Royals vs Phillies Prediction, Picks & Odds — Saturday, September 13

Harrison Bader is swinging a hot bat at the moment, and our MLB betting picks will go back to the well on the Phillies sparkplug tonight.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Sep 13, 2025 • 11:35 ET • 4 min read

MLB

Match starts: 4 hrs
PHI
67 %
KC
33 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Harrison Bader o1.5  Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130) Harrison Bader o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
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Philadelphia Phillies MLB Harrison Bader
Photo By - Imagn Images. Philadelphia Phillies outfielder Harrison Bader (2) reacts after hitting a double.

Harrison Bader wasn’t the biggest name moved at the trade deadline, but he’s having quite the impact for the Philadelphia Phillies.

My Royals vs. Phillies predictions expect the outfielder to stay hot on Saturday night.

Read on for my MLB picks for September 13.

Royals vs Phillies prediction

Royals vs Phillies best bet: Harrison Bader Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-130)

Harrison Bader has bounced around the league in recent years, but it looks like he may have found a home in Pennsylvania. The Philadelphia Phillies outfielder is batting .342 with a .945 OPS in 36 games (120 at-bats) since being acquired at the trade deadline.

Bader has been especially hot as of late. He’s batting .422 (19-for-45) in September to bring his overall batting average up from .266 to .284. He’s been fantastic on this homestand as well with multiple hits in each contest (12-for-24).

The Phillies have been bit by the injury bug recently with both Alec Bohm and Trea Turner hitting the shelf. Turner’s absence has allowed Bader to move up to the leadoff spot in recent games, and he’s thriving there with Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper behind him.

Bader has 2+ hits + runs + RBI in eight straight games and nine of his last 10 overall. He should have no problem keeping that up against Kansas City Royals righthander Ryan Bergert, who allowed eight runs on 11 hits in just 3 1/3 innings in his last outing.

Royals vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)

I have no problem switching to Bader’s total bases for the same-game parlay given his recent hot streak.

Speaking of being hot, the Phillies have won five straight games and eight of their last nine, going Over the total in each of the last four contests. All signs point to the Over hitting again with two lackluster starters on the mound in Bergert and Taijuan Walker.

Royals vs Phillies SGP

  • Harrison Bader Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
  • Phillies moneyline
  • Over 9.5

Royals vs Phillies odds

  • Moneyline: Kansas City +125 | Philadelphia -150
  • Run line: Kansas City +1.5 | Philadelphia -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5

Royals vs Phillies trend

The Phillies have hit the moneyline in 50 of their last 73 games at home (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Royals vs. Phillies.

How to watch Royals vs Phillies and game info

Location Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Date Saturday, September 13, 2025
First pitch 6:05 p.m. ET
TV FDSN Kansas City, NBC Sports Philadelphia
Royals starting pitcher Ryan Bergert
(2-2, 3.48 ERA)
Phillies starting pitcher Taijuan Walker
(4-8, 4.03 ERA)

Royals vs Phillies latest injuries

Royals vs Phillies weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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