U.S. Open 2022 Picks and Predictions: Outrights, Matchup Best Bets, Props & More

Burns baby Burns

By John Reger

Sam Burns is tied for seventh going into the final round, just three shots back of the leaders. As Saturday showed us, making up three shots is definitely possible. Burns has had two over-par rounds and he is still within striking distance. In between his one over 71s in the first and third round was a nice 67. A similar round would put him in a position to win the U.S. Open. 

Pick: Sam Burns outright (+1,600)

Pick made June 18

Finish strong

By John Reger

Keegan Bradley has put himself in a position to win the second major of his career. The 36-year-old has found something in his game, tied for fourth and just two shots back of the leaders. Bradley might not win, but he should finish in the Top 5.

Pick: Keegan Bradley Top-5 finish (+150)

Pick made June 18

Cold-blooded

By John Reger

The greens have firmed up, the winds have picked up, and the golf course is starting to show its teeth. In the second round, there were 28 rounds under par. On Saturday, there were seven. The two golfers who are in the lead have never had this sort of pressure before. I like 4-under to win this tournament.

Pick: Winning score 5-under or worse (-110)

Pick made June 18

Morikawa on the march

By John Reger

Morikawa opened with a 69. The two other times he had a first-round score in the 60s at a major were the 2021 Open Championship and the 2020 PGA Championship. He won both of them.

Pick: Collin Morikawa outright (+450) 

Pick made June 17

X Gon' Give It To Ya

By John Reger

Schauffele is doing what Schauffele does in U.S. Opens — lurking below the leaders, getting ready for Moving Day on Saturday. He shot an even-par 70 in the first round and was four shots out of the lead. On Friday, he posted a 1-under 69 and remained four back of leaders, Morikawa and Dahmen. Look for a low number from Schauffele in the third round and a big jump up the leaderboard.

Pick: Xander Schauffele Top-5 finish (+240)

Pick made June 17

Teenage sensation

By John Reger

Kim sits at a tie for 24th and with the open-round jitters behind him should be able to improve on his first 36 holes. At +330 to finish in the Top 20, it’s a great value bet.

Pick: Joo-Hyung Kim Top-20 finish (+330)

Pick made June 17

Max-imum effort

By Andrew Caley

Max Homa is just three strokes back of the lead and is oozing confidence heading into Friday. The putter is going to heat up at some point and if he can keep up this iron play, he can be in contention come Sunday.

Pick: Max Homa outright (+3,000)

Pick made June 16

Rahm finishes strong

By Andrew Caley

Even though Rahm has had disappointing results in majors so far this season, he had nine Top-10 finishes in his previous 15 major starts and has all the tools to succeed on this course.

Pick: Jon Rahm Top-5 finish (+225)

Pick made June 16

Conners doesn't get caught in a Webb

By Andrew Caley

Corey Conners has the game to be successful on this course and has been much more consistent than Webb Simpson of late — back him to have the better performance Friday.

Pick: Corey Conners over Webb Simpson in Round 2 (-125)

Pick made June 16

Bradley drives Gooch away

By Tour Junkies

Driving will be at a premium and Bradley ranks 16th in the field over the last 24 rounds in strokes gained off the tee, while Gooch is 98th.

Pick: Keegan Bradley over Talor Gooch (-110)

Pick made June 14

Short game goes a long way

By Tour Junkies

Hovland’s short game is still very bad. How bad? He has lost strokes around the greens in seven out of nine PGA Tour events in 2022. Meanwhile, Im ranks 17th in the field around the greens over the last 24 rounds.

Pick: Sungjae Im over Viktor Hovland (-105)

Pick made June 14

That's a yes for Noren 

By Tour Junkies

Noren has been doing everything a little better than Leish recently. Most importantly, he’s finding fairways much more often, scrambling better, and saving more pars from the sand.

Pick: Alex Noren over Marc Leishman (-105)

Pick made June 14

Can Xander finally get over the hump?

By Chris Gregory

Five career U.S. Open starts, to the tune of three Top-5 finishes and nothing worse than... wait for it... T7. Yes, last year's T7 at Torrey Pines is his worst U.S. Open finish in five tries.

Pick: Xander Schauffele to win (+2,200)

Pick made June 14

Fitzpatrick wins... kind of.

By Tour Junkies

Fitz is on a lot of tickets to win this week and his outright number has fallen as low as 22/1 at some books. So, 18/1 for this prop is very enticing, considering the likelihood of a stacked leaderboard of these five elites at the end.

Pick: Matthew Fitzpatrick to win without Thomas, Rahm, McIlroy, Scheffler, and Schauffele (+1,800)

Pick made June 14

Lookin at Koepka as a long-shot

By Chris Gregory

Are Brooks' days of winning multiple majors a year behind him? Probably. However, with the U.S. Open and major championship profile that Brooks has, this number is way too good to pass up.

Pick: Brooks Koepka outright (+5,500)

Pick made June 14

Wise guys

By Tour Junkies

Wise loves hard-scoring conditions and actually ranks fifth on approach and 35th around the greens over his last 50 rounds played in difficult scoring courses.

Pick: Aaron Wise Top-20 finish (+300)

Pick made June 14

Tasty Hoge

By Tour Junkies

Hoge just kept bouncing back in the difficult, U.S. Open-like conditions at Southern Hills, so it’s no surprise that he ranks ninth in the field this week for bogey avoidance over the last 50 rounds.

Pick: Tom Hoge Top-20 finish (+500)

Pick made June 14

Feast or famine Finau

By Chris Gregory

Finau has four major championship Top 5s, among 12 Top-15 finishes overall in 24 career major starts.

Pick: Tony Finau to win (+3,500)

Pick made June 14

A breakthrough for Fitzpatrick?

By Ashley Anderson

Englishman Matthew Fitzpatrick recorded his best major finish to date at the PGA Championship last month. Is he on the verge of a breakthrough?

Pick: Matthew Fitzpatrick (+2,800)

Pick made June 13

Is it time for Zalatoris to win his first major?

By Ashley Anderson

Will Zalatoris has the skills to excel at The Country Club’s unique, old-school course, and if his putting doesn't let him down he has great value to win at +3,000. Last year, he missed the cut.

Pick: Will Zalatoris (+3,000)

Pick made June 13

Lowry a prime candidate to find success at US Open

By Ashley Anderson

If Shane Lowry keeps his putter hot and his approach game in tune, he can come away with his second major at the 2022 U.S. Open.

Pick: Matthew Fitzpatrick (+2,800)

Pick made June 13