at getting to the rim, making him a live offensive option for the Trail Blazers tonight. He’s attempted at least 11 field goals in each of his last six games and can draw contact and score from the foul line. San Antonio will also be missing starting guard Stephon Castle, who is one of the team's better on-ball defenders.

Not only will Henderson find his way to the rim, but he’s also been shooting well from deep, with a 9-for-18 count from beyond the arc the last three games. Scoot's player projections sit between 14 and 17 points, and my number sits north of 16 points.

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Trail Blazers vs Spurs same-game parlay

The Blazers are pissed after a controversial OT loss at Denver handed them just their third loss in the past 11 games. Portland is pushing for a better seed to set them up for an easy path in the Play-In Tournament.

Without Wembanyama, the pace of play picks up with the Spurs going smaller. The Blazers will score inside and out, taking advantage of the missing shot blocker while continuing their 3-point attack.

Trail Blazers vs Spurs SGP

  • Trail Blazers +3.5
  • Over 229
  • Scoot Henderson Over 14.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Treasure trail

Without Wembanyama, things change drastically in this game. Henderson can score at the rim, Donovan Clingan can crash the glass with ease, and Deni Avdija can spot up from outside. Portland needs the win and already knocked off a Wemby-less Spurs team back in January.

Trail Blazers vs Spurs SGP

  • Trail Blazers moneyline
  • Scoot Henderson Over 14.5 points
  • Donovan Clingan Over 11.5 rebounds
  • Deni Avdija Over 1.5 threes

Trail Blazers vs Spurs odds

  • Spread: Trail Blazers +3.5 | Spurs -3.5
  • Moneyline: Trail Blazers +130 | Spurs -150
  • Over/Under: Over 229 | Under 229

Trail Blazers vs Spurs betting trend to know

Portland has covered the spread in six of its last seven games. Find more NBA betting trends for Trail Blazers vs. Spurs.

How to watch Trail Blazers vs Spurs

Location Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
Date Wednesday, April 8, 2026
Tip-off 9:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Trail Blazers vs Spurs latest injuries

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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