Washington State vs Utah State Prediction, Picks & Odds for December 22 — Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Farmer's prediction: Utah State head coach Bronco Mendenhall has been doing this too long to be doubted against an opponent very much in flux.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Dec 20, 2025 • 14:22 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 44 hrs
USU
64 %
WSU
36 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Utah State -1.5 (-108) Utah State -1.5 (-108)
Read Analysis
Bryson Barnes Utah State Aggies NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Utah State Aggies quarterback Bryson Barnes (16).

What are you doing on Monday afternoon? If the answer is not, “watching the Washington State Cougars face the Utah State Aggies in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl,” then you are doing Monday afternoon wrong.

This is why bowl games are delightful. They so beautifully fill an otherwise quiet afternoon when no one wants to be working anymore, anyway.

My Washington State vs. Utah State predictions expect one team to share your ambivalence about your supposed job.

Read more in my college football picks for December 22.

Washington State vs Utah State predictions for the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

Who will win the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl?

Neither of these teams fared well in one-score games this season against FBS competition. Washington State went 0-4 outright in such tense moments, while Utah State went 1-2.

None of that is encouraging, but obviously, a game with a spread of 1.5 points expects someone to win a one-score worry. Put that faith in the team with an established head coach rather than an interim head coach who was an FCS coordinator last year.

Washington State vs Utah State best bet: Utah State -1.5 (-108)

One team went 4-0 against the spread in November, exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 11 points per game. Then again, the other went 3-0 ATS in its last three games, exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by an average of 11.8 points.

But now one team is building toward a second season under Bronco Mendenhall, while Washington State is suddenly and rather unexpectedly without its head coach. That shift very well may yield ambivalence in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

That is more of an abstract thought than should usually be trusted in college football betting, but bowl games lend themselves to such chaos.

Utah State has largely avoided opt-outs, while Washington State will be without its starting running back, at the absolute least. In all likelihood, more opt-outs will hit the Cougars’ roster as kickoff nears.

Former Washington State head coach Jimmy Rogers’s departure was more unanticipated than most carousel moves, just one season into his Cougars tenure. Its psychological impact may thus be greater than most coaching changes. These players saw a path to growth, particularly after giving many opponents fits this season. Instead, this roster is likely to be gutted.

In comparison, Bronco Mendenhall is one successful year into a rebuild, and thus, he has a good amount of program buy-in working for him this month.

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Washington State vs Utah State same-game parlay

Doubting Washington State’s motivation is the same as doubting Washington State’s discipline.

Against a pass-happy offense that dropped back to throw the ball at the 24th-highest relative rate in the country, per CFB-graphs.com, a lack of discipline could yield a pile of explosive plays.

Washington State vs Utah State SGP

  • Utah State -1.5
  • Over 49.5

Washington State vs Utah State odds

  • Spread: Washington State +1.5 (-110) | Utah State -1.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Washington State +100 | Utah State -118
  • Over/Under: Over 49.5 (-110) | Under 49.5 (-110)

Washington State vs Utah State trend to know

Utah State went 10-2 against the spread this season, with its only ATS losses coming at Hawaii and at New Mexico, two of the most unconventional offenses in the country. Find more college football betting trends for Washington State vs Utah State.

How to watch Washington State vs Utah State

Location Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Date Monday, December 22, 2025
Kickoff 2:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

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Washington State vs Utah State weather

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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