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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 9, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.16 |
-103 
|
o9.0 -120 
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
5.25 |
+101
|
u9.5 -121
|
+1.5 -172
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0-1 in Singers last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Washington
- Nationals are 4-0 in Lords last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a favorite.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Nationals last 7 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5 +160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.91 |
+132
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.96 |
-140 
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +146
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 6-0 in Holmes' last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Braves are 6-0 in Holmes' last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Holmes' last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Yankees last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
o1.5 +165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+226
|
o9.5 -126
|
+2.0 -117
|
|
5.24 |
-225
|
u10.5 -122
|
-2.0 -111
|
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Ginns last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Top Projection
Jonah Heim o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
o1.5 +110
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 |
+179
|
o8.0 -125 
|
+1.5 -116
|
|
5.60 |
-190
|
u8.5 -110 
|
-1.5 +110
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Blue Jays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Luzardos last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+182)
o1.5 +182
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.71 |
+132
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
5.12 |
-136
|
u8.5 -121
|
-1.5 +155
|
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0 in Manaeas last 6 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games as a road underdog.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+137
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.75 |
-138
|
u8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +146
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.76 |
-152
|
o10.0 -112
|
-1.5 +101
|
|
4.55 |
+146
|
u10.5 -121
|
+1.5 -112
|
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Boyds last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Boyds last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Kansas City
- Over is 4-0-2 in Royals last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Royals last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Starling Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
o0.5 +255
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 |
+228
|
o7.0 -129
|
+1.5 -103
|
|
4.56 |
-240
|
u7.5 -118
|
-1.5 -107
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0-1 in Prielipps last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Prielipps last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Over is 7-0 in Misiorowskis last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Top Projection
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
o1.5 +260
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.75 |
-105
|
o8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.39 |
-102
|
u8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -175
|
Cleveland
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 games as a favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Guardians last 5 on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 6-0 in Martins last 6 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Martins last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
o1.5 +155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.66 |
+147
|
o9.5 +105
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
5.32 |
-155
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +130
|
Colorado
- Over is 6-0 in Lorenzens last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Lorenzens last 4 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in McGreevys last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in McGreevys last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in McGreevys last 4 starts on grass.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.60 |
+121
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -168
|
|
4.42 |
-128
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +158
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0 in Povichs last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 vs. American League East.
- Over is 6-0 in Rockers last 6 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Rockers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rangers last 5 games following a win.
Top Projection
Jackson Holliday o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5 +250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.37 |
-116
|
o7.5 +101
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
4.20 |
+105
|
u7.5 -114
|
+1.5 -168
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 9-0 in Meltons last 9 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 5-0 in Meltons last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in Webbs last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
+110
|
o7.5 -3333
|
+3.5 -450
|
|
4.26 |
-116
|
u8.5 -110
|
-3.5 +325
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Hancocks last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.50 |
-142
|
o8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.88 |
+130
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -131
|
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Wrobleskis last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Arizona
- Under is 7-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 9 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.21 |
+114
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.93 |
-118
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 11-1-1 in Javiers last 13 starts as a road underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 6-1 in Padres last 7 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5 +202
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 home games.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Scotts last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Orioles last 7 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota
- Under is 9-1 in Twins last 10 home games.
- Under is 8-1 in Twins last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 9-1 in Twins last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 games as a favorite.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 games as a favorite.
- Under is 13-3 in Cardinals last 16 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2-1 in Cardinals last 11 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
LA Angels
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 overall.
- Under is 8-1 in Brewers last 9 on grass.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
- Padres are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Rays last 5 vs. American League West.
Athletics
- Under is 5-0 in last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in last 8 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+140
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-148
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games as a favorite.
San Francisco
- Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+226
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-293
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-1-1 in Royals last 10 road games.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 games as a road underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
CIN
@
WAS
Sun, Aug 9 • 12:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Trevor Williams... and even better, Williams has a huge platoon split.. Elly De La Cruz has big-time HR ability (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Trevor Williams doesn't generate many whiffs (25th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.
Total Bases
Noelvi Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
ATL
@
NYY
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-116)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Cam Schlittler is amazing, but Grant Holmes has been solid, too. The right-hander carries a minuscule 2.52 ERA over his last eight appearances and is fresh off a scoreless six-inning start. The Yankees are down three big bats in Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger, and Giancarlo Stanton, so runs will be hard to come by for both clubs.
Moneyline
NYY (-142)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Cam Schlittler owns a 2.78 ERA over his last six outings and ranks in the 98th percentile in pitching run value as well as the 89th percentile in xERA (2.95) this year. The Braves are swinging and missing at the four-seamer a ton, and that's Schlittler's bread and butter.
ATH
@
BOS
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-185)
Projection 2.89
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. Because of J.T. Ginn's large platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jonah Heim o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jonah Heim is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.. The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Patrick Sandoval... and even better, Sandoval has a large platoon split.. Jonah Heim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
TOR
@
PHI
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+162)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 91°.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Kazuma Okamoto will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
NYM
@
PIT
Sun, Aug 9 • 1:35 PM ET
Total RBIs
Marcus Semien o0.5 Total RBIs (+255)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Esmerlyn Valdez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.3
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Esmerlyn Valdez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Esmerlyn Valdez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Esmerlyn Valdez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Esmerlyn Valdez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
CHC
@
KC
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Projection 2.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Dobnak in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.06
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Salvador Perez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today.. Salvador Perez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
MIN
@
MIL
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brooks Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+350)
Projection 0.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Total Bases
Andrew Vaughn o1.5 Total Bases (+153)
Projection 1.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Andrew Vaughn will hold the platoon advantage against Connor Prielipp in today's matchup.. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.
CLE
@
CHW
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (+101)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
With both divisional rivals struggling to score, this pick 'em matchup comes down to baseline execution. Joey Cantillo gets the start for Cleveland, giving the Guardians enough run-prevention stability to pull out a narrow victory against a White Sox team that is currently lacking offensive firepower.
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase DeLauter in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Chase DeLauter is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase DeLauter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin today.. Chase DeLauter has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team on the slate today.
COL
@
STL
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:15 PM ET
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hunter Goodman projects as the 13th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hunter Goodman has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (30.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy is a pitch-to-contact type (11th percentile K%) — great news for Goodman.
Total RBIs
JJ Wetherholt o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. This matchup is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. JJ Wetherholt hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
BAL
@
TEX
Sun, Aug 9 • 2:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Jackson Holliday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Rocker has a large platoon split.
Total Bases
Colton Cowser o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.22
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Kumar Rocker in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Rocker has a large platoon split.
DET
@
SF
Sun, Aug 9 • 4:05 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-115)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Detroit is absolutely raking right now, leading all of Major League Baseball with a blistering 147 wRC+ over the last 14 days. Troy Melton leads the charge against Logan Webb, benefiting from elite offensive support at nearly even odds to secure a big road victory in San Francisco.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's game.. Rafael Devers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
LAD
@
AZ
Sun, Aug 9 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Gabriel Moreno o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Justin Wrobleski throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have the upper hand today.. Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
HOU
@
SD
Sun, Aug 9 • 8:20 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jackson Merrill's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Jackson Merrill will have the handedness advantage over Cristian Javier today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jackson Merrill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
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Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
