From Jayson Tatum’s long-awaited return to Cooper Flagg’s homecoming, there’s no shortage of big-time storylines as the Boston Celtics and Dallas Mavericks collide tonight in Beantown.
A lottery-bound Dallas squad arrives on a five-game skid, and my Mavericks vs. Celtics predictions dial into Boston’s firepower here, with Tatum and Jaylen Brown reunited on the wing for the 2024 champs.
Read on for my free NBA picks ahead of Friday, March 6.
Mavericks vs Celtics prediction
Mavericks vs Celtics best bet: Jaylen Brown Over 11.5 rebounds + assists (-125)
In Jayson Tatum’s absence, Jaylen Brown has taken his game to the next level, and I don’t see him taking a step back now. His scoring has been steady, but I’m taking the Over on his rebounds + assists combo prop, with the Boston Celtics star breezing past this number in his last six games.
Brown has excelled on the boards lately, averaging 10.0 RPG across his past six outings, and he’s pulled his playmaking up to five dimes per night this year. He should dominate against the undermanned Dallas Mavericks, and it’s way too early to worry about Tatum eating into his stats.
Mavericks vs Celtics same-game parlay
TD Garden is sure to be rocking for Tatum’s return, and I’m targeting his assists tally as he eases his way back. Brown can do the heavier lifting, but there’s a clear path for Tatum to flash his playmaking skills.
I’ll also layer on the Boston moneyline, with the hosts eager to rebound from a thumping home loss to Charlotte on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Mavs are 7-21 SU on the road this season.
Mavericks vs Celtics SGP
- Jaylen Brown Over 11.5 rebounds + assists
- Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 assists
- Celtics moneyline
Our "from downtown" SGP: Flagg Day!
With Cooper Flagg’s roots up the coast in Maine, he’s guaranteed a warm welcome tonight.
Flagg posted an 18-5-6 stat line last night in Orlando in his return from an eight-game absence, and he’s averaging 20.3 PPG, 6.5 RPG, and 4.2 APG this season.
Mavericks vs Celtics SGP
- Cooper Flagg Over 17.5 points
- Cooper Flagg Over 3.5 assists
- Cooper Flagg Over 4.5 rebounds
- Cooper Flagg Over 0.5 steals
Mavericks vs Celtics odds
- Spread: Mavericks +15 (-110) | Celtics -15 (-110)
- Moneyline: Mavericks +661 | Celtics -1,000
- Over/Under: Over 224.5 (-110) | Under 224.5 (-110)
Mavericks vs Celtics betting trend to know
The Celtics are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Celtics.
How to watch Mavericks vs Celtics
| Location | TD Garden, Boston, MA |
| Date | Friday, March 6, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Mavericks vs Celtics latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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