The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks clash in National League West action tonight at Chase Field in Phoenix.
Zac Gallen continues to struggle, especially at home, and my Padres vs. Diamondbacks predictions are eyeing San Diego to do some offensive damage against the right-hander.
Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, June 14.
Padres vs Diamondbacks prediction
My Padres vs Diamondbacks best bet: Zac Gallen Over 2.5 earned runs allowed (+250 at bet365)
Zac Gallen has been one of the Arizona Diamondbacks best pitchers over the last few years, but that is far from the case in 2025. The 29-year-old is having a forgettable campaign, going 4-8 with a 5.15 ERA in 14 starts. He’s had serious issues with the long ball, allowing 14 home runs already.
The righty has cashed the Over in earned runs allowed in five of his last six outings, surrendering at least four runs in those five starts. He can’t seem to figure it out, with the Cincinnati Reds hitting him around last time out.
Tonight’s start comes against the San Diego Padres, and he’s faced a lot of these hitters. Gallen has held San Diego’s lineup to a .236 average across 123 at-bats, but he’s been a nightmare at Chase Field. Gallen has a 6.38 ERA at home in eight outings compared to a 3.79 ERA on the road.
Although the Padres’ offense isn’t too consistent so far, this feels like a perfect opportunity to hit around Gallen.
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Padres vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay (SGP)
Zac Gallen Over 2.5 earned runs allowed
Jake Cronenworth Over 0.5 hits
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 hits
Since I’m focusing on Gallen to get tagged, I’ll also pinpoint a pair of Padres hitters in my SGP. We’ll start with Jake Cronenworth. The veteran is batting just .239, but he’s cashed the Over in hits in four of his last five contests. He has at least one hit in three consecutive appearances.
Cronenworth is no stranger to facing Gallen. He’s 7-for-24 lifetime (.292) with three doubles and a home run. Cronenworth is hitting .258 versus righties compared to just .195 against left-handers, and he sees the ball a mile better in night games, batting .275.
As for Xander Bogaerts, he’s not playing like his usual offensive self. Bogaerts is batting only .236 with a mere three homers. But, he has four hits across the last three games and cashed the Over in hits in two of his last three appearances.
Although Bogaerts was 0-for-4 in the series opener on Friday, I’m expecting him to register a hit tonight. The veteran is 3-for-11 lifetime versus Gallen and he had one hit per game in five outings against the Diamondbacks last season. Look for him to do his part offensively.
Padres vs Diamondbacks odds
Padres vs Diamondbacks live odds
Padres vs Diamondbacks opening odds
- Moneyline: San Diego +145 | Arizona -170
- Run line: San Diego +1.5 (-140) | Arizona -1.5 (+120)
- Over/Under: Over 9 (-120) | Under 9 (+100)
Padres vs Diamondbacks trend
The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.70 Units / 18% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Padres vs. Diamondbacks.
How to watch Padres vs Diamondbacks and game info
| Location | Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona |
| Date | Saturday, 6-14-2025 |
| First pitch | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
| Padres starting pitcher | Ryan Bergert (0-0, 1.26 ERA) |
| Diamondbacks starting pitcher | Zac Gallen (4-8, 5.15 ERA) |
Padres vs Diamondbacks latest injuries
Padres vs Diamondbacks weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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