Angels vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 27, 2026 , 10:24 AM ET • 4 min read

Krest's Prediction: Expect Yordan Alvarez to lead Houston to victory.

MLB

Mar 27 • 8:15 PM ET
LAA
43 %
HOU
57 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Houston -166 Houston -166
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Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros MLB

The  Los Angeles Angels got an opening day upset over the Houston Astros in Houston.

Perhaps Mike Trout has discovered the fountain of youth, while the Astros have misplaced their ability to hit. More likely, normalcy will return to both dugouts as the long MLB season hits day two.

Look for the Houston bats to arrive from camp after a one-day delay.

My Angels vs. Astros predictions and MLB picks look for Houston to even its record with a win.

Angels vs Astros predictions

Angels vs Astros best bet: Astros moneyline (-166)

The pitching matchup is heavily in the Houston Astros favor. Starter Mike Burrows seized a top-three rotation spot with a dominating spring training for Houston. He pitched a team-high 18 innings and allowed just three runs, striking out 17.

The Los Angeles Angels counter with Yusei Kikuchi, who is 1-6 with a 5.83 ERA in 16 career starts against Houston. He also got batted around in the WBC.

The Angels also used four relievers to finish off Houston in the opener. Their bullpen was already a question mark, with expected contributors Robert Stephenson, Ben Joyce, and Kirby Yates all starting the season on the IL.  

Covers COVERS INTEL: Five Astros batters have a career OPS over 1.000 against Kikuchi, and five have homered, hitting a combined nine home runs against him.

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Angels vs Astros same-game parlay (SGP)

A broken hand and sprained ankle cost Yordan Alvarez most of last season. He's back to full health, though, and ready to assume his role as Houston's most dangerous hitter. He has nine career RBIs against Kikuchi, second most of any hitter the hurler has faced.

After a 3-0 opening day result, this pitching matchup is more conducive to offense. Burrows averaged less than 4.2 innings per start last year, and the Astros bullpen already put in more than four innings of work in the opening game. Look for lots of pitchers and plenty of runs on both sides.

Angels vs Astros SGP

  • Astros -1.5 runs 
  • Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 RBIs
  • Over 8.5 total runs 

Angels vs Astros home run pick: Yordan Alvarez (+325)

Alvarez should have had a home run in the opening game, but his rocket shot hit the roof of the stadium.

It still cleared the wall but was deflected by the roof into foul territory. He has a 1.143 career OPS against Kikuchi and is one of seven batters to take him deep three times, a group that also includes Shohei Ohtani.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 0-2, -2.0 units
  • SGPs: 0-2, -2.0 units
  • HR picks: 0-2, -2.0 units

Angels vs Astros odds

  • Moneyline: Los Angeles +143 | Houston -158
  • Run line: Los Angeles +1.5 (-150) | Houston -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-105) | Under 8.5 (-115)

Angels vs Astros trend

Yusei Kikuchi has not finished the fourth inning in his last three starts against Houston, all losses where the Astros scored eight or more runs. Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Astros.

How to watch Angels vs Astros and game info

Location Daikin Park, Houston, TX
Date Friday, March 27, 2026
First pitch 8:15 p.m. ET
TV Apple TV
Angels starting pitcher Yusei Kikuchi
(2025: 7-11, 3.99 ERA)
Astros starting pitcher Mike Burrows
(2025: 2-4, 3.94 ERA)

Angels vs Astros latest injuries

Angels vs Astros weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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