Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Tonight's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 2, 2026 , 12:24 PM ET • 4 min read

Ernie Clement's hot bat continues tonight.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
TOR
40 %
ATL
60 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Ernie Clement o1.5  Total Bases (+150) Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
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Ernie Clement of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ernie Clement of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB

Toronto Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement is positioned for another productive day at the plate with sinker-baller Bryce Elder on the mound for the Atlanta Braves.  

That makes Clement Over 1.5 total bases my favorite play for my Blue Jays vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, June 2. 

Blue Jays vs Braves predictions

Blue Jays vs Braves best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 bases (+155)

Ernie Clement enters Tuesday's matchup leading the American League with 68 hits while recording a hit in 13 of his last 14 games, including nine extra-base hits.

His hitting profile matches up well against Atlanta Braves starter Bryce Elder, who pitches to contact with an 88.1% zone-contact rating, while primarily relying on a sinker/slider combination with an 85% usage rate against right-handed hitters to get outs. 

His 23.2% whiff rate also ranks him in the 23rd percentile. 

That all plays directly into the Toronto Blue Jays sluggers' strengths. 

Clement is a contact hitter, owning a 92.6% zone-contact rate, while crushing the sinker/slider combo with a .358 average and a .444 slug against those pitches. I’d play Clement Over 1.5 bases to +130.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Clement’s consistency at the plate has resulted in a 176 WRC+ over his last 14 outings, averaging 2.4 total bases per game. 

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Blue Jays vs Braves same-game parlay (SGP)

Nathan Lukes owns a .429 batting average and a 195 WRC+ in his last 25 at-bats since returning from the IL for Toronto and has cleared his 0.5 hits total in six straight outings.

I’ll play the strong matchup game between Jays starter Kevin Gausman and Braves’ Sandy Leon, who is 0-for-14 against Toronto’s ace with a 43% strikeout rate. He also owns a 50% whiff rate against the splitter this season. Add Leon Over 0.5 K’s to the SGP. 

Blue Jays vs Braves SGP

  • Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
  • Nathan Lukes Over 0.5 hits
  • Sandy Leon Over 0.5 strikeouts
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Blue Jays vs Braves home run pick: George Springer (+540)

Elder has allowed just five home runs all season, making this more of a half-unit sprinkle than a full-sized play.

Still, George Springer has shown encouraging signs lately, recording a hit in 10 of his last 13 games. Last season, he excelled against sinker-heavy pitchers, batting .371 with a .661 expected slugging percentage against the pitch type.

With his recent approach at the plate trending in the right direction, Springer is my home run pick for Tuesday afternoon.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 28-30, +2.35 units
  • SGPs: 11-47, +1.60 units
  • HR picks: 9-49, +1.80 units

Blue Jays vs Braves odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +113 | Atlanta -125
  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-195)  | Atlanta -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-105) | Under 7.5 (-115)

Blue Jays vs Braves trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 21% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Braves.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Braves and game info

Location Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
Date Tuesday, 6-2-2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV BravesVision, SN1
Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman 
(4-3, 3.13 ERA)
Braves starting pitcher Bryce Elder
(4-3, 2.50 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Braves latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Braves weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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