Kansas City @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

KC vs PHI Picks

MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Harrison Bader logo Harrison Bader o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Ryan Gilbert image
Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst

Bader has been especially hot as of late. He’s batting .422 (19-for-45) in September to bring his overall batting average up from .266 to .284. He’s been fantastic on this homestand as well with multiple hits in each contest (12-for-24).

MoneyLine
Kansas City Royals logo KC (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Taijuan Walker has logged a quality start just once in his last five outings, so I’ll be riding Kansas City at plus money, especially with Trea Turner and Alec Bohm both on the IL for Philly.

Total RBIs
Edmundo Sosa logo
Edmundo Sosa o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in the game.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.
Total RBIs
Jonathan India logo
Jonathan India o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #8 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Jonathan India's launch angle this year (16.6°) is considerably better than his 13.3° angle last season.
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best park in baseball for LHB home runs.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Bergert in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Otto Kemp logo
Otto Kemp o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
J.T. Realmuto logo
J.T. Realmuto o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #7 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.
Total RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino logo
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best park in baseball for LHB home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Maikel Garcia logo
Maikel Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.
Outs Recorded
Ryan Bergert logo
Ryan Bergert u14.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 13.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Bergert is projected to throw 79 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Among all stadiums, Citizens Bank Park's LF dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. With 6 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected offense, Ryan Bergert meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+111)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 park in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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KC vs PHI Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking Philadelphia

34%
66%

Total PicksKC 234, PHI 446

Moneyline
KC
PHI
Total

60% picking Kansas City vs Philadelphia to go Over

60%
40%

Total PicksKC 224, PHI 148

Total
Over
Under

KC vs PHI Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Donovan Walton Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Donovan Walton
D. Walton
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Donovan Walton will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Donovan Walton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Donovan Walton logo

Donovan Walton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Donovan Walton will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Donovan Walton will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Max Kepler
M. Kepler
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Max Kepler ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert today. Max Kepler will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Max Kepler logo

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Max Kepler ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert today. Max Kepler will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Edmundo Sosa
E. Sosa
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. By putting up a .325 BABIP this year, Edmundo Sosa grades out in the 82nd percentile.

Edmundo Sosa logo

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. By putting up a .325 BABIP this year, Edmundo Sosa grades out in the 82nd percentile.

Otto Kemp Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Otto Kemp
O. Kemp
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage today. Otto Kemp has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

Otto Kemp logo

Otto Kemp

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage today. Otto Kemp has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jonathan India
J. India
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jonathan India's launch angle this year (16.6°) is considerably better than his 13.3° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonathan India's true offensive talent to be a .332, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .032 gap between that figure and his actual .300 wOBA.

Jonathan India logo

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Jonathan India's launch angle this year (16.6°) is considerably better than his 13.3° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonathan India's true offensive talent to be a .332, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .032 gap between that figure and his actual .300 wOBA.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryson Stott
B. Stott
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Bergert in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryson Stott logo

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Bergert in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Maikel Garcia has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV.

Maikel Garcia logo

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Maikel Garcia has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage today. Vinnie Pasquantino has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 93.5-mph in the last 7 days.

Vinnie Pasquantino logo

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage today. Vinnie Pasquantino has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 93.5-mph in the last 7 days.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Kyle Isbel
K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Kyle Isbel logo

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Carter Jensen Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Carter Jensen
C. Jensen
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Carter Jensen will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Carter Jensen logo

Carter Jensen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Carter Jensen will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in the game. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 93.2-mph average.

Bobby Witt Jr. logo

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 8th-best batter in the game. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 93.2-mph average.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Harrison Bader has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the last two weeks.

Harrison Bader logo

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Harrison Bader has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.6% seasonal rate to 17.2% over the last two weeks.

J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J.T. Realmuto
J. Realmuto
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

J.T. Realmuto logo

J.T. Realmuto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Mike Yastrzemski
M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.3-mph EV.

Mike Yastrzemski logo

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage against Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. Mike Yastrzemski has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90.3-mph EV.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's game. Last year, Adam Frazier had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.2°.

Adam Frazier logo

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today's game. Last year, Adam Frazier had an average launch angle of 11.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 16.2°.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Brandon Marsh
B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Marsh logo

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Salvador Perez's 61.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

Salvador Perez logo

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Salvador Perez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Salvador Perez's 61.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Bryce Harper
B. Harper
first base 1B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Bergert today. Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper logo

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Bergert today. Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

Kyle Schwarber
K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber logo

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for dingers. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Randal Grichuk
R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.54
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Randal Grichuk has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Kansas City Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +21380
2 CHEOAPONTE 4-6-0 +19625
3 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +15915
4 DavePaliwoda 6-4-0 +13570
5 Mava5 7-3-0 +13310
6 jerrygora 3-7-0 +12980
7 Brayy_Wyatt 7-3-0 +12595
8 Yellafella59 7-3-0 +12435
9 stakay125 5-5-0 +12285
10 Mexicali72 3-7-0 +12020
All Royals Money Leaders

Philadelphia Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 fatrats 8-2-0 +21045
2 jlayne089 5-5-0 +20155
3 jakringle 4-6-0 +19940
4 Alayne 9-1-0 +19467
5 dragon5868 5-5-0 +19235
6 tonloc4554 6-4-0 +17610
7 KSBreview 6-4-0 +15789
8 JL023 3-7-0 +15387
9 DavePaliwoda 7-3-0 +15330
10 nolajay 7-3-0 +15250
All Phillies Money Leaders
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