The Milwaukee Brewers host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the second matchup of this three-game NL Central series at American Family Field.
My Pirates vs. Brewers predictions expect a convincing win from the Brew Crew in this NL Central matchup.
Read on for my MLB picks for Tuesday, June 24.
Pirates vs Brewers prediction
My Pirates vs Brewers best bet: Brewers -1.5 (+105 at FanDuel)
⚾ Pick Analysis
Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Freddy Peralta has been “Ole Reliable” over the past few seasons, and he's off to the best start of his career. Through 16 appearances on the mound in 2025, Peralta is 7-4 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.11 WHIP.
His underlying metrics suggest that success will continue. Entering this matchup, the righty ranks in the top half of the league in expected ERA, expected batting average, average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate.
Peralta has also historically fared well against the Pittsburgh Pirates, posting a 3.25 ERA and 1.05 WHIP over his past 12 meetings.
Meanwhile, southpaw Andrew Heaney takes the mound for the Bucs. He fails to measure up to Peralta across the board, both statistically and analytically.
Heaney is 3-6 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.19 WHIP through 15 starts this season, and his analytics are even worse as he ranks in the 28th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, and strikeout rate.
Not only do the Brewers possess the pitching advantage, but they also boast the hitting edge. Milwaukee outranks Pittsburgh in runs scored per game, hits per game, slugging percentage, and OPS.
Pirates vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)
Brewers -1.5
Freddy Peralta 7+ strikeouts
William Contreras 1+ hit
🚀 SGP Analysis
Peralta’s greatest strength is his ability to retire opposing hitters via strikeout. This season, he ranks in the 58th percentile in chase rate, 74th percentile in whiff rate, and 68th percentile in strikeout rate.
William Contreras enters this contest in strong form with a .273 batting average and 21 hits over his past 21 games. Furthermore, Contreras is 3-for-4 in his career against Heaney, with two doubles.
Pirates vs Brewers odds
Pirates vs Brewers live odds
Pirates vs Brewers opening odds
- Moneyline: Pittsburgh +166 | Milwaukee -198
- Run line: Pittsburgh +1.5 (-126) | Milwaukee -1.5 (+105)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-120) | Under 7.5 (-102)
Pirates vs Brewers trend
Pittsburgh has lost six of Heaney’s past 10 starts by two or more runs. Find more MLB betting trends for Pirates vs. Brewers.
How to watch Pirates vs Brewers and game info
| Location | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI |
| Date | Tuesday, 6-24-2025 |
| First pitch | 7:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | SportsNet Pittsburgh, FDSNWI |
| Pirates starting pitcher | Andrew Heaney (3-6, 3.94 ERA) |
| Brewers starting pitcher | Freddy Peralta (7-4, 2.76 ERA) |
Pirates vs Brewers latest injuries
Pirates vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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