Celtics vs Rockets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Payton Pritchard will pick up the slack for the Celtics with Anfernee Simons getting shipped off to Chicago, as our NBA betting picks explain.

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst
Feb 4, 2026 • 09:20 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 9 hrs
BOS
54 %
HOU
46 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Payton Pritchard o24.5  Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-112) Payton Pritchard o24.5 Total Points, Rebounds, and Assists (-112)
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Boston Celtics NBA Payton Pritchard
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Boston Celtics guard Payton Pritchard (11) shoots the ball.

Three-game win streaks are on the line Wednesday as the Boston Celtics travel to Toyota Center to face the Houston Rockets.

With Anfernee Simons traded to the Chicago Bulls, my Celtics vs. Rockets predictions call for a strong performance from Payton Pritchard.

Here are my best free NBA picks for this marquee matchup on Wednesday, February 4.

Celtics vs Rockets prediction

Celtics vs Rockets best bet: Payton Pritchard Over 24.5 points + rebounds + assists (-112)

Payton Pritchard is averaging a career-best 26.5 PRA this season, and he’s gone for 25+ in 23 of 49 appearances.

He’s posting 24.7 at home compared to 28 on the road, and he's gone for 25+ in 14 of 24 away games. 

The Boston Celtics’ electric guard has been even more productive as of late, averaging 28.2 PRA across his last seven games. He’s hit the Over on this line four times in that span, including a 26/4/7 showing in Tuesday's win over the Dallas Mavericks.

Pritchard shifted to the bench in favor of Baylor Scheierman against the Mavs, but he still saw 35 minutes as Boston kept its lineup tight.

Pritchard finished with just 19 PRA in his first matchup with the Houston Rockets, but he saw only 26 minutes in that game. Since January 1, he’s logged 32.4 minutes per game, including 33.9 minutes per game on the road.

With Anfernee Simons traded to the Chicago Bulls, Pritchard should be in line for big minutes and big numbers.

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Celtics vs Rockets same-game parlay

The Celtics got smoked in their last matchup with the Rockets, but they're playing better basketball now and should keep this one competitive.

Boston is 16-10 ATS on the road and 6-3 ATS as the road underdog, while Houston is 8-13 ATS at home and 8-12 as the home favorite. 

Boston allows the second-fewest points per game this season, and Houston allows the fourth-fewest. The Celtics and Rockets have each hit the Under in eight of their last 10 games.

Houston is 7-13-1 O/U at home, and Boston is 10-16 O/U on the road. 

Celtics vs Rockets SGP

  • Payton Pritchard Over 24.5 points + rebounds + assists
  • Celtics +5.5
  • Under 216

Our "from downtown" SGP: Sengun stuffs stat sheet

Alperen Sengun has hit the Over on this combo line in four straight, and I expect him to extend that streak tonight. He's averaging 16.8 rebounds + assists at home, and he's gone for 16+ in 12 of 17 at Toyota Center.

Celtics vs Rockets SGP

  • Payton Pritchard Over 24.5 points + rebounds + assists
  • Celtics +5.5
  • Under 216
  • Alperen Sengun Over 15.5 rebounds + assists

Celtics vs Rockets odds

  • Spread: Boston +5.5 (-110) | Houston -5.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Boston +180 | Houston -220
  • Over/Under: Over 216 (-110) | Under 216 (-110)

Celtics vs Rockets betting trend to know

The Rockets have hit the Under in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.60 Units / 55% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Celtics vs. Rockets.

How to watch Celtics vs Rockets

Location Toyota Center, Houston, TX
Date Wednesday, February 4, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV Space City Home Network, NBC Sports Boston

Celtics vs Rockets latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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