U.S. Open Sleeper Picks and Predictions: Lowry Undervalued at Oakmont

Shane Lowry finished runner-up at the Oakmont U.S. Open in 2016 and is in good form as he returns for the 2025 edition. He highlights our U.S. Open sleeper picks below.

Chris Gregory - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Betting Analyst
Jun 10, 2025 • 12:28 ET • 4 min read
Shane Lowry U.S. Open PGA Tour
Photo By - Imagn Images. Shane Lowry watches his tee shot.

The majors have been largely dominated by the best in the world over the last couple of years, but that isn't stopping me from looking further down the U.S. Open odds board for some dark horses.

Some excellent golfers are playing well beyond their long outright prices. I highlight three of those golfers in my U.S. Open sleeper picks below.

U.S. Open sleeper picks

Picks were made on 6-10 at 1:00 p.m. ET.

U.S. Open sleeper predictions

Sleeper pick to win: Shane Lowry
+4500 at DraftKings

I highlighted Shane Lowry in my U.S. Open picks and want to shed more light on him as a sleeper.

The Irishman led the field in strokes gained approach and strokes gained tee to green at the Truist Championship (T2), was third and 13th at the Memorial (T23), and third and fifth at the Canadian Open (T13). 

Over the last six months, Lowry is fourth in this field in true strokes gained approach, 10th from tee to green, and 10th overall. That's the statistical profile of a guy who should be listed shorter than 45/1.

Sleeper pick to win: Russell Henley
+6500 at DraftKings

Russell Henley is having the best season of his career from a strokes gained perspective, and it's showing in the results.

He's logged six Top 10s in 12 starts this season, including a huge win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in March. He's also entering the week fresh off a T5 at the Memorial, where he finished the week third from tee to green and fifth on approach. 

He's missed the cut in the first two majors in 2025, but the U.S. Open is a comfortable place for him, with Top-15 finishes in three of his last four tries and a career-best T7 at Pinehurst last year.

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Sleeper pick to win: Ben Griffin
+7000 at DraftKings

Ben Griffin has put the golf world on notice. It started with a team win at the Zurich Classic, but continued with a T8 at the PGA Championship, where he finished just two shots back of second place. He then went on to win the Charles Schwab Challenge and followed that up with a runner-up finish behind Scottie Scheffler at the Memorial.

Excluding Scheffler, Ben Griffin has lost to six golfers in his last three starts. Over the last month, he's fifth in this field in total strokes gained, fourth in putting, and 10th from tee to green. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Betting Analyst

In his three years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s PGA Tour and college football coverage, though his love for Rory McIlroy and the Buckeyes is often met with disappointment. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and has appeared on Jason Logan’s Sharp 600 to talk about the Masters and golf’s other majors.

His best betting advice? Stay away from betting your favorite teams; it’ll only make the hurt worse.

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