We're locked in to the central divisions today with our MLB best bets, as we love the value on three NL Central teams — and an AL Central squad — based on the prices available at Polymarket.
Read on to see why our expert MLB picks think you should back the offenses in Brewers/Cardinals, plus both Chicago squads coming out victorious tonight.
MLB expert picks for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
 Josh Inglis: MIL/STL o8.5 |
+108 |
 Neil Parker: Cubs -1.5 |
+100 |
 Joe Osborne: CHW ML |
+138 |
Prices courtesy of Polymarket.
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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Brewers/Cardinals Over 8.5
Price: 48¢ (+108) at Polymarket
There’s plenty to like offensively in this matchup, with both starters giving up loud contact and big swings. Kyle Leahy owns one of the worst Blast Contact rates in baseball, and 12-mph winds blowing out to right won’t help a pitcher who has allowed multiple homers in two of his last three starts. The St. Louis Cardinals' bullpen hasn’t offered much support either, ranking 28th in ERA over the last two weeks. Milwaukee Brewers starter Chad Patrick has also been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball — plus THE BAT projects 9.11 runs.
Neil Parker's expert pick: Cubs -1.5
Price: 50¢ (+100) at Polymarket
The Chicago Cubs mispriced again today. They’re facing Cincinnati Reds righty Chase Petty, who has just six innings of MLB experience and hasn’t been sharp to start the season with Triple-A Louisville. Petty sports a 4.38 ERA, while allowing a 48.5% hard-hit rate across 24 2/3 minor-league innings, and Chicago enters with a league-leading .381 wOBA while averaging 6.2 runs per game during a 15-3 heater. Additionally, Cubs starter Edward Cabrera has held opposing hitters to a .231 average and .645 OPS, so it’s a tough matchup for a Cincy lineup ranking 24th in wOBA against righties.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: White Sox moneyline
Price: 42¢ (+138) at Polymarket
It didn't take long for the Los Angeles Angels to start looking like the Angels again, as they've now lost eight of their last nine games. Jose Soriano owns a sparkling 0.84 ERA, but the White Sox got to him last week for three earned runs and nine baserunners. Davis Martin is breaking out in his own right, with a 1.95 ERA, and held the Angels to one ER in that same matchup. The Chicago White Sox are 5-1 in his starts this season, and the recent offensive and bullpen numbers also heavily favor the ChiSox, who rank 10th in OPS and seventh in bullpen ERA over the past two weeks — compared to the Angels' 25th and 30th ranking in those categories.
More MLB best bets for today
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yankees -1.5 | -115 |
| Read analysis in our Orioles vs. Yankees predictions | |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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